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Bitcoin TA - summary of analysts - 30. June 18 by famunger

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @famunger ·
$65.33
Bitcoin TA - summary of analysts - 30. June 18
# Regular daily update on BTC ta analysts opinions.
<p><center>
https://steemitimages.com/DQmNkugNo8vvMEgrqg9ZgKenH5A9dSEEsq8XNK8hD6CGzU4/Bildschirmfoto%202018-03-11%20um%2011.14.53.png
</center></p>



## **My summary - short-term (next 24h) sentiment:  bearish ** (last: bearish)
<p><center>
https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQ2XYHv3XPSXqqmfgXc6KqkWv3mi7LoKBoSthRb6yKx99/bears.jpeg
</center></p>

- We bounced 700 USD. That happen right when the futures of the CME were settled. So if this is real buying power is questionable.
- Still bearish scenario is in full play for now and further significant downside is expected.
- But bullish scenarios get more likely with this bounce.

### Bearish scenario (preferred): 
- Rebound is a dead cat bounce turning below 7'000
- Price falls towards 5'500.
- Short term recovery staying under 6'000.
- After breaking 5'500 again a significant drop towards new lows in the range of 4'975 and 4'300.

### Bull scenario:  
- We get huge follow up 
- We go up to 7'500 and higher.


### Monthly performance overview:  
- Lets see how June plays out -usually also a bullish month. This year it looks like one of the worse month. Will update chart next month.
![IMAGE 2018-04-08 20:14:56.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmUMkHYsrTnr6C2RtgKPL3KZTHbLA4QRNSA3ftFWhqDYTo/IMAGE%202018-04-08%2020%3A14%3A56.jpg)


## **News about the blog**
- I reordered the analysts based on the frequency they are updating.
-  @haejin: It seems like we don't get his updates anymore soon. Might change in the future.


## **Analysts key statements:**
### Tone:
Mid-term outlook: -> unchanged
He expects us to put in a swing low at around 5'000 in first two weeks of June. From there we probably bounce strong towards 7'500 and more.
Still he is expecting that we put in a final low only at around October.

- Weekly: RSI is trending up - but we haven't closed the week. That needs to be seen. MACD is still very negative still. We need to see a follow up otherwise bearish scenario remains solid.
- Daily: Not very useful at the moment.
- 12h: Chart arrows updated - next target 5'500.
![Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-29 um 09.13.33.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmYSX6wxMF5bZoUeRTYgXkJgquV2ocQetSwsykKJgMHMw9/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-29%20um%2009.13.33.png)


###  @lordoftruth:
Our Final Target around 4'300 has not been reached yet. Keep in mind 4'300 area is the point where bitcoin price should gravitate to, and the below Butterfly most likely will finalize this action.

Bitcoin Market holds Harmonic Swings, as you can see on below chart. So we still watching for bearish continuation patterns / "222" Sell.

Bottoms are not made in a day! No Change to our bearish scenario, conditioned by the price stability Below 6'842. Another round of selling can be expected to move the price towards 5'500 followed by 4'300 Area / Butterfly "Buy" the final destination and the potential bullish reversal location.

At press time, bitcoin price is around 6'450 and the bearish trend remain dominant unless breaching 6'842 and settling above it.

Todays trend is bearish. Trading between 5'500 and 6'600.


###  @ew-and-patterns:'
There is a possible "bullish butterfly pattern" forming, which has a target of 4'200. This would fit perfectly with the WXYX2Z count. If you can't read the image, download it and zoom in.
To be honest, the route AB and route BC don't fit 100% perfectly for this pattern, but in trading you usually don't get it perfectly.
![Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-30 um 11.56.43.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmY1mdvjK3WAkxNwB1WBwP5Cb14Re1AfjAM5RWnmSDtTNL/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-30%20um%2011.56.43.png)

So even if it is not a "perfect bullish butterfly pattern" we still have some data confluence here:
- Fib (and also Algo) targets @ 1.27 and 1.618 extension level lining up
- bullish butterfly pattern targets
- A fitting wave count
The clusterzone of route XA extension and the route BC extension @ approx. 4'200 is very promising.

This is why this is his primary count.

###  @passion-ground: 
We are moving in a channel. We have a bullish divergence on the RSI. The established swing low (bear market low) of 5'780 is holding. 5'920 seems to give good support as well.
Price action will tell if the established low will prevail. 


###  @philakonesteemit: 
![nonews.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaMAAaHGQLKiFUCbgocjTx9WiLepzq3hop5Bfjxm67pjA/nonews.jpg)
A bounce at the 7'000 level was much expected due to hitting a major trend line support established since Nov 11, 2017.
Bullish View, if we break the 7'650 range, there's a chance to hit 7'850 to 8'000 range (0.5 to 0.618 fib retracement)
![Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-01 um 11.10.48.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmQVKx97z1Q5hBdHP1Z8fCGPXEaeDXYYc3qp8YDy4EyuUj/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-01%20um%2011.10.48.png)
Bearish View, if we break 7'161 range, we'll most likely test 7'040, which I see as failing to hold and then testing 6'500.
![Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-01 um 11.10.58.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWAgGepPjVDr9g1Fysdef6bbmy1Rw3Fo21L49LBeSryAi/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-01%20um%2011.10.58.png)


###  @haejin:
@haejin is moving his analysis to bitcoin live. Those of you who want to follow him directly should look into subscription. I will try to get in contact to see if I can use an abstract to post here also in the future.

![nonews.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaMAAaHGQLKiFUCbgocjTx9WiLepzq3hop5Bfjxm67pjA/nonews.jpg)
Bitcoin (BTC) Short Term Update: The blue circle shows a potential pricepathway of BTC. The purple waves have been updated and it shows a scenario where purple 1,2,3 could be complete and 4 is getting its final touches. Purple 5 is still targeting the 6'300 zone or so.
![Bildschirmfoto 2018-06-13 um 10.31.45.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmY6PaX53DK72xLk1uXuUKFMvjz4koVNJ8TPPd9onSmM9M/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-13%20um%2010.31.45.png)

## Summary of targets/support/resistance
<p><center>
https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTC6ptSaMDQLq4ZZb5icDCAYeF4oNrbUWXCki3EFYuBiz/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-30%20um%2012.09.00.png
</center></p>
<p><center>
https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmUyR9AECkL2HJY43gsjHsXyvTiZxGrgP7UmfH2matpJAS/Bildschirmfoto%202018-06-29%20um%2009.01.44.png
</center></p>

## **Reference table**
analyst | latest content date | link to content for details
------------ | ------------- | ------------- 
[Tone Vays](https://twitter.com/tonevays?lang=en) | 30. June | [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mhVOww0z1yE)
[@lordoftruth](https://steemit.com/@lordoftruth) | 30. June | [here](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lordoftruth/bitcoin-trend-series-ep-638-further-losses-in-the-cards)
[@ew-and-patterns](https://steemit.com/@ew-and-patterns) | 29. June | [here](https://steemit.com/btc/@ew-and-patterns/btc-update-29-06-18)
[@passion-ground](https://steemit.com/@passion-ground) | 28. June | [here](https://steemit.com/btc/@passion-ground/bitcoin-short-term-update-bias-and-key-statement-for-6-27-2018)
[@haejin](https://steemit.com/@haejin) | 13. June | [here](https://steemit.com/money/@haejin/bitcoin-btc-short-term-update-the-final-elliott-wave-touches)
[@philakonesteemit](https://steemit.com/@philakonesteemit) | 31. May | [here](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@philakonesteemit/btc-bitcoin-may-31-morning-update-technical-analysis-supports-resistances-specific-setups)

## **Definition**
- *light blue highlighted* = all content that changed since last update.
- *sentiment* = how in general the analysts see the current situation (bearish = lower prices more likely / bullish = higher prices more likely). The sentiment is based on 4hr, daily, weekly, monthly candle charts.
- *target* = the next (short term) price target an analysts mentions. This might be next day or in a few days. It might be that an analyst is bullish but sees a short term pull-back so giving nevertheless a lower (short term) target.
- *support/res(istance)* = Most significant support or resistances mentioned by the analysts. If those are breached a significant move to the upside or downside is expected.



## **Further links for educational purposes:**

- From @ToneVays: [Learning trading](http://www.libertylifetrail.com/education/learntrading/)
- From @philakonecrypto: Like in every post you find links to his amazing educational videos. For example  [here](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@philakonecrypto/bitcon-btc-march-1st-technical-analysis-evening-update-target-usd11-065-nailed-what-next)
- From @lordoftruth: [Fibonacci Retracement](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@lordoftruth/fibonacci-retracement-in-trending-market)
- From @haejin: [Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@haejin/bitcoin-btc-evening-update-short-term-target-is-usd12-112-to-usd12-306)

*If you like me to add other analysts or add information please let me know in the comments.
👍  , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and 6 others
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vote details (70)
@adeshvy ·
R u a community or some group..u must b getting a huge profit
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@crypto-worldnews ·
Such a awesome explanation done by @famunger 
The analysis done is great. I feel Bitcoin at the end of 2018 can touch at 8500$ easily.
Don't sell anything is loss. Wait for the correct pice and time.
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@imryas ·
Good job.useful specially for beginners
👍  
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@dmitriy1911 ·
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@joythewanderer ·
$0.09
The following two weeks must decide if there's bull coming. Thanks, Chris.
Hope you guys are having a great summer holiday!
👍  
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@famunger ·
$0.50
Yeah - next two weeks will be very interesting! Thanks - you too - hope to read a lot of your trips here on steemit.
👍  ,
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@machinemoney ·
i hope bitcoin nd all market gonna moon soon
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@munawar1235 ·
Good analytical summary @famunger. I hope soon BTC will show bullish trend.
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@steemitboard ·
Congratulations @famunger! You have completed some achievement on Steemit and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :

[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/voted.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@famunger) Award for the number of upvotes received

<sub>_Click on the badge to view your Board of Honor._</sub>
<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>


To support your work, I also upvoted your post!


**Do not miss the [last post](https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-world-cup-contest-croatia-vs-denmark) from @steemitboard!**

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@tomask-de ·
fossbot voter comment
Nice read. I leave an upvote for this article *thumbsup*
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