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Steem Power Interest Is Not Compound Interest! by bacchist

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @bacchist ·
$1,856.68
Steem Power Interest Is Not Compound Interest!
I want to clear up a common misunderstanding.

Some people believe that the interest gained on SP balances is compound interest. That leads to over-the-top claims, such as the one we see here:

https://steemit.com/steemit/@anonymint/it-s-so-easy-to-become-a-millionaire-with-steem

>Starting with just a $400 initial investment and generating only a meager $2 (½ STEEM) in daily blogging rewards, the total value of your STEEM POWER could be worth more than $1 million within 5 years!

>This is the power of compound interest, as exemplified by the following chart.

>https://img0.steemit.com/0x0/http://oi66.tinypic.com/2vju5wh.jpg

But that's simply FALSE.

http://i.imgsafe.org/2707708776.png

The fact is, SP growth is NOT compound interest. The principal never changes, unless you add to it through participation in the site. I've said this in various comments, so I'm just going to copy a few of those to save time...

>There is no such thing as Steem Power (SP) in the back end. When you power up, your STEEM is converted to VESTs. When you power down, your VESTs are converted back into STEEM. The conversion rate changes over time, though... so that balance appears to be growing. It's showing you how much STEEM your VESTs are worth.

>The Steem Power in your wallet is called VESTs behind the scenes. That number doesn't change unless you receive rewards from posting, commenting, voting, or powering up/down. The change in number that you see is a reflection of the change in the conversion rate between VESTs and STEEM.

>Steem Power doesn't really exist. It's just an abstraction. The amount of VESTs that are represented by the Steem Power figure stays constant aside from increases due to participation and interaction with the community. The difference is subtle, but it basically means that the growth doesn't resemble compound interest so much as inflation.

There is a big difference between what is happening to your Steem Power balance and what would happen to your credit card balance if you missed a few payments. There will not be exponential growth of the money supply and the attendant hyper-inflation that would bring. It's not going to happen!
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vote details (282)
@anonymint · (edited)
$0.21
# This blog is incorrect.

And it is highly insulting for such erroneous misinformation to be highly upvoted while ridiculing me.

I wrote the blog post which bacchist is quoting and criticizing with this post.

Let's begin with the [Investopedia defintion](http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/compounding.asp):

> What is 'Compounding'

> Compounding is the ability of an asset to generate earnings, which are then reinvested in order to generate their own earnings. In other words, compounding refers to generating earnings from previous earnings.

> Also known as "compound interest".

The [Steem white paper says](https://steem.io/SteemWhitePaper.pdf#page=35) that for every 1 STEEM created for a block, 9 additional STEEM POWER are created and distributed proportionally to STEEM POWER holders. In other words, for every 10 new units of money supply created, 9 of them are STEEM POWER and earned as interest for STEEM POWER holders, regardless how you account for them as a ratio to VESTS.

The interest paid to STEEM POWER holders is taken from STEEM holders, **as a percentage of the market capitalization**.

The reason you guys are fooled is you are not accounting for the fact that the interest payments are taken from STEEM holders and given to STEEM POWER holders.

I am sorry for those who lack math skills and upvoted this incorrect blog post. Please note your names are listed on the list of upvoters.

> There is a big difference between what is happening to your Steem Power balance and what would happen to your credit card balance if you missed a few payments. There will not be exponential growth of the money supply and the attendant hyper-inflation that would bring. It's not going to happen!

There is exponential growth of the Steem money supply. Even if you keep the VESTS constant and account for tokens divisibility as separate parameter, the external unit of exchange are STEEM and the supply of STEEM is growing exponentially with a compounding on newly minted STEEM on every block.
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vote details (10)
@lukestokes · (edited)
Did you happen to notice that a certain @dan is among that list? You know, the guy who _invented_ this system in the first place? Are you claiming his math skills are lacking, and he doesn't understand what he created? A little humility might be in order here.
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vote details (2)
@anonymint · (edited)
Yes I am claiming @dantheman can come here and debate me if he feels he is correct. I already explained the math. Let's wait to read a cogent rebuttal.

See also my explanation that [this is not simple interest](https://steemit.com/interest/@bacchist/steem-power-interest-is-not-compound-interest#@anonymint/re-liberosist-re-bacchist-steem-power-interest-is-not-compound-interest-20160722t213658164z).

# Edit: tie-warutho you are wrong. Please stop downvoting my posts!
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@tuck-fheman ·
$0.05
Just to be fair, Dan also upvotes plagiarist. So I'm not sure he is actually reading what he upvotes. It's more like he glances at it and calculates, "will normal people upvote this?" and then clicks accordingly. It's like on Twitter when they say, "Retweets are not endorsements". Upvotes are not endorsements, but more a game of whether or not you think other people will blindly upvote a post without thoroughly assessing it's content. ;)
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vote details (3)
@anonymint · (edited)
$0.02
Let me explain this another way, which will hopefully end all the confusion.

The debasement of STEEM units is 9/10ths to pre-existing STEEM POWER holders. The other 1/10th goes to new STEEM holders, not the pre-existing STEEM holders.

So if the ratio of STEEM POWER to STEEM is 9 (i.e. SP is 9/10ths of the money supply), then STEEM POWER holders have no gain in terms of the percentage of the money supply due to aforementioned debasement. If that ratio is less than 9, then STEEM POWER holders do have a gain; and if that ratio is greater than 9, then STEEM POWER holders do have a loss in terms of the percentage of the money supply due to aforementioned debasement.

It is a variable interest rate, which can even be 0% or negative, depending on the market conditions.

And that does not factor in the change in market price (and thus market capitalization) due to the debasement.

None of that changes the fact that when the interest rate is not 0%, there is a positive or negative interest rate compounding.

What is a fair criticism of my blog post, is that the effective gains in terms of percentage of the money supply, is much less than 90% APR because the ratio is probably normally closer to 9 than to 1 (or an infinitesimal).

The ~90% APR is always the case comparing the effect of the debasement on pre-existing STEEM POWER versus pre-existing STEEM holders w.r.t. to percentage of the money. However, that is rather meaningless effect, since new STEEM holders are created with 1/10th of the said debasement. Thus the constant 90% assumption of my blog post was an error. Yet also the claim of the OP of this blog that there is no compounding due to VESTS is also in error.

There is a compound interest rate, it is just variable and can even be 0% or negative at times.

Edit: and note afaics that 50% of 1/4th of the STEEM created is converted automatically to STEEM POWER as 50% of the blogging rewards. Thus this will tend to force the ratio to greater than 9 (a negative interest rate), which would mean that much of the debasement is being paid by the STEEM POWER holders.
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vote details (1)
@sigmajin ·
@anonymint  im pretty sure that the dilution caused by steem power rewards to bloggers is supposed to be offset somehow by part of it being paid in SBD, though im not really sure of the mechinism for that yet.  

that said, im not trying to be a dick, but you really suck at making your case here, which is easy as hell to explain without bringing in the creation of steem and steem power.   I have an MBA and your explanation was so bad you confused me into thinking you were wrong, when you were actually mostly correct.  You could have won this argument 20 hours ago if you weren't making it needlessly complex.  (see my post above for why its compound, and not simple interest)
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@ap2002 ·
thank you
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@ben99 ·
Thank you bro for sharing this information , i think i was wrong  like most of people on steemit.
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vote details (1)
@calaber24p ·
So even if our steem power goes up our Vests never will without additional investment? How would we calculate our returns then on Steempower. It doesnt seem like a basic interest rate calculation works.
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@jl777 ·
$0.07
you need to contribute to the community via curating, posting and commenting. if you just sit on the vests and do nothing, you wont get anymore vests. however when mapped to SP units, it does compound, even if you do nothing. But in that case, you are losing ground to the others that are actively contributing

STEEM is NOT a simple one dimensional passbook account. To try to understand it in those terms will lead to misunderstanding
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vote details (3)
@cob ·
$40.46
To clarify a bit for those that are new to STEEM I will add this detail.
When STEEM pays out 1$ worth of rewards (whether from posting, commenting or upvoting) it simply creates the new units "out of thin air". This has the effect of diluting everyone's STEEM holdings since the supply has increased but your personal wallet's balance has not.
The way to protect yourself from this dilution is to Power Up.
What does this do you might be axkin'?
Well, for every 1$ worth of STEEM created to pay for content & curation there are 9$ worth of STEEM created to send to those that have powered up.

So you should only hold STEEM if you are planning on selling it, or sending it to someone. Don't hold it for a long time since it is being diluted little by little by everyday's payouts.
Power it up and you will lock in your value.

Hope this helps complement the main post!
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vote details (48)
@liberosist ·
$0.08
STEEM is just a short-term, highly liquid part of the puzzle. I hope people realise it's not designed to be held. In the short term, we may see the exchange market value STEEM highly against the Dollar. But long term, once the 100% inflation kicks in, I expect STEEM to start devaluing. 

Steem Power is the best long term investment - but of course not everyone will be OK with waiting 2 years for powering down. It only works if you are invested and believe in the long term success of Steemit. If that comes to pass, powering up now will pay off massively later  - no crazy compound interest required.
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vote details (6)
@owdy ·
$0.29
But this means that SP also gets diluted. So at constant price, if you're inactive, you'll be down after a year. (correct?)
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vote details (3)
@asmolokalo · (edited)
$0.50
# Incorrect
https://steem.io/SteemWhitePaper.pdf
### _Steem power_ goes inflationary up with _steem_ as vests
If you hold onto 1 STEEM you will have 1 STEEM forever.
If you power up your 1 STEEM into STEEM POWER your 1 STEEM/vest will go with the #inflation https://steemd.com
 _(steem_per_mvests 236.342 - this number goes up - you get more steem in time pased from the initial STEEM to STEEMPOWER-vests conversion)_ 
and be in time powered down into more #steem while they are being inflationary created.... 
.
One would say its not being fairly distributed for time being but with more users the distribution will also get better.
### Like $
If you hold 1$ paper bank note it will always be 1$ paper bank note.  Unless you put it in digital form of 1 bankpower $ and get mouse size interests on it..
.
But if you only hold your 1$ paper bank note you might gain  or lose on purchasing power over time.
And banks/federal reserve + other money creating plants makes profit by lending those newly created dollars/yuan.. to banks, people.... bla bla bla
### So be the bank of your own
and by powering up your steem to steem power you act like the bank and "lend/distribute" those newly created STEEMs according to how much #power of #steem you actually have.
###  _I might also undestand it all wrong_
### Ta ta
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/purchasingpower.asp
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/purchasing-power-loss-gain.asp
https://steem.io/SteemWhitePaper.pdf
###### P.S. you can upvote your post/blog and distribute a bit of that inflationary #steem to your self sofort :) ithink, or?
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vote details (9)
@cyberdesire ·
Up and up
👍  
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vote details (1)
@elargroup ·
Similar to SP, SMD tokens cannot be purchased directly on an external exchange. SMD are primarily earned through contributing but can be purchased by converting STEEM tokens to SMD tokens.

Actually Steem Dollars can now purchased on external exchanges !
https://poloniex.com/exchange#btc_sbd
https://bittrex.com/Market/Index?MarketName=BTC-SBD

PS Abbreviation of SBD = Steem Backed Dollars
or just SD = Steem Dollars (not SMD please edit)
http://linkme.ufanet.ru/images/9d8c77c4463f7a2b3e24c27a8796fd79.jpg
👎  
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@pfunk ·
$1.28
!cheetah ban
👍  , , , ,
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vote details (5)
@cheetah ·
$0.10
Okay, I have banned @elargroup.
👍  , , , , ,
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vote details (6)
@freedomengineer ·
$0.06
I am upvoting this because people need to understand. The less 'get rich quick' dreamers there are in the network the better. Lol. I am in this for the long haul and plan to slowly accumulate steem through blogging and commenting and generally being a positive Steemerian. Oh, and also buying as much Steem under 5$ as i can! Anyway great explination @bacchist thank you for your service. 😉
👍  , , , ,
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vote details (5)
@anonymint · (edited)
> I am upvoting this because people need to understand. The less 'get rich quick' dreamers there are in the network the better. Lol.

If that was your intent, you should have not been upvoting this blog post.

If you don't want people to invest in exponential compounding systems, then why do you upvote some claim that Steem is not an exponential compounding system, when in fact Steem is an exponential compounding system.
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@gabbans ·
Thank for sharing tthis info.what it mean is that you have to be continuing blogging posting for your atem to grow
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@giostar · (edited)
The most powerful force in the universe- compound interest @bacchist
Glad you pointed this out, i was having trouble coming to terms with the exponentiality of it all- glad to see you have a sense of humour- upvoted

http://65.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lz23ylenZl1ro09hco1_r1_1280.jpg
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@ipopular ·
Do not regret Upvote to this article, 
it was interesting to read;)
Steem It Up
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DogrhWJESlA
👎  
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vote details (1)
@jcweiss ·
The way I see it is:
You get a 1.9x split every year (annualized) if you are powered up.
Inflation goes up at 2x every year (annualized).
Doing nothing on the site, you lose 10%.
Posting and upvoting only get you some % back, but on average you won't break even (because of other payouts like mining and liquidity rewards).

That's if steem stays the same value. The currency value is swinging and is more volatile than the 10%.
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@anonymint · (edited)
What happens to the total dollar money supply is not relevant to your interest payment on the bank's ledger w.r.t. whether there is a transfer and compounding. Just because the money supply debasement is compounding faster than your interest is compounding, is irrelevant to whether the interest is compounding. Duh!

For each 1 STEEM created, 9 STEEM POWER are created and transferred to SP holders. This is a transfer of value from STEEM holders to SP holders, as a percentage of the market capitalization of the money supply.
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@jcweiss ·
So soon we'll all be steem millionaires, but steem will be approximately 1 millionth the value (and they'll adjust the units accordingly and employ rounding). Yay!
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@sigmajin ·
nonononononononono....
Its not a split.  its a dividend.  If they werent afraid of getting jumped by SEC agents thtas what they would have called it in the white paper.  thats why they were talking about dilution so much.

Its not inflation, for a variety of reasons.   (check my blog for my post about inflation)
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@jl777 · (edited)
$0.55
SP itself does not create a compound interes, but dont you get more curating rewards if you have more SP? That alone creates a compounding effect doesnt it?

Basically anything that earns more money as time goes on and then that increased amount is what makes the money, compounds.

I believe SP has other compounding properties, but all that is needed for a counterexample to disprove an assertion is one instance, which I believe I have done.

tl:dr SP compounds over time
👍  , , , , , , , , , , , ,
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vote details (13)
@anonymint ·
$0.14
> SP itself does not create a compound interest effect

[Incorrect](https://steemit.com/interest/@bacchist/steem-power-interest-is-not-compound-interest#@anonymint/re-bacchist-steem-power-interest-is-not-compound-interest-20160722t210825416z).
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vote details (5)
@jl777 ·
$0.10
I mean in the literal sense of you get SP due to simply having SP. the SP is stored as vests which (ignoring any external inputs) stays the same, but the conversion rate from vests to SP keeps going up due to the 9:1 effect. So the fact that SP is actually the current conversion rate of vests using an ever increasing factor could be interpreted as vests dont compound, ie. are static. However, the issue here is that it is discussing SP and not the internal vests and the SP caculated from an ever increasing conversion rate sure looks like compounding, acts like compounding, because it is compounding.

Add to this the effect of SP*log(SP) being your allocation for curating and by any sense of the word SP is compounding, even if the underlying vests would remain static if you never did anything at all.

So, the OP should really correct the misinformation at the risk of getting downvoted should it not be corrected
👍  , ,
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vote details (3)
@ghostyeti ·
$0.07
Sounds logical
👍  
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vote details (1)
@rogue91 · (edited)
$0.05
I'll make this super simple for the standard person that wasn't amazing at math.
Creating the numbers and gains out of air.

You start with 10 sp, at 10% interest a month you have 11 sp.
You start with 11 sp, at 10% interest a month you have 12.1 sp.
You start with 12.1 sp, at 10% interest a month you have 13.31 sp.

Now over time steem may go up in value or may crash and burn and become the value of rdd, diem etc.  
That being said today's price does not represent a price seen 104 weeks from now.  So while 10 steem may be worth .05 btc currently, your 50 steem in 2 years might be worth .05 or .000005 btc.

https://steemit.com/steemit/@rogue91/steem-power-and-proper-calculations-of-gains
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@justalazystudent · (edited)
Thank you! That was really helpful.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@jlwkolb ·
Thank you for clarifying - now makes more sense. Sometimes I need to read an article like this a few times to let it sink in. Bookmarking -
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@kaylinart ·
$0.28
Thank you for pointing this out :) 
I feel like many people have the wrong idea about what this is all about!
I feel like people need to focus more on writing quality content, Rather than the financial factor. If we focus too heavily on the money end of it, We may bring in more spammers. 

https://steemit.com/life/@kaylinart/why-do-people-choose-to-fail
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@kimmar ·
Nice clear post. Not being subject to the large inflation rate is definitely a pro for SP.
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@liberosist ·
I have been seeing this misconception going around as well! Glad to see it cleared up. 

All that said, SP is still pretty lucrative with simple interest. It's just not the magic bullet some people have misunderstood it to be.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@anonymint ·
$0.07
> All that said, SP is still pretty lucrative with simple interest.

[Simple interest](http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/simple_interest.asp) is a term that normally applies to loan payments and it refers to paying the interest payment in full before the amount of the unpaid interest payment is added to the principle to accrue more interest in a compounded manner.

Simple interest does not at all apply to the interest paid to SP holders, which is added to their balances and accrues interest in a compounded manner.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@bacchist ·
It is not added to balances and compounded. Please do your research and stop misinforming people.
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@luisucv34 ·
I need your help to solve this problem with Mr. justin o'connell: https://steemit.com/steemit/@luisucv34/i-would-like-to-publicly-apologize-to-justin-oconnell-from-cryptocoinsnews
👎  
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vote details (1)
@lukestokes ·
Great post, @bacchist! I feel I'm partly to blame for this misconception because I understood it as "interest" as well, and wrote a couple posts about what I was trying to understand. I know see it more accurately as share dilution over time which holding VESTS protects you from. You and I have had a number of conversations about this and I really appreciate you working it through with me. I'm glad to see you're getting a nice reward for those efforts! $1k+, baby! :)
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@bacchist ·
$0.04
We're kind of conditioned to think of interest as compound interest, because our financial system relies so heavily on it. I thought of it in those terms until I spent quite a lot of time with it. The economics of Steem are not what any of us are used to!
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@anonymint ·
For the 9 STEEM POWER paid as interest (for each 1 STEEM created) to not be compounding, then it would require that all STEEM balances were forward stock split by the same proportion. But the STEEM balances are not given any new STEEM.

# You should apologize to me and remove your downvote from my blog post!
👎  
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vote details (1)
@lukie257 ·
$0.07
So if I understand this correctly, interest is generated on the Steem power, just not compound interest?
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@bacchist ·
This is actually quite dated. That was the case at the time, but now interest on Steem Power balances is quite limited. Participation and engagement are the main ways to accumulate SP and SBD. Posting, commenting, and voting.
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@lukie257 · (edited)
Thank you so much for your reply. So does that mean that interest is no longer generated on Steem power? I'm trying to steer clear of interest or at least know how interest is being added on (religious reasons).

Edit: misread. So it is generated, but just at a lower rate.
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@mystis ·
There should be some sort of explaination on how this system works. Augmenting the monetary supply will indeed make the value of the coin here weaker but at the same time, trust and the growing user base make it more valuable. It'd be nice to have a note from the devs about so we can actually understand what they're planning to do. If there already is such a comment or explanation, please link it here. Thanks!
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@sigmajin ·
https://steemit.com/interest/@sigmajin/understanding-the-steem-economic-system-vests-sbd-steem-dilution-interest-and-all-those-crazy-things
👍  
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vote details (1)
@mystis ·
Thanks a lot!
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@oakheartgames ·
Great article, Bacchist, I believe I found a site for true compound interest for crypto, check out my blog post and check it out if you're interested. https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@oakheartgames/compounding-bitcoin-interest-for-people-not-banks
properties (22)
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@putradham ·
wow amazing steem
👍  , , ,
properties (23)
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vote details (4)
@robsteady ·
Thanks for clearing this up. I kept reading the interest section in the white paper as referring to SP, not SBD/SMD.
👍  
properties (23)
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vote details (1)
@rogue91 · (edited)
I'm going to borrow some of your post, and cite you within the post; just to provide a simpler way of helping people calculate their sp.

https://steemit.com/steemit/@rogue91/steem-power-and-proper-calculations-of-gains
properties (22)
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@sephiroth ·
Need @anonymint input
properties (22)
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@showmethecoinz ·
Good read!
properties (22)
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@sigmajin · (edited)
I could be wrong, but iiuc Steem interest is not compounding.  (authors note, i was wrong.  See https://steemit.com/interest/@sigmajin/how-anonymint-and-bacchist-both-got-it-wrong)

First, let me describe what non-compounding interest is like.  Assume I have 1000 dollars on deposit, at an interest rate of 10 percent monthly.

If my interest is not compounding, I would have 1100 after 1 month, 1200 after 2 months, 1300 after 3 months.  That is to say, my interest would be calculated
Based upon my initial deposit, and would be a fixed amount unchanging amount every single month.  My balance would increase linearly.

If my interest is compounding, I would have 1100 after 1 month, 1210 after two months 1331 after 3 months etc.  In this case, my balance would increase exponentially.

NOw, lets assume I have 1M vest.  Right now, that equals 224 steem.

Because of the increased conversion rate, the value of my 1M vest will increase LINEARLY  from month to month.  

Im not sure wher the taken from one party and given to another thing comes from.  The only thing that differentiates compounding interest from non compounding interest is if the intrest is added back into the principal.

If you go to steemstats.com, its pretty clear that the interest youre earning is linear... that is to say, your week interest is 7x your day interest and your month interest is 4x (or so) your week interest and your year interest is 12x your month interest.  If it were compounding your year interest would be much more than 12x your month interest.
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@sigmajin ·
ALso just as a side note, @Anonymint doesnt take into account the 10-1 reverse split after 3.5 years.
properties (22)
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@sigmajin · (edited)
OK, i figured it out, you're both wrong.

https://steemit.com/interest/@sigmajin/how-anonymint-and-bacchist-both-got-it-wrong
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@sigmajin ·
[more info on interest](https://steemit.com/interest/@sigmajin/understanding-the-steem-economic-system-vests-sbd-steem-dilution-interest-and-all-those-crazy-things) and why its not really interest
👍  ,
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@steampunkpowered ·
Great post ! That's the one I was looking for to clear my mind about the nature of Steem Power Interest's rate
👍  
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@suicidemime ·
$0.03
Nice!
![](https://img1.steemit.com/0x0/http://i.imgsafe.org/2707708776.png)
You know a lot about the charts. ;)
👍  ,
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@anonymint ·
$0.07
Looks like a 5 year old scribbling which is about level of his illogical analysis.
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@syahrul ·
very nice article .
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@trist ·
Thanks for making it so clear. Tried a few articles before this glad I found your post. Cheers!
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@tylerpena01 ·
Solid post. I was about to start a similair discussion. It's surprising how much uneducated investors the crypto space has. You still see people invest in this shady and scammy coins.  I was researching a way to do better investment analysis on the current cryptos. Besides coinmarketcap.com there is:  https://www.coincheckup.com I'm really enthusiastic about this site, they let you analyze every single coin out there. Check: https://www.coincheckup.com/coins/Steem#analysis To see the:  Steem Report
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@wiico ·
Awesome article bacchist, i wish you all the best with steem!
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