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【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？ by deanliu

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hive-105017 · @deanliu · (edited)
$30.70
【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？
![1000025704.jpg](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/deanliu/23vsX3S41F42KMhWNwEoSVDpSoF6P6DQE8WqYA8pe9u6m7dXz7KFq54n2fbV5W3WRBgGY.jpg)


理財小白們好，

**今天小白，明日有財。**今天天氣晴，大家好啊！😁

剛好上週在某購物商場，有一個臨時性書展📚，書幾乎都全面五折，於是我們就去逛了一段時間。本來其實我這些年來看的書都少了，就是隨意看看，多半是買買給TT看的書。

然後，突然看到上面這一本書【投資NFT的準則】🤔。

我想大家現在看到NFT，都已經沒有激動，沒有羨慕的情緒，是不是可能還是覺得嗤之以鼻，或是想起虧損或是曾經擁有但不曾兌現過的往事呢？🥴

幣圈起伏十倍百倍於人生，於股市，這原本也是不足為奇。只是，如果你當年是有經歷過NFT大牛市時，什麼猴子啦，Punk啦，NBA短影片收藏啦🙈🖼️... 真的是什麼都可以NFT，高價交易不斷... 當時，我還聽說過某Hive/Steem用戶，在猴子爆紅前有買，於是發大財了💰💰💰... 但後來怎麼我就不知道了，是否財富自由了，還是繼續抱著等等（話說這是龍頭項目，現在都還很貴，沒賣也還是很有錢的）... OpenSea這NFT平台也是當時崛起的... 

NFT跟元宇宙，都是當時紅遍世界的尖端人士玩物呢.... 你可別跟我說還有狗狗🐶、青蛙🐸這些... 這類不是NFT，而是屬於meme迷因幣，雖然常常有時會結合，但概念上還是不同。meme可是炒作的後進，看到NFT得喊聲大哥呢！雖然說，資格老，在幣圈，多半不是好事... 因為新東西的壽命都不長... 經得起時間考驗的，真的少之又少。比特幣、以太幣是佼佼者，Solana算是比較後來但也撐蠻久了... 咱Hive，也可以算是其中一個呢！🐝🐝

好，話說回來這本書。躲在一堆完全不相干的書裡面，有點突兀，卻也有點落寞。書上封面還寫著：「***為什麼現在不買股票、房地產，而是買NFT？關注投資人變身為收藏家的NFT熱潮！***」😲😲

現在來看這句當時想吸引讀者眼球的大膽描述... 還真是令人感到三條線哪！真可說是... 當時寫得越聳動，現在看起來就越諷刺。如果當時有人買了這書，照著做去投資，把原本要投股市的錢買了NFT，只怕... 現在都是欲哭無淚吧？

想當然，雖然看見這本咱同路人的相關著作，我卻連拿起來翻的念頭都沒有，並不是自以為可以嘲笑人家，而主要是因為．．．不忍心，不忍心直視時間的殘酷與無情😢。

這本書的作者是韓國人，啊！韓國... 他們可是全球最狂熱的加密信徒之地啊，買了這本書而"受害"的人，恐怕更多是在原著的韓國朋友身上吧... 

那我們今天【小白理財教室】要重新來談NFT會不會復活嗎？

當然不是，甚至我也不打算談NFT。當年我就不是很懂這玩意兒怎麼能長久，因此也錯過了幾個億，現在更不可能去想這些，也別說我參與的非常有限，沒什麼資格談。但談虧損我則是很有經驗，因為當初我看那條號稱專為NFT打造的鏈Flow，因為NBA topshot短影音收藏而爆紅，我感覺這似乎是可以投資的，因為還有那麼多運動跟粉絲市場可以經營... 然後，我買了一些Flow的幣，然後... 一樣跌成狗，雖然還沒歸零，只怕也是沒差多少了... 再次驗證，偉大的夢想沒有那麼容易成功，即便是已經有一個成功案例... 

所以，我真正想談的是，想藉著遇見這本書的感概，跟大家探討一下，如何避免投資正在走紅但多半會隕落的標的，即便那個夢想有多麼吸引人跟偉大... 然後，如何能夠找到經得起時間考驗的，就算會回調但長期都是向上的標的！這樣的標的，才是真正能夠改變我們人生的投資標的。甚至不誇張的說，你的人生只要能夠識別出一個這樣的標的，然後持之以恆的累積，就可以超越大部分的投資者了... 

前面說的比特幣如此，以太幣目前看起來似乎也勉強可以說是這樣的標的，美國的藍籌股則更是如此。

老實說，我也不知道真正的關鍵是什麼，讓我們一起來探討。而且，這件事情，面對未來，只會越來越難。因為，世界正在急速地變化，能夠在時間洪流裡持續取得成功，對企業經營者來說，真的是越來越難了，更別說我們這些在後面想跟著致富的小投資人了。

但不知道是知道很好的第一步，我們就是透過研究、觀察、思考、交流、驗證，來持續加強我們的正確率！


以投資股票來說，我自己總結的幾個關鍵因素如下：

* 主導者或管理階層，必須是值得信賴到你感覺託付你的生命給他也可以放心的（比喻法啦，又不是真的認識XD）。這意思不是說信賴他一定會賺錢，而是說他具備好的經營能力且有強大的意願要在長期取得成功。例如巴菲特、張忠謀、輝達的黃仁勳等等
* 公司所在產業能夠長期發展，且這間公司具備強大的長期主導地位。產業可以是AI這種尚在成型中的尖端行業，但需要非常緊密深入的保持調研，也可以是像麥當勞或可口可樂，感覺永遠會存在
* 投資者，你，必須要能非常了解這行業與這間公司，在股市大修正時，你只會想衝進去買更多，而不是傷心手裡股票貶值。這一點很重要，因為股市沒有在永遠獲利永遠向上的，但長期來說是沒有問題的，所以只要你抓對目標，下跌反而是好機會，暴跌則是送錢給你。那平常沒特別漲跌的日子裡，就是沒事買一點，所謂DCA策略，來面對這支股票，長期才能累積籌碼。

如果改成到幣圈的話，以上幾點也是類似。只是主導者可能型態不太相同，例如比特幣沒有董事會，創辦人根本不知道是誰，那這就是要去follow開發者們的動態，然後也得去了解各國監管法規等變化... 以太幣目前有基金會，創辦人也還有影響力，都可以去追蹤... 咱們家的Hive呢，我暫時還不會把Hive當成是這類標的，我自己自認客觀的想法是，Hive畢竟還是小項目，風險會比較高，還是建議以參與跟小額適度投資為主，身家押上來的風險太高了... 


![1000025726.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/deanliu/23tkjqQkcBzhY9tTX7jN7DWWmPdhwZHxQMLxCqBYFFZXbzGxZYLe78mywA11ZrXxG2QoM.png)

按照這些標準的話，什麼NFT、Meme狗狗們、什麼符石銘文、RWA等等，都是高風險的東西。不是不能投資，只是要認清投資進去都是一場賭局，如果把賭當成投資，那是極度危險的一件事情。

最後，我想說一下上面所提幾點，其實隱含一件很重要的投資者功課：**要持續研究標的**。怎麼研究，於是會很關鍵。否則你隨意研究，看報紙分析，看網路意見，看財經節目，然後就下判斷說，這標的都符合，那也是很危險的。要研究標的，並不一定要很專業才能，但一定要具備這樣的認知跟態度：1) 批判性思考。不能人云亦云，一定要形成自己的看法，專業技術部分可以相信專家，但有許多市場判斷跟人為看法的地方，還是得自己形成觀點；2) 長期觀點。因為這裡的投資標的重點在於長期，所以研究觀點也必須是從中長期來看。

舉例來說，過去很長時間，投資美國國債在高資產人士圈裡（我不在其中）是很熱門的，因為專家或推銷者都說，美國不會倒，投資美國公債可以保本還能抗通膨．．．沒想到，川伯伯上台不久就打破了這個美夢，美債重新被市場估值．．．如果當初你有批判性思考或許就不會過度投資於此。再例如，最近說巴西被課50%關稅，所以咖啡以後會變貴，所以如何如何... 這類關稅相關議題屬於短中期問題，甚至還沒底定，所以不需要過度關注這些消息，除非底定之後，造成可能的長期結構轉變，那才是需要關注的點。

切記，投資最忌跟風，且最忌跟風潮投資了而且還賺了不少，這樣對於養成長期的好習慣是很不利的。投資永遠都是孤獨的，大半時間是無趣的，我們在乎的是，在比較久以後的那個收穫的時間點，我們的生活因為這個投資，因為這份堅持，而得到最好的回報。

我也還在學習，路上一起同行吧！💪💪🤜🤛💪💪


![1000025727.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/deanliu/23wWkMGeufs971APbH1Qr1LozgrZRBuNgvbHAjPh5tjwiBbqtUyWtUBz9yZsH4z6n31BY.png)


*****
👨‍💻👨‍💻[【小白理財教室】](https://peakd.com/created/noob-classroom)，我們下次見！👨‍💻👨‍💻

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<sub>*pixabay*</sub>
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<sub>
大家好，我是Hive CN區裡人稱劉美女的 @deanliu，平常喜歡分享美食、旅遊、育兒、區塊鏈圈想法見聞，人生許多事以及腦袋裡無窮盡的想法 ~~~ 歡迎大家follow我，隨時留話聊聊交流！~~~😘</sub>
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<sub>[Hive CN區](https://peakd.com/c/hive-105017/created) 是區塊鏈社群平台Hive上面的中文社區，這裡的人們很和善，這裡的大神很給力，歡迎來這裡玩耍社交，看看未來世界的模樣，希望在不遠的未來一起財富自由喔~~~</sub>😉
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vote details (209)
@adyiron ·
$0.13
涨知识了，谢谢刘大美女😘
👍  
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@deanliu · 
❤️❤️❤️
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@angel-baby ·
$0.13
前几年NFT和元宇宙很火，不过当时没有入局，作为小白啦还不去想那些认知以外的东西吧🤣
👍  
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@deanliu · 
慢慢學習！
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@azazqwe ·
$0.13
我之前也觀察NFT這塊，但覺得少了讓人持有的動力。
感覺上少了一個平台或管道，是長時間眾人習慣使用的，才能凸顯NFT的特別。
👍  
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@deanliu · 
👍👍👍
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@bai123 ·
$0.13
感谢刘美女得深度好文 我要慢慢研读才会懂
👍  ,
properties (23)
authorbai123
permlinkre-deanliu-2025715t213121320z
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author_reputation70,890,561,974,595
root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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vote details (2)
@deanliu · 
❤️❤️❤️
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-bai123-szn1hp
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"peakd/2025.7.3"}
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@carolin77 ·
$0.13
今天讲的有点深奥啊，我脑子还不够，等我慢慢消化😆
👍  
properties (23)
authorcarolin77
permlinkre-deanliu-2025715t183617537z
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
我寫的也有點亂啦~~~ 😅
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-carolin77-szn1fm
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@celeste413 ·
$0.13
打算只买HIVE 哈哈 其他都不熟悉~ 😆😀
👍  
properties (23)
authorceleste413
permlinkre-deanliu-2025715t18101778z
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"tags":["noob-classroom","investment","cn","leofinance","lifetime"],"app":"ecency/4.2.1-vision","format":"markdown+html"}
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
也是沒問題，但有點可惜。Hive是大家通往crypto的平台，應該把握機會多多認識其他好的幣，至少認識甚至買入一些比特幣以太幣，都是蠻好的多元化
👍  ,
properties (23)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-celeste413-szn1d1
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vote details (2)
@celeste413 · 
好的呢😊听刘大美女的🌹
properties (22)
authorceleste413
permlinkre-deanliu-2025719t185947754z
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"type":"comment","tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"ecency/3.2.1-mobile","format":"markdown+html"}
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@coco666 ·
$0.13
太高深了。学不明白😂
👍  
properties (23)
authorcoco666
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categoryhive-105017
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
😆😆
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-coco666-szn1j9
categoryhive-105017
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@huigezi ·
$0.13
我的大嘴鸟还没有卖呢，当时可以卖500呢
现在还在账户里躺着呢，还有很多NFT呢
👍  
properties (23)
authorhuigezi
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
大嘴鳥我就沒聽過了 😅
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-huigezi-szn1ii
categoryhive-105017
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@jychbetter ·
$0.13
我是HIVE坚定信仰者
一直在买入
👍  
properties (23)
authorjychbetter
permlinkre-deanliu-2025715t191659904z
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json_metadata{"tags":["noob-classroom","investment","cn","leofinance","lifetime"],"app":"ecency/4.2.1-vision","format":"markdown+html"}
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
一起Hive致富！！！💪💪💪
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-jychbetter-szn1jx
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"peakd/2025.7.3"}
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@lovelingling ·
$0.13
谢谢分享，有句话：你不理财，财不理你，引申到投资这块，我觉得要时常关注市场动态与新的信息，主动去规划、打理自己的钱财，财富才可能实现增值。
👍  
properties (23)
authorlovelingling
permlinkre-deanliu-2025715t181854279z
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author_reputation730,612,763,842,216
root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
市場信息是重要，但更重要的是投資是什麼，以及適合自己的投資方式喔!
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-lovelingling-szn1e7
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"peakd/2025.7.3"}
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@lovelingling · 
谢刘美女指点👍👍
properties (22)
authorlovelingling
permlinkre-deanliu-2025719t171033136z
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"links":[],"type":"comment","tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"ecency/3.3.3-mobile","format":"markdown+html"}
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@marygong77777 ·
$0.13
看着你写的，我既然做起白日梦，梦见自己变富翁了，呵呵
👍  
properties (23)
authormarygong77777
permlinkre-deanliu-2025715t19455318z
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"links":[],"type":"comment","tags":["hive-105017","noob-classroom","investment","cn","leofinance","lifetime"],"app":"ecency/3.3.3-mobile","format":"markdown+html"}
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author_reputation412,384,736,422,025
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
開始動手，把白日夢變成每天都是夢　😆
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-marygong77777-szn1h8
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"peakd/2025.7.3"}
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@marygong77777 · 
😃😃
properties (22)
authormarygong77777
permlinkre-deanliu-2025719t171223496z
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"links":[],"type":"comment","tags":["hive-105017"],"app":"ecency/3.3.3-mobile","format":"markdown+html"}
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@oflyhigh ·
$0.13
进来学习
没学明白，走人了
👍  
properties (23)
authoroflyhigh
permlinkszfrhn
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"app":"hiveblog/0.1"}
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · 
財富自由的人可以任性不用學習了 😞
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-oflyhigh-szn1ez
categoryhive-105017
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@oflyhigh · 
菜市场买土豆自由😞
properties (22)
authoroflyhigh
permlinksznd73
categoryhive-105017
json_metadata{"app":"hiveblog/0.1"}
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@sunflor ·
$0.12
很多都不懂，但是看懂一点投资不能跟风😁
👍  
properties (23)
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root_title"【小白理財教室】NFT, Not For Today 如何找尋長度期優質投資標的？"
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@susanli3769 ·
$0.13
美国的国债外来持有比例越来越低了，现在才1/3.就是川伯伯的功劳。但愿ai 能够真的有长远发展，带动美国经济的持续发展。就怕美元变成跟其他货币一样，那就真的糟了。另外现在大方向对欧洲长远的发展很看好，看看是不是要跟风。：）
👍  
properties (23)
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vote details (1)
@deanliu · (edited)
隨時得保持警覺啊～～　這世界變得太快了

話說，你到底有沒有發現你得了首獎啊？😆
properties (22)
authordeanliu
permlinkre-susanli3769-szn1lj
categoryhive-105017
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@susanli3769 ·
$0.12
啊？真的吗？太惊喜了。我还真的不知道呢。赶紧去看看，谢谢
👍  
properties (23)
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