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RE: Subcultures and Social Trends: The Transhumanists – The Singularity and Modern Cyborgs by everittdmickey

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· @everittdmickey · (edited)
roughly speaking, how old are you?  thirties? forties?
The reason I'm asking.  Six years from now our technological capabilities will be 32 times what it is now.  This is based on the project that 
_Every twelve to eighteen months, computers double their capabilities, and so do the informa- tion technologies that use them_

http://theemergingfuture.com/jpegs_pdf/speed-technological-advancement_5years.jpg

The rate of technological change is accelerating.  In ten years, according to the trend line, the technological capability will be over a thousand times what it is now.
http://theemergingfuture.com/jpegs_pdf/speed-technological-advancement_10years.jpg

In twenty years it will be a million.http://theemergingfuture.com/jpegs_pdf/speed-technological-advancement_20years.jpg

do you expect to live another twenty years?  remember The average yearly rates of decline in mortality have been 3.7% per year for children and 1.3% per year for adults

In other words...your life expectancy is increasing every year.  How much is 3.7% compounded over twenty years?  (back of the envelope calculations indicate that over twenty years the life expectancy will about double. IF it was a flat rate. It's not.  It's increasing.  )
Will you live  thirty more years?
http://theemergingfuture.com/jpegs_pdf/speed-technological-advancement_30years.jpg
if you do expect to see technological capablitity a billion times greater than it is today.

Forty years...?http://theemergingfuture.com/jpegs_pdf/speed-technological-advancement_40years.jpg

a trillion.

In forty years the life expectancy will most likely be.....much greater..because we will have one trillion times more technological change  than we do now.
fifty years?
http://theemergingfuture.com/jpegs_pdf/speed-technological-advancement_50years.jpg
a Quadrillion.

I'm 66 years old.  My father in law is 103 (next month).  If I live to be as old as he is?
How bout you?
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