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It’s amazing how fast sentiment shifts in crypto. One day, investors are heartbroken, screaming that the bear market is here (or near), and the next, everything flips, and suddenly, “we are so back.” Crypto is such a casino if you ask me… But anyway, let’s look at the facts.

Trump was inaugurated as the president of the U.S., and BTC soared to $108,000, only to correct over the next month and a half to as low as $78,000. That’s quite a drop, but a 30% correction doesn’t mean the bull market is over.

We’ve seen worse in 2017, and as I’ve mentioned in previous posts, I believe this bull market will resemble the 2017 one more than 2021. That means we’ll likely see a rally until around May-June, followed by a summer correction, and then a blow-off top sometime in fall-winter of this year.

Don’t bet the farm on that, though—take profits if things get too ridiculous in the next few months. At least, that’s my plan. The bull market won’t last forever, and since we haven’t had a proper altcoin season yet (which we always do in every bull market), things are about to heat up.

Bitcoin just closed its weekly candle with the largest demand wick in its history. Over the past 48 hours, it recovered from $78,000—where it liquidated plenty of leverage traders—all the way to $95,000. If you haven’t checked Twitter lately, here’s why:

>"I love the genius of announcing a strategic reserve on a Sunday, when traditional markets are closed and Wall Street sleeps. For the first time, retail investors win. Traditional finance better catch up, or it will quickly become extinct. The world no longer runs on a Mon-Friday, 9 to 5."
-Eric Trump

Long story short: Donald Trump announced yesterday on his social media platform and Twitter that an executive order regarding a crypto (not just Bitcoin) strategic reserve will be signed soon. He specifically mentioned BTC, ETH, SOL, ADA, and XRP among others that will be part of the reserve.

Is it time to dump your shitty altcoins (if you own any) and buy American coins? Yes and no. Seasonal meme coins are already dead, but even if your coin isn’t on Trump’s list, don’t stress—the whole market is pumping, not just a handful of coins. In the short term, the ones he named performed a bit better, but that’s how it always goes.

But as with any asset, once it reaches overbought levels and people start taking profits, capital rotates into other coins. The real cherry on top would be China, Russia, and other countries following suit. You can’t even imagine the level of madness if that happens.

There have been rumors for a while that China might unban crypto at some point, but so far, nothing solid enough to bet on. 2025 is gonna be wild, just like every first year after the halving. Cyclicity is so simple—following crypto cycles is easy and insanely profitable if you can tune out the noise and ignore the FUD cycles meant to shake you off right before a massive rally.

Have a great Monday, and I’ll catch you in the next one.

*Thanks for your attention,*
*Adrian*