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Bravenewcoin: Gartner puts Blockchain at the Peak of Inflated Expectations, while Bitcoin slides into the Trough of Disillusionment by bravenewcoin

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· @bravenewcoin ·
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Bravenewcoin: Gartner puts Blockchain at the Peak of Inflated Expectations, while Bitcoin slides into the Trough of Disillusionment
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<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/8x6bsjlfj/thumb.jpg" width="470" height="260"/></center></p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/cup047iv3/image1.jpg" width="1280" height="193"/></center></p>
<p><center><a href="http://bravenewcoin.com/authors/luke-parker/"><strong>Luke Parker </strong></center></a>|| <a href="http://bravenewcoin.com/news/tag/analysis">Analysis </a>|| <a href="http://bravenewcoin.com/news/tag/bitcoin">Bitcoin </a>|| <a href="http://bravenewcoin.com/news/tag/blockchain">Blockchain</a></p>
<p>Research powerhouse Gartner Inc. recently <a href="http://prwire.com.au/pr/62010/gartner-blockchain-and-connected-home-are-almost-at-the-peak-of-the-hype-cycle">announced</a> their “Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies, 2016,” which shows that “Blockchain” is in the Peak of Inflated Expectations phase.</p>
<p>According to the Hype Cycle, it will be another 5 to 10 years before blockchain reaches mainstream adoption. The industry specific “Blockchain Technologies and the Programmable Economy” Hype Cycle shows Bitcoin is further ahead.&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/koplplqnz/image2.jpg" width="724" height="159"/></center></p>
<p>Founded in 1979 and headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut, <a href="http://www.gartner.com/">Gartner</a> is a leading information technology research and advisory company. As of December 31, 2015, the company had 7,834 associates, including 1,731 research analysts and consultants. According to the company’s <a href="http://investor.gartner.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=99568&amp;p=irol-reportsAnnual">annual report</a>, the company has clients in over 90 countries, representing 10,796 distinct enterprises.</p>
<p>Gartner publishes approximately 160 Hype Cycle <a href="http://www.gartner.com/technology/research/methodologies/hype-cycles.jsp">research notes</a> that are updated throughout the year. “Clients use Hype Cycles to get educated about the promise of an emerging technology within the context of their industry and individual appetite for risk,” the company explains.&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/a35qdlkcf/image3.jpg" width="280" height="211"/></center></p>
<p>Each Hype Cycle shows five key phases in a technology's life cycle. The "Technology Trigger" represents early, unproven proof-of-concept stories with no real applications. The second phase, "Peak of Inflated Expectations," is where "Early publicity produces a number of success stories — often accompanied by scores of failures. Some companies take action; many do not," the company explains.</p>
<p>The “Trough of Disillusionment” is where “Interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver.” In this stage, many technology providers will fail and exit the market, while survivors score more investments with satisfactory products. Survivors then enter the “Slope of Enlightenment,” with second and third generation products, and more funding. The final phase is the “Plateau of Productivity” which is where mainstream adoption starts to take off.</p>
<p>"The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies is unique among most Hype Cycles because it distills insights from more than 2,000 technologies into a succinct set of must-know emerging technologies and trends that will have the single greatest impact on an organization's strategic planning," said <a href="http://www.gartner.com/analyst/49943">Mike J. Walker</a>, research director at Gartner. "This Hype Cycle specifically focuses on the set of technologies that is showing promise in delivering a high degree of competitive advantage over the next five to 10 years.”&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/b6pupk4zj/image4.png" width="1000" height="732"/></center></p>
<p>Walker explained some reasoning behind the Blockchain position to BraveNewCoin. “There is still considerable misunderstanding of the blockchain, which this Hype Cycle puts into perspective,” he said, citing progress and problems within the industry.&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/fh4il5a2n/image5.jpg" width="727" height="162"/></center></p>
<p>&nbsp;Last year's Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies listed two emerging technologies in the blockchain space, cryptocurrencies and cryptocurrency exchanges. Neither were present in the update.&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/zd0i0or3z/image6.png" width="1000" height="732"/></center></p>
<p>“The decision was that blockchain represents more than just financial services but a whole host of industries,” Walker explained. “In addition, the emerging technologies hype cycle is industry agnostic and these technology profiles are specific to financial services.”</p>
<p>Both Cryptocurrencies and Cryptocurrency Exchanges are still available on the other financial services hype cycles in 2016, but have been renamed to “Cryptocurrency Wallets.” In the “Hype Cycle for Digital Banking Transformation, 2016,” both Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Wallets are listed as "At the Peak.”</p>
<p>On the industry specific "Hype Cycle for Blockchain Technologies and the Programmable Economy", in 2015, Blockchain and Distributed Ledgers were “On the Rise." In 2016, they have progressed further in the technology lifecycle, to “At the Peak.” Cryptocurrencies were "At the Peak" in 2015 and they are now "Sliding Into the Trough." Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Exchange were already "Sliding Into the Trough" in 2015, where they remain.</p>
<p>Distributed Autonomous Organizations, Smart Assets, Smart Contracts, Digital Currency/Blockchain Regulation, Sidechains, and Cryptocurrency Hardware Wallet, were among technologies listed as “On the Rise” in 2016, a phase preceding the Peak.</p>
<p>Gartner explains that the programmable economy, enabled by ‘smart’ distributed computational resources, evolving from the blockchain and distributed ledgers, represents a massive transformation of global economic systems, industries and businesses. “Business and IT leaders and policymakers must begin preparing now.”</p>
<p>Walker states that commentators and technology vendors have “latched on to blockchain and distributed ledgers as ‘the answer’ to all kinds of legacy processes, operating models and technologies.”</p>
<p>The World Economic Forum recently <a href="http://news/new-world-economic-forum-report-examines-nine-financial-use-cases-for-blockchains/">published a report</a> examining nine financial use cases of this technology. In July, Moody's Investors Service <a href="http://news/moodys-new-report-identifies-25-top-blockchain-use-cases-from-a-list-of-120/">published a report</a> detailing 25 use cases, as well as listing 120 blockchain projects undertaken by various Moody’s rated companies.&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/qj9ljl45b/image7.jpg" width="726" height="201"/></center></p>
<p>Morgan Stanley <a href="http://www.morganstanley.com/ideas/big-banks-try-to-harness-blockchain">published a report</a> in May, exploring the use of blockchains in banking. "In short, Wall Street sees an opportunity to hack its own complexities using this new tool," the firm wrote.</p>
<p>The firm highlighted 10 challenges to widespread blockchain adoption, including the high cost of building a blockchain system. The cost is often shared by different entities with conflicting priorities for a shared blockchain. The system also has to deliver a positive return on invested capital before financial institutions are motivated to change the existing infrastructure.</p>
<p>Other factors outlined by Morgan Stanley include lacking standards, scalability, governance, regulations, legal risks, security, as well as the simplicity of the system so everyone can understand and use easily.&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/xnresmben/image8.jpg" width="724" height="194"/></center></p>
<p>Oliver Wyman <a href="http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2016/feb/BlockChain-In-Capital-Markets.pdf">published a report</a> focusing on capital markets in February, in collaboration with Euroclear, outlining six major areas that need to be addressed before widespread blockchain adoption will become feasible.</p>
<p>The international management consulting firm named scalability, the need for a robust cash ledger, managing anonymity, operational risks of transition, regulation and legislation, and common standards and governance as hurdles that need to be overcome.</p>
<p>Walker offered a similar sentiment, “the lack of robust frameworks for regulatory, legal and accounting treatments should make enterprises wary of major investments.” Referring to senior executives, he added “The confusion in the C-Suite, and the lack of definitional understanding of many technologies and their implications for business, is creating a dangerous and volatile market.”&nbsp;</p>
<p><center><img src="https://s25.postimg.org/fz49eqp1b/image9.jpg" width="727" height="158"/></center></p>
<hr>
<p>&nbsp;<strong>According to the</strong> <a href="http://www.bravenewcoin.com/markets"><strong>BNC indices</strong></a><strong>, at the time of writing:</strong></p>
<p><a href="http://www.bravenewcoin/steem">Steem</a> was trading at <strong>$1.4461</strong><br>
<br>
<a href="http://bravenewcoin.com/bitcoin">bitcoin</a> was trading at <strong>$574.69<br>
<br>
This article can be found on our website on the following link:<br>
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</strong><a href="http://bravenewcoin.com/news/bank-of-america-merrill-lynch-hsbc-and-ida-develop-a-blockchain-prototype-solution-for-trade-finance/">http://bravenewcoin.com/news/gartners-puts-blockchain-at-the-peak-of-inflated-expectations-while-bitcoin-slides-into-the-trough-of-disillusionment/</a></p>
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@cryptobro · (edited)
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In July, the Oliver Wyman and JPM report, A Guide For Asset Managers, provides a projected timeline for blockchain disruption in financial services.  It includes a CxO playbook for what companies can be working on now.
  http://www.oliverwyman.com/content/dam/oliver-wyman/global/en/2016/july/joint-report-by-jp-morgan-and-oliver-wyman-unlocking-economic-advantage-with-blockchain-A-Guide-for-Asset-Managers.pdf
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@bravenewcoin ·
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Thank you so much for the resource, I'm sure it will be of interest to our readers.
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@dan1 ·
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analysis very good :D
l am follow you
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@bravenewcoin ·
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Appreciate it, thanks for the follow!
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@jaggs ·
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Mmm...they're also calling Autonomous Vehicles at more than 10 years to adoption, and I'm thinking that this is way too long.  At the rate we're moving now, it will be five max before we see regular auto-driving cabs in operation in at least two major cities in the world. 

So I'm going to treat the rest of the report with a large degree of Trough of Disillusionment, I'm afraid.
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@bravenewcoin ·
$0.06
Hi Jaggs, there is lots of work being done on autonomous vehicles at the moment, i heard something about 2020 being  the year where some main stream adoption may occur.
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@joelbow ·
$0.06
Nice article... I would like to know more about the steem cryptocoin... can someone tell me how it compares to Bitcoin in how much of it can be created as well as anything else that might help to understand it better?
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@bravenewcoin ·
$0.06
Hi @joelbow, that is quite a lengthy topic, the best place to get info is on the whitepaper available in the side menu of this website. Also have a look at http://www.steem.io
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