Ecency Delegation Experiment – An Experiment to Determine Whether Delegating to Ecency Is the Optimal Option for Actively Posting Newcomers: Week 14 by freecompliments

hive-167922 · @freecompliments · Jun 9 '23 (edited)

$7.09

Ecency Delegation Experiment – An Experiment to Determine Whether Delegating to Ecency Is the Optimal Option for Actively Posting Newcomers: Week 14

<div class="text-center">https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/545735847962476557/1072628371223236669/ecency3Drotate_300x300.gif</div>

*<div class="text-center"><sup><sup><sup><sup>[Image Source from @doze](https://ecency.com/ecency/@doze/ecency-3d-logo-rotation-gif#@doze/re-seckorama-rpq9bp)</sup></sup></sup></sup></div>*

On March 4th, 2023, [I announced an experiment of delegation to Ecency](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-delegating-to) to prove that it’s probably the most profitable (in terms of [APY](https://leofinance.io/posts/@leoglossary/leoglossary-annual-percentage-yield-apy)) delegations feasible for a newcomer who posts frequently.

Here are the results of this week’s delegation with Ecency, and following this, a legend of the columns used, as well as a bit of analysis of the week:

https://images.ecency.com/DQmVHQ7t8bEpfdbB3qpcPdYQdqb1rBX4LYGXBwdgHJEQzAc/image.png

https://images.ecency.com/DQmenb1BXZ796JkwCkLzeqvc1i4abx57dyu3fAq6MqCqgVk/image.png

*<div class="text-center"><sup><sup>(Please click to enlarge!)</sup></sup></div>*

# Legend

**Day:** well, this one’s pretty self-explanatory. It starts the day after I delegated to Ecency so that there’s at least 24 hours permitted for rewards to kick in. It is a value used directly in the APY calculation.
**Hive Delegated to Ecency:** this is how much total [Hive Power (HP)](https://leofinance.io/posts/@leoglossary/leoglossary-hive-power-hp) I have delegated to Ecency on the provided day. It is a value used indirectly in the APY calculation.
**Average Hive Delegation to Date:** this is the average of my delegated Hive Power (HP) to Ecency, current to the provided day. This gives an accurate value of how much delegation has been given over time, inclusive of all rewards (from Ecency Boosts and from other sources, including posts and comments). Since this value shows contributes directly to the rewards I get from Ecency, it is the most accurate value to use in calculating APY. Hence, it is a value used directly in the APY calculation.
**Hive Reward:** this is how much I have earned in rewards in HP from Ecency delegations on the provided day.
**Total Hive Reward:** this is how much I have in rewards in HP from Ecency delegations in total, up to the provided day. It is a value used directly in the APY calculation.
**Hive Earned From Boosts:** this is how much I have earned in rewards in HP due to Ecency boosts on the provided day, including the votes that come as a result of following Ecency’s curation trail (this value is approximate). It’s difficult to calculate earnings from promotions, and will not be included in this calculation.
**Total Hive Earned From Boosts:** this is how much I have earned in rewards in HP due to Ecency boosts in total, up to the provided day, including the votes that come as a result of following Ecency’s curation trail (this value is approximate). It is a value used directly in the APY calculation.
**Hive Earned From Posts:** this is how much I have earned in rewards in HP from posting and is inclusive of boosts and promotions, on the provided day. While I do reinvest this into Ecency delegations, it is NOT included in my APY calculation, as it is not an earning directly due to the delegation.
**Total Hive Earned from Posts:** this is how much I have earned in rewards in HP from posting and is inclusive of boosts and promotions, in total, up to the provided day. While I do reinvest this into Ecency delegations, it is NOT included in my APY calculation, as it is not an earning directly due to the delegation.
**Other Hive Earned:** this is how much I have earned in rewards in HP from other sources (i.e. comments, swing trades, etc.) on the provided day. While I do reinvest this into Ecency delegations, it is NOT included in my APY calculation, as it is not an earning directly due to the delegation. I have also come to realize that this is the most inaccurate and inconsistent column I have – please regard it only as a very, *very* rough estimate.
**Hive Reinvested into Ecency Delegation:** this is how much Hive I have reinvested into Ecency delegations on the provided day, and is all-inclusive (since I reinvest earnings from posts, comments, etc.). Its only relevance to the APY calculation is that it brings up my total amount delegated to Ecency.   That particular aspect is included in the “Hive Delegated to Ecency” column.
**Hive Earned APY To Date:** this is the calculated APY based on the “Average Hive Delegation to Date,” “Total Hive reward,” and “Total Hive Earned From Boosts.” This provides a fair calculation of earning which are directly due to Ecency’s rewards (in Hive and boosts), while taking into account the growing delegation and changes in rewards over time. The APY is recorded on a daily basis and will paint a more accurate picture with more time. Some initial values (after the rewards from the initial boosts come in) may be outrageously high due to boosts from preexisting Ecency points (I had >3500, which is equivalent to 23 boosts, or <23 boosts + more promotions); these are accurate values but skewed due to the small time frame. They will become more accurate and reflective of reality over time. There is also a 7 day delay in some earnings, which may further skew the APY. While reinvestments from non-Ecency sources (i.e. posts, comments, trading, etc.) may cause the APY to appear larger, using the “Average Hive Delegation to Date” as a divisor compensates for this effect, thus giving a more accurate APY that’s a result of only Ecency delegation. It is the most fair divisor to use in this calculation because it accounts for changes in delegation over time, is a direct contributor to subsequent delegation rewards, and accounts for reinvested Hive Power only after it has been delegated to Ecency.
**Total Ecency Points:** this is the total amount of Ecency points that I have available on the provided day. Note that I begin with >3300 points, which is equivalent to 23 boosts, or <23 boosts + more promotions. None of these are used in calculations, but rather as a tally so that conversions can be better understood.
**Ecency Points Earned From Delegation:** this is the amount of Ecency points that I earned on the provided day. None of these are used in calculations, but rather as a tally so that conversions can be better understood.
**Total Ecency Points Earned From Delegation:** this is the amount of Ecency points that I earned in total, up to the provided day. None of these are used in calculations, but rather as a tally so that conversions can be better understood.
**Daily Ecency Points Earned (All Sources):** this is the amount of Ecency points that I earned through other activities (commenting, voting, posting, etc.) on the provided day. None of these are used in calculations, but rather as a tally so that conversions can be better understood.
**Ecency Points Spent on Boosts / Promotions:** this is the amount of Ecency points that I spent on boosts and promotions on the provided day. None of these are used in calculations, but rather as a tally so that conversions can be better understood. Looking 7 days ahead to the HP earned in boosts will reveal how much the points translate into HP.
**HBD Spent to Buy Ecency Points:** this is how much HBD I spent to buy Ecency points. At market value, 1000 Ecency Points = 2 HBD.

# Graphical Representation

Here are some graphs to help visually represent the progress being made in this experiment. They are adapting data directly from the spreadsheet shown above, using the same legend.

In the first graph, our Y axes consist of: Hive and APY %; these are divided into data sets consisting of Hive Delegated to Ecency (orange), Average Hive Delegation to Date (yellow), and Hive Earned APY to Date (blue, and this is a percentage). The X axis is the Day, so you can follow the daily trend.

https://images.ecency.com/DQmUNyCfeeWMQS8JzRnAMjnGX4LofqjbEn6fAHYdiaKj9Ed/image.png

In the second graph, our Y axis consists of APY %, represented by Hive Earned APY to Date. The X axis consists of Average Hive Delegation to Date. This one’s a little bit tricky, so I’ll explain it to clear things up: recall that during the first week, I accidentally *removed* delegation from Ecency. This made the Average Hive Delegation to Date decrease (move to the left on the X axis); subsequently, I increased the delegation, causing it to increase, thus moving to the right on the X axis. Thus, in terms of time, the experiment begins at the bottom, where the Average Delegation to Hive is just about 100% and the APY is ~10%. Following the line to the left, and then subsequently to the right gives the proper timeline.

From this point forward, unless an accidental undelegation occurs, you can continue reading this graph from left to right, as the delegation will be increasing rather than decreasing! Please let me know in the comments whether this is at all unclear and I’ll explain further.

https://images.ecency.com/DQmZrFj1t3K5Ef322zFgGQgPJj5EettPbmNZgiYsaqb4B49/image.png

# This Week’s Earning Analysis

Last week, I bet on an APY to date of ~78%. So how accurate was my guess? **The APY to date as of the end of this week is 72.51%.** Ouch! That was far lower than expected, and some reasons are outlined below (but in short, this is an underestimate of the true value). Regardless, it looks like I’ll have to post even more! I do again have 2 posts this week, and more are forthcoming. Now, let’s see what happened over the course of this week:

Day 92 began a little bit unexpectedly. While the Hive price was near its lowest in a long while, I had expected a reward of >2 Hive from last week’s Boost (recall that when Hive’s price is lower, a $1 Boost gives more Hive as a reward, which is mathematically expected), but instead received only ~1.25 Hive. I then figured out why: I had accidentally left the post rewards as 50%/50% HP / HBD. Well, from this came a pleasant surprise: >2 HBD, which I used a few days later to purchase more Ecency points!

Now, I will make the point that *my APY did come out lower than the actual APY* because of this error of not having 100% of my rewards converted into HP. Since it’s relatively minor in the long term, I didn’t make any adjustments. I’d say this only plays in favor of the Ecency delegation, as my conclusion in the long term will consider this fact, as this error happens once in a while.

Day 96 had my next reward, which was correctly set up. That one raised my APY less than expected, however. In fact, it was even lower than the APY that I had at the close of last week! That means my APY is definitely dropping from last week. Ahhh!

Day 97 was interesting: I finally broke the 300 HP delegation mark! I also lost out on 15 Ecency points because it didn’t register my post (and I paid out for the 150 Point Boost). Finally, I purchased 1243 Ecency Points for 2.486 HBD (primarily from the reward I earned on Day 92).

Now I’ll challenge myself and everyone else reading this to guess the upcoming week’s APY to date. Keep these major factors in mind: 1) I posted 2 times this week and Boosted both posts; 2) this will be a transition from week 14 → week 15 (which directly affects the math). Due to this level of posting, my guess for the next week’s APY to date will be ~76%, and for the following week just about the same if I continue to post twice per week (~76%; will give an updated value guess next week!).

https://images.ecency.com/p/PB8ro82ZpZP35bVGjGoE93K3E4U5KX8KtMBJ2rguR8yy8ipCW8pj1nBBykuAvaDJvZRdL5EuCaqMAdro7XecAyiNqHjNroaX3fksdXgkU2ybgWFp.webp?format=webp&mode=fit
*<div class="text-center"><sup><sup><sup><sup>Thank you to LeoFinance for this nice banner!</sup></sup></sup></sup></div>*

<sup>LeoGlossary Sources: [1](https://leofinance.io/posts/@leoglossary/leoglossary-annual-percentage-yield-apy) [2](https://leofinance.io/posts/@leoglossary/leoglossary-hive-power-hp)
</sup><sup>Chart and Graph Source: self</sup>

___________________________________________________________________________________

It should be noted that my medicine-themed posts and the Ecency Delegation Experiment posts have @stemsocial as a 5% beneficiary, the Ecency Delegation Experiment Posts will have @leo.voter as a 5% beneficiary (thank you for the freedom of speech!), and *all* of my posts now have a variable percentage as a beneficiary to @hive-140084 (the FreeCompliments community; [these rewards will be used as a reinvestment vehicle and as a reward pool for everyone who posts and comments in the community, except for illegal content, and threads about the community!).](https://ecency.com/hive-140084/@freecompliments/a-novel-idea-to-increase)

I hope that you’ve found this analysis informative. While it is not financial advice, it may be useful as a methodology of calculating your own returns on various projects on the Hive network.

Here are the prior weeks’ posts for further reference:
[Week 1](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment)
[Week 2](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-3bb03ed59b4e9)
[Week 3](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-9f0de9a18918c)
[Week 4](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-2165e09b000f8)
[Week 5](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-c8e497a2b7036)
[Week 6](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-adc73719fd982)
[Week 7](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-e3ab67a20bf49)
[Week 8](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-b71eeef089bac)
[Week 9](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-17a0a690d9e19)
[Week 10](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-ccf1882db9923)
[Week 11](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-f785f2ab938db)
[Week 12](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-de6ead7785dd6)
[Week 13](https://ecency.com/hive-167922/@freecompliments/ecency-delegation-experiment-an-experiment-cefcd627eb97c)
_________________________________________________________

<sup>If you’ve enjoyed the content of this post, are feeling down and need a shoulder to lean on, or would like to make someone’s day a bit better, or found an interesting post you’d like to share that you believe deserves a compliment, please join the [FreeCompliments](https://ecency.com/created/hive-140084) community. We welcome everyone with open arms. :)</sup>

<sup>[Here’s a permanent invite link to the FreeCompliments Discord!](https://discord.gg/qEJkfY5AUV)</sup>

👍 steembasicincome, sbi2, psyberx, trumpman, tokenpimp, eds-vote, upvoteshares, brofi, sbi3, ruth-girl, ganjafarmer, ninahaskin, cryptictruth, wakeupnd, masterrpgbot, dibblers.dabs, dynamicrypto, josueelinfame, truthbot, peerfinance, buildingpies, svanbo, elderson, leofinance, dhedge, listnerds, sbi-tokens, thecryptopimp, thedailysneak, gamer00, khaleelkazi, steem.leo, dmelliott, freecompliments, ingi1976, sneakyninja, cryptoknight12, woodathegsd, mastergerund, yozen, unsubscribe, tesaganewton, poliwalt10, mirteg, jaraumoses, brofund, ninnu, gduran, aurikan, pimptoken, babysavage, organduo, cakemonster, cugel, qwertm, martial.media, iviaxpow3r, bnb-hive, ravensavage, kind.network, draygyn, ksam, cubdaily, anikys3reasure, and 71 others

properties (23)vote details (135)

voter	rshares	pct
gduran	7,724,545,097	100%
wakeupnd	109,436,714,503	50%
gamer00	17,946,272,716	5%
ganjafarmer	262,340,910,984	100%
ninahaskin	147,989,896,637	49%
cryptoknight12	13,296,536,949	41.32%
trumpman	1,086,376,487,554	52%
jaraumoses	9,751,291,424	52%
ruth-girl	269,506,852,560	52%
powpow420	1,449,339,149	50%
jeanlucsr	1,845,260,396	3.2%
tesaganewton	11,159,665,994	26%
roleerob	2,756,697,824	0.55%
sayee	1,472,733,745	1.39%
khaleelkazi	17,811,218,935	16%
stonergirls	816,851,804	100%
elderson	37,344,954,583	50%
sneakyninja	13,926,221,507	20.66%
steembasicincome	6,883,025,232,098	100%
purefood	1,503,884,203	16%
dynamicrypto	75,664,764,091	60%
mastergerund	12,164,016,598	41.32%
anikys3reasure	3,242,023,711	50%
cryptictruth	126,694,679,057	30%
organduo	6,127,642,710	16%
sbi2	4,356,528,844,069	100%
sbi3	337,668,853,862	14.47%
greenunion	1,481,801,387	100%
dgi	2,035,168,282	80%
thedailysneak	18,832,130,444	20.66%
steinz	605,694,448	50%
zappos	686,500,335	80%
josueelinfame	68,566,963,480	100%
teampdx	811,494,256	100%
teamoregon	1,158,441,210	100%
upvoteshares	434,406,319,758	100%
babysavage	7,286,134,394	41.32%
ravensavage	4,061,984,513	41.32%
ganjafarmers	904,612,239	100%
truthbot	60,571,546,270	100%
piestrikesback	761,180,309	100%
kind.network	3,648,371,999	100%
buildingpies	48,222,390,306	100%
downunder-doctor	591,627,006	100%
cakemonster	6,008,215,911	8%
kerlymera	1,628,697,715	100%
vaporrhino	2,028,242,865	100%
poliwalt10	10,726,729,566	40%
shauner	1,567,740,396	8%
worldhelper	2,365,436,693	41.32%
steem.leo	17,480,048,595	16%
leo.curator	593,668,219	12.8%
asteroids	2,998,558,624	16%
sbi-tokens	31,134,759,024	41.32%
chloem	3,007,434,781	16%
leotrail	555,774,083	16%
bozz.sports	2,817,722,035	4%
qwertm	4,966,593,350	50%
onestop	769,232,583	8%
jordanjosue	1,366,706,701	100%
zeusflatsak	1,528,011,383	100%
dpend.active	1,556,957,810	4.13%
brofund	8,343,849,575	2.78%
leofinance	34,717,827,163	16%
sketching	2,694,728,966	20.66%
ninnu	8,007,404,946	15%
ksam	3,538,371,188	8%
martial.media	4,931,910,264	100%
discohedge	156,447,759	1.73%
wrapped-leo	2,051,611,803	16%
dhedge	32,262,091,011	1.73%
meestemboom	478,739,859	25%
jmsansan.hive	1,167,157,354	8%
dhedge-drips	0	1.73%
ctpx	0	20%
peerfinance	50,808,679,525	100%
yozen	11,464,798,096	40%
hive-111011	1,394,455,413	72%
thecryptopimp	24,433,373,521	72%
tokenpimp	1,041,204,524,789	72%
pimptoken	7,532,615,458	72%
elgatoshawua	2,183,128,970	8%
draygyn	3,582,388,099	40%
brofi	342,564,645,510	2.78%
b-leo	2,420,223,073	16%
moraviareosa	20,970,294	100%
iviaxpow3r	4,864,341,746	40%
re-public	2,330,143,772	20%
brofund-witness	779,406,940	2.78%
holovision.stem	230,003,662	100%
mirteg	10,401,041,823	40%
dibblers.dabs	79,175,955,548	36%
sovstar	1,220,483,354	20.66%
aurikan	7,542,940,956	100%
cugel	5,189,966,368	8%
ingi1976	14,421,914,085	20%
dmelliott	16,936,046,972	100%
psyberx	2,434,472,670,998	80%
svanbo	38,015,524,232	50%
waivio.welcome	620,977,780	1.22%
listnerds	32,104,319,376	20%
woodathegsd	12,726,548,243	100%
zerofucks	1,339,935,274	100%
pimpdistrict	700,207,363	72%
thepimpdistrict	2,188,927,212	72%
ryosai	2,263,457,953	40%
p-leo	2,041,093,760	16%
badge-480085	646,475,673	72%
caelum1infernum	1,628,332,102	20%
onos-f	2,121,678,014	8%
magicfingerz	458,391,291	4%
ctptips	2,179,494,402	15%
nairimcabmer	1,117,014,676	100%
vickvan	893,556,071	50%
p-hive	920,582,510	16%
giotists	2,821,477,710	52%
bnb-hive	4,748,522,756	16%
ydaiznfts2	864,266,054	36%
cubdaily	3,530,161,822	16%
dhedge.leo	0	1.73%
dhedge.waiv	0	1.73%
dhedge.neoxag	0	1.73%
jesus-son	602,640,756	4%
freecompliments	15,533,367,795	100%
hive-140084	1,738,067,517	100%
markmetson	0	100%
lvlraker	1,632,197,092	40%
kerfa	2,274,344,675	100%
lvlranker	1,350,849,427	40%
dhedge.bonus	153,015,534	1.73%
unsubscribe	11,431,951,506	72%
masterrpgbot	94,350,258,777	80%
eds-vote	593,182,165,926	30%
draupnir	678,299,051	16%
dhedge.stem	0	1.73%

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