I think it will work out just fine. Most of the people who want Segregated Witness want it because they believe that it will make Bitcoin usable as a payment system. Bitcoin is not ready to be used as a payment system just yet as it has the ability to loose $200 dollars in value in under 10 min. The truth is the Lighting network is a year more likely 2 at being ready to be implemented. You can go and play with it on testnet and you can see that it is nowhere near ready. This makes it not a good solution to the block size problem for a few reasons but the main one is that it will be a year at best before it starts to help the current problem. 

What else is happening is that people are starting to look outside r/bitcoin and Bitcointalk for there information. When they are getting there info from non censored sources it's easy to see who is trying to centralize BTC and who is wanting to use a consensus system for Bitcoin's development path. The Blockstream people are well funded and are willing to use that money to pay shills or to drive the price around on sites like Bitfinex that are offering voting on the fork happening or not. 

BU will have at least 75% of the hashing power when they enable the fork, my guess is that they will do this the day after the difficulty changes. When 75% of the hashing power is removed from Corecoin and the difficulty remains the same it will bring the Corecoin network to a standstill. Remember the difficulty does not change every 2 weeks it's done every 2000 blocks and if it is taking them 3 - 4 times as long to find blocks due to the 75% loss it should take them at least 8 weeks to get a difficulty change. The next thing is that the miners that are mining Corecoin will be finding 25% of the block rewards that they would mining Bitcoin. During this 8 weeks the remaining Corecoin miners will have to leave due to the fact they have expenses to pay for and can't afford to loose that kind of Bitcoin. This will also make the Corecoin network slower and slower until it is made obsolete. What happened with the Ethereum fork is different because it can be mined by everyone and there dog, when BTC mining is mostly done by a small group of people, for the moment.

This site is a calculator that shows how long it would take to find a block if X amount of hash power was removed from a minority chain. https://hardfork.cafe/

https://i.supload.com/HkxQs228g.png