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[幣市閒聊] 不確定因素消除之後.... by deanliu

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steem · @deanliu · (edited)
$7.55
[幣市閒聊] 不確定因素消除之後....
昨天下午四點，韓國交易所Bithumb開放STEEM/SBD充提，我四點不到就坐在電腦前看好戲，順便也看看手上STEEM要不要賣一賣....

不少朋友都說開放後可能會小漲後，開始大跌... 四點之前半小時，確實盤比較弱勢，但是開放之後，並沒有明顯賣壓，反而還大漲，STEEM/BTC價格，從10000左右，漲到11280，40分鐘之內，又創新高到11855.... 之後回落，但都是高檔整理，好幾個小時，都沒有跌回起漲點....

![las-vegas-3112249_640.jpg](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/QmSXM9h9kXFHDM3Ugz3p2s6CckReb1RGXsFUfBtK3dpoCh)

我在一些高點賣光了手上的流動STEEM，不過，都賣得略早了... 然後，後來覺得，應該別賣完的，我總覺得還會有高點... >_< 

大家可能會認為STINC都把那麼多籌碼給挪到交易所了，未來還持續會大量搬過去，怎麼可能不砸盤？就算他們不砸盤，光是各方的預期，就足夠砸不少了吧？這當然也有道理。只是，我總覺得，市場總是充滿爾虞我詐，第一是我認為公司真要砸盤的可能性不高，除了他們例行性的賣幣之外（純粹個人觀點）；第二是，就算要出貨，也要先拉高再慢慢神不知鬼不覺地出啊！

而所謂拉高，絕不是拉高幾天而已，必須得拉出一波趨勢線來，讓懷疑者因為大漲到開始懷疑自己看錯，讓技術分析全面顯示還有大多頭要來，讓利多利好慢慢一波波釋放出來，.... 然後，在一片看好之際，莊家已經離場完畢。

![crystal-3665696_640.jpg](https://ipfs.busy.org/ipfs/Qman8TCtqeKDs2FLNDrvtFsYGmH1N1rYozqtXVMwBNAmxb)

這才是我預期的出貨場景。現在，其實充滿悲觀情緒不是嗎？所以，我感覺還會漲上去的。不過你看，我這樣想，還是把手上的流動籌碼都給賣了，哈哈哈～～～ 我是想反正漲高了，沒籌碼賣，帖子收入也會變高嘛～～～也不會太虧～～

另外，去拉出STEEM/BTC的歷史線圖，其實，現在真的是長線的低點，剛剛出現一點反彈的小波而已... 從長線格局來看，現在完全是低點啊，STINC會讓自己出在這麼低點嗎？幾千萬的幣，要能消化，一定要拉到至少半山腰上吧？

當然當然，市場沒有絕對的真理。我這裡說的，只是分享我的市場觀點，上面我沒說的是，如果Steem有系統性風險，例如硬分叉，那麼，可就不是什麼歷史趨勢可以去分析的了啊～～～
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vote details (203)
@deanliu ·
$0.08
噢，我說中了，又創新高.... 然後又是.... 早上八點拉盤。
👍  ,
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@fr3eze · 
好样的，居然上到了0.43。那就好，别太快跌啊。
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@kirato ·
$0.07
希望快點回到1美金😂

Posted using [Partiko iOS](https://steemit.com/@partiko-ios)
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@sleepagent · 
Thank you for using @sleepagent bid bot serves.
This post has received a 39 % upvote from @sleepagent.
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@leftbank ·
$0.10
同意 感觉庄家在拉高出货

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@maiyude · 
大户离场是去中心社区迟早会面对的一件事情，能挺过去，社区将会更加去中心更加自由。
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@deanliu · 
原本我會同意這說法，但後來我漸漸覺得，太早太去中心化，是沒辦法有效發展的... 對於Steem來說，現在還太早了，百事待舉....
👍  
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@partiko ·
$0.12
Thank you so much for participating the Partiko Delegation Plan Round 1! We really appreciate your support! As part of the delegation benefits, we just gave you a 3.00% upvote! Together, let’s change the world!
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vote details (2)
@steem-ua · 
#### Hi @deanliu!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your **UA** account score is currently 5.793 which ranks you at **#400** across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has improved 1 places in the last three days (old rank 401).

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 207 contributions, your post is ranked at **#6**.
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* You've built up a nice network.
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