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Elon Musk Thinks You're In The Matrix Right Now - Pick Your Side In The Simulation Argument (featuring new author @oliverb) by gavvet

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· @gavvet ·
$333.60
Elon Musk Thinks You're In The Matrix Right Now - Pick Your Side In The Simulation Argument (featuring new author @oliverb)
In an interview at the Code Conference 2016, Elon Musk said:
-----------------------------------------------------------------

**"The odds we're in base reality is one in billions."**
--------------------------------------------------------

This was in answer to a question about where he stood on the *Simulation Argument*. [1]

![Matrix gif](https://66.media.tumblr.com/f274a9232ff7854b71b51d65a5043324/tumblr_njw1pql8k41qj1cepo1_500.gif) 

If you haven't come across this argument before, then you have missed one of the greatest movies of all time, The Matrix. Oh, you did see that movie? Then you're familiar with the conundrum; are we in the real universe, or a simulation?

**Musk is betting on the simulation.** 
---------------------------------------------------------------------

Upon reading his words, most of us thought either 'meh', 'cool' or 'hungry, need bacon', and then continued sending birthday posts on Facebook (or stood up and headed to the kitchen). 

**But hold up...** don't you think the possibility that we're in a video game is worth a five minute inspection? At the very least, you need enough information to discard the notion so you can sleep easy at night. Alternatively you might just need enough of a shock to... 

**Wake up, Neo.** 

![enter image description here](https://66.media.tumblr.com/d7d8547ab444676d650d676d37c9de47/tumblr_nm1otfx4ta1rzpyc0o1_400.gif) 

**Before I continue I want to say this:** 
*I'm aware that The Matrix has become an overused metaphor on the internet, especially in conspiracy and new age circles. However, I hope you'll humour me in my use of it here since we're actually not talking metaphorically at all, and that's the point.*

**Where did this idea originate?**
----------------------------------

The idea that our universe might not be 'real' is an **ancient philosophical concept** dating back to the Vedic texts and Indian spirituality where reality is described as "that which exists, but is constantly changing and thus is spiritually unreal." [2]

There are also lots of other occurrences of the same general concept throughout history, such as the idea that we're all 'brain's in a vat' but let's not linger on those.

One recent event has slapped mankind in the face with this possibility more than anything else:

**The development of computers and games.**
---------------------------------------------

It's from that viewpoint that Musk's logic ran. His thought experiment went something like this:

- Look at the rate that our computer power is increasing.
- Consider the 3D, almost photo realistic video games we have right now.
- Add in the coming of age of virtual reality.
- Plus a pinch of The Sims and WOW.
- Now project all this forward 100, 1,000 or even 100,000 years.

And then answer this question:

**Will future generations be capable of creating a perfect simulation of reality?**
------------------------------------------------------------------------

*This is starting to get a little serious... isn't it.*

Let's all take a breath and look at this gif, to remind ourselves that humour is our greatest defence against 'reality'.

![enter image description here](https://66.media.tumblr.com/eefc5aee4e4a67e0633c9fd8676d08cb/tumblr_ncpg70ae2h1tq9q5vo1_500.gif)


**The Simulation Argument (Bostrom's Trilemma)**
--------------------------------------------

Elon Musk is a fan of the work of a Philosopher at the University of Oxford named Nick Bostrom. 

Bostrom is famous for his explorations of existential threats to mankind. In 2003 he created the **simulation argument** in which he argues that one of three propositions must be true.

**Here are Bostrom's three propositions:**

1. Intelligent civilisations almost never reach the stage where they're capable of creating an ancestor simulation.
2. Civilizations who become capable of creating an ancestor simulation are almost never interested in creating them.
3. We're in a simulation.


I should point out as well, that Bostrom proposes that we ourselves might be simulated, rather than real and asleep as in The Matrix. A humbling thought. I for one wish my creator had clicked + on the height button just a little more when deciding on my specs... but who cares, right?

![enter image description here](https://66.media.tumblr.com/63c0857428ccb7583996279a344bb84a/tumblr_nri4wzSjgN1sofkn4o1_400.gif)

I'm not going to attempt to debate all the propositions here, I'll leave that for you to nut out in the comments. I actually can't wait to hear your thoughts and arguments because I find this whole concept fascinating and (oddly) life-affirming.

**So, where do you stand on this and why?**
---------------------------------------------------------------------

**I'm going with number 2 (call me an optimist)**



**Closing thought**
-------------------

To be honest (as well as a little cheeky), it's not hard to understand why Elon Musk might believe that he's in a video game. Presumably, in his game, the aim is to: 

- Start from nothing
- Become the most loved entrepreneur on the planet
- Save the world from fossil fuelled destruction
- Colonise Mars.

That sounds like a pretty fun game... and one he's well on the way to completing.

**But if I'd been allowed to ask one question at Code Conference 2016, it would have been this:**


**"Elon, given that you believe you're in a video game, do you think it's a multiplayer?"**
------------------------------------------------------------------------

--

--

*Sources*

[1] Elon Musk's Interview at Code Conference 2016 (you have to watch this).
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2KK_kzrJPS8

[2] M Hiriyanna (2000), The Essentials of Indian Philosophy, Motilal Banarsidass, ISBN 978-8120813304, pp. 25, 160-161

[3] Nick Bostrom's talk on his simulation argument.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnl6nY8YKHs

[4] Wikipedia (I know, I know)

***@gavvet features authors to promote new authors and a diversity of content. All STEEM Dollars for this post go to the featured author***
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@ba-boo ·
The more real video games become, the more people will begin to believe.
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@bitcointop ·
Exit from the matrix, an attempt of levitation....
https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-E-W_gggoFKQ/V6ByzWgG0qI/AAAAAAACKwo/IC0M4U1ET0EjQSrUCnsx6p47XNxyXKwpA/w426-h564/3.gif
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@capitalism ·
I will start to get interested in the simulation theory of the universe, if somebody can provide cheat codes for it.
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@cryptobro ·
@gavvet,  take the red pill @ned, I mean @neo: stay in Wonderland and I show you how deep the rabbit hole goes. - Morpheus
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@elonmusk ·
You have incorrectly understood my thought
http://memesvault.com/wp-content/uploads/Black-Guy-Meme-Face-Are-You-Serious-04.jpg
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@oliverb ·
You have incorrectly drawn your face.
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@michaelx ·
DUDE YOU WON STEEMIT WITH THAT ONE.
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@exitmass · (edited)
### Okay, here me out-

I am PRO simulation because I believe we try to replicate in this reality what is *given* to us outside of here. And I think we advance, almost subconsciously, in the direction of that reality. Almost like it happened first and we are witnessing its inception.

**Actions:**
- *Most* people prefer video games, reality TV, social media - basically AVATAR based things over *actual* reality

**Knowledge:**
- No matter how far out science looks in space or how deep it looks within we always find something. Like a shroud of knowledge is present to keep the continuity of this life ongoing.
- There has been, in recent times, a sudden uprising in people that honestly believe the earth is flat, concave, or at least not a ball. And completely convinced moon landings, rockets, and outer space travel to be one of the best kept secrets in human history.

**Desires:**
- The term "awakened" has been rejuvenated to describe someone no longer held back by media, programming, gmo foods, homeschooling, anti-vaccination, and Marxism for that matter.

**Feelings:**
- Just look into the mirror with a deep gaze and ask yourself - who is the one that is aware that they're aware? Not how you brush your teeth or comb your hair, but really look into your eyes and you'll witness the thinker who is telling your story.

I could go on but this bleeds into a book/set of blog posts I am working on that goes into the Unwritten Bible of Life, the only thing every living breathing experiences together.


One of the primary reasons for my belief though is something I've never heard everyone talk about or describe in detail the way I see it. 
But in the dark or in certain amounts of light, I can see particles. Particles of light that I can only explain from a 3D modeling perspective that they are like artifacts that exist in this reality. I can see them whenever I want with a certain type of gaze. ESPECIALLY in the dark. They flow and have their own motion - yet can be controlled and changed colors. I know that sounds odd and ruined my whole wall of text. But it's my truth, at least for me.
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@extricati0n ·
$4.66
Holographic universe theory has indeed been around for a long time, and there are different definitions of what exactly constitutes a simulation or reality, so to speak. Ancient texts specifically mentioned the seemingly ethereal nature of the world we live in, with many references to "other dimensions" as being accessible through meditation and and even the use of psychedelics.

All of these are personal experiences being shared through language, a flawed means of communication. Hence the grave misunderstandings that we see everyday associated with the word "god" or "religion." 

I believe we can observe patterns repeating through the different magnitudes of scale that we can observe reality through.
For example, we see the same spirals that form certain galaxies, in relatively tiny objects such as seashells. There is interconnectedness all around us. 

With that being said, the matrix allegory i think specifically refers to the idea that reality is not at all what it seems and that many people are in a "slumber" of sorts. 

For those who have woken up, they would describe their former existence similar to being "in another dimension". All very subjective terms. But when you can juxtapose many different states of consciousness, and analyse them relative to each other like this:

Sobriety  -  dreaming   -    intoxication  -   hallucinations (from sickness or from drugs)  -   meditation   -    the "zone" or "it"

There are even more to add, but the point i'm trying to make is that even during everyday life, we transition through different phases of consciousness. This in turn means that our definition of reality is constantly in flux. If you then apply the logic that if we are in control of our consciousness, we can essentially do anything we put our minds to, this becomes similar to the idea of being in a video game.  

The path to truth is not a straight line. It is a spiral where you return to previous points with a deeper understanding of truth.
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@recursive · (edited)
> The path to truth is not a straight line. It is a spiral where you return to previous points with a deeper understanding of truth.

Very well said. you should consider posting in #philosophy.

I would add that there is a major gap between understanding the truth (on an intellectual level) and actually knowing the truth. The exact same difference there is between understanding how it would feel to lose a loved one, and actually feeling it which for most people is only fully reachable upon actually losing the loved one. The projection is a mental model of reality, the loss is the real thing. Understanding the nature of reality is something that requires a long period of soaking, deliberate inquiry, and serendipitous accidents that throw a cog in the machine and give one a tangible reason to start doubting what she perceives. And it very much is a spiral.
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@stellabelle · (edited)
$1.96
"For those who have woken up, they would describe their former existence similar to being "in another dimension".  Oh, I like this. And I also like the spiral metaphor. And yes, I agree with you. In looking at my own life, a struggle set forth 7 years ago where I outlied my desire to work for myself, I see myself in a series of spiral traps. Mental traps. The main two incompatible things were this: pure creativity + effort = no money. I had a faulty belief system going that went like this: I cannot support myself financially just by my creativity alone. My creativity is not capable of bringing me wealth because the world's systems do not reward pure creativity, when it's divorced from mass appeal and corporate interests. I couldn't find the tiny trap door that led me to creative freedom, or shall I say, I opened the door in 2009, had almost a year of pure creative freedom, then I ran out of money. But that first taste of creative high was enough to send me on a life mission to  cracking the code. Waking up without plans, without schedules, painting, expressing, living, meeting great minds, sharing ideas.....I was hooked. I never wanted to go back to 9-5. But I ran out of money. Found the slavery again, For years. Suffered illness brought upon by corporate environment......I was back in the spiral. My mind was narrow, full of dull minds, and fear had replaced my artistic visions. I crawled, scraped and tried again and again and again. I fell short, always, with money. Money was my curse. Or so I thought. In March I made a firm committment: I will find creative work even if it kills me and makes me go broke. I made the final cut with 9-5 in March 2016, and life has become a mind-melding mix of dreams come true, visions of the future and a health I have not experienced in years. 
Many suffering ailments have vanished. I have dreams, visions, again. Life is full of color again. I am finally out of the Matrix, for as long as I have this connection to organic energy and life. Fear recedes, love takes hold. The paradigm shift is real. I am not that former being who was trapped in a cage of boring metal.
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@faddat ·
Getting better, surely getting better.
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@oliverb · (edited)
Haha - come on @faddat... you can't get more cyberpunk Sci-Fi than Elon Musk, The Matrix and Simulation Theory lol.
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@gregory-f ·
I think the best argument for why we are not in a simulation is this: Given that civilization has advanced to the point where we can create a simulated environment so perfect that it would fool us into believing it is reality.

 _**Why wouldn't we have picked a better time period to recreate?**_ 

What kind of twisted mind would choose to relive this time period? What, was the Great Depression already checked out at the SIM library? Dark Ages not returned yet because _"Ya just can't get enough of the Bubonic Plague"_?
👍  , ,
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@stan ·
How about "because someone is trying to prove a point to somebody else" that requires these initial conditions?
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@herzmeister · (edited)
$0.79
Also, if you're a programmer, quantum theory should make perfect sense to you. Even the effect that is known as Schrödinger's Cat should be very obvious to you and no mystery. How? Reality seems to behave *exactly* like a game engine.

In quantum theory it's often jokingly explained that the Copenhagen Interpretation would mean that the moon would disappear when no one is looking at it. Well, that's exactly how a game engine works. The world is only rendered where there is an observer.

Similarly, the cat in the box isn't rendered until it's opened. The calculations if the cat is dead or alive are not executed until triggered by the act of observation. This is called *Lazy Evaluation* in programming, especially *Functional Programming*.

Also the phenomenon of *Quantum Entanglement*, where particles seem to communicate *instantly*, i.e. bypassing the speed of light, is easily explained. The entangled particles are actually properties of the same object in the machine's memory, and are merely rendered to different spots out into the game world.
👍  , , , , , , , ,
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@burmik123 ·
reality for me is that, in wich i belive. everything is false. For me.
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@gavvet ·
$0.67
Got to love quantum theory and as you say, games explain it best... maybe I will write-up a bit on QM from a perceived reality perspective one day.
👍  , , ,
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@oliverb ·
That's right - there's also an idea that the Universe seems to behave like a hologram, I believe. So interesting.
👍  ,
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@isaac.asimov ·
Flesch Kincaid Grade Level
Hi! This post has a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flesch%E2%80%93Kincaid_readability_tests">Flesch-Kincaid</a> grade level of 7.3 and reading ease of 73%. This puts the writing level on par with Tom Clancy and F. Scott Fitzgerald.
👎  ,
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@jacor ·
$0.67
Well written @oliverb.  The question is will you take the red pill?
👍  , ,
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@oliverb ·
I took both ;-)
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@johnnyyash ·
I've often thought about this.  At one time I did think we live in a simulation.  Although, I slightly changed my perspective on the subject.  Most of you may laugh or even make fun of me, but I've come to believe the Earth is flat and we live under a dome.   The dome is the Firmament that God created that separates Heaven from Earth.  We have been deceived by NASA, Hollywood, and other government organizations.
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@jonasontheroof ·
Interesting! This has been a source of mindfuck for people since the 1640s and Descartes' "being in a dream"-argument. If you like Descartes and/or the topic, read my essay on his evidence of the external world here: https://steemit.com/writing/@jonasontheroof/essay-knowledge-of-the-external-world
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@kendewitt ·
Was gonna post a reply but figured, hey, why not just write it as a separate post? So, [here it is](https://steemit.com/philosophy/@kendewitt/why-elon-musk-is-trying-to-create-a-new-reality-and-why-you-are-too)
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@logic ·
Here is my full response post to your post above and to stan's response to your post:
https://steemit.com/philosophy/@logic/universe-as-simulation-virtual-reality-created-by-super-dimensional-super-cybernated-semi-organic-race-direct-response-to-stan
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@lorddominik007 · (edited)
$0.68
Now this is all very interesting and deep, but I just can't wait to get my own universe simulation. 
GO SCIENCE !!!
http://img.pandawhale.com/post-8766-Jesse-Pinkman-YEAH-SCIENCE-gif-fzBK.gif
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@lukestokes ·
I love these discussions. :) It's interesting to me how much of a connection there is between the morality of A.I., universal basic income because of automation, and potential deeper truths concerning the nature of our reality (simulation hypothesis, holographic universe, etc). I just finished reading Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence book and highly recommend it.

If we are living in a simulation, let's live lives interesting enough to keep the simulation running, shall we?

If you like this topic, you might enjoy this <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wgSZA3NPpBs">2 hour panel discussion</a> at the 2016 Isaac Asimov Memorial Debate.
👍  
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@matrioshka ·
Here's a thought... If you're in a simulated reality you better make sure your life is interesting!
Speaking from a personal perspective I only have limited room on my hard drive, and anything I get bored with soon gets deleted...
👍  ,
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@matrixdweller ·
You aren't in the Matrix Neo, You ARE the Matrix.
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@michaellamden68 ·
Thanks for sharing. 

https://67.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_lmfix57faG1qhq4cpo1_400.gif
👍  
👎  ,
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vote details (3)
@nenad-ristic ·
$0.05
One assumption that the simulation argument always makes is that there is a real world (or that there was), yet I personally consider it far more likely that we are in a simulation which does not actually reflect the "real world" completely. I think that it is far more likely that we are either a simplification of the real world, or the real world has a completely different set of natural laws, and we are either some sort of entertainment or artwork.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@prufarchy ·
$3.92
This was well covered in Rick and Morty. As more research gets done, it's amusing to see that the universe has the appearance of a program. Maybe this is the classroom
👍  , , , , , ,
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@qonq99 ·
https://media.giphy.com/media/FHCHRtwAZgGFq/giphy.gif
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@rickydevil ·
Nice @gavvet 
 Shot you an Upvote :)
👎  
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@sisterholics ·
pretty cool post
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@spetey ·
I'm inlined to think that the odds are pretty good we're in a simulation, but I'm also inclined to think for reasons like [the ones philosopher David Chalmers gives](http://consc.net/papers/matrix.html), it doesn't matter that much. If physicists announced a consensus tomorrow that there's strings at the bottom instead of bosons and fermions, I'd be like, "huh, cool, so that's what we're made of." And Chalmers suggests we should have the same reaction if it's bits at the bottom - "huh, cool, so that's what we're made of."

Though contrary to that, I just remembered [some intriguing advice](http://www.transhumanist.com/volume7/simulation.html) from wacky but smart Robin Hanson about how to live if we *are* in a simulation.
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@spiz0r ·
I really like Bostrom's simultaion theory. I read and watched a lot of videos in this subject . 

One is really interesting: **when is the simulation over?**
I assume the simulation needs a lot of energy, it cannot run forever.
If we are able to create and run ancestor simulations, it will cost  a lot more power for the system, and they need to shut it down. It is possible we are not the first simulation, so the people who simulate us are also a simulation.

Another one could be if we found out we are living in a simulation, because we will act differently.

Also the simulation theory could answer to the fermi paradox, maybe we are alone, because the simulation is focused on the evolution on earth and they will run a more complex simulation later.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@stellabelle ·
I watched the Musk video when it came out and was naturally sent into a ball of confusion, like everyone else. In trying to grasp this idea, I think of the way our world functions today. Everything in it and all the man-made systems are designed by a handful of people, not the majority of people. The way a subdivision is created is made by a few developers. I believe that scarcity is designed into our reality on purpose: to keep humans enslaved so that they are forced to transfer their energy and wealth to the gatekeepers.
Let's look at a subdivision. Food forests are not designed into the areas surrounding the homes. They are instead designed without any thought to nature, except superficial grass and "nice" shrubs. If those grasses and shrubs were instead filled with blackberry bushes, and walnut trees, you'd have an abundance-filled area. This is just one example. Another example is how we have been conditioned to think about what we deserve.

We all buy into the cult of personality regarding Musk. We discount the fact that he makes insane demands on others and frequently abuses people close to him. His personal assistant of many years, who was loyal to him was cast off in one of Musk's absurd tirades. These shortcomings of a man who has achieved cult status are routinely ignored. 

I would say that Musk's assessment is correct in that we are in a simulation, but I would assert that we are in a simulation of a few narrow minds of a past time. Many of the great leaders of the freedom movements were killed off before their missions could be accomplished. We're in a simulation of past murdered saints whose mission could not be fulfilled. 

I think Musk could be correct in his assessment regarding the future. There are already two kinds of people on earth: the debt slaves and the owners. If this is ever to get balanced out, people are going to need to undergo massive mind deprogramming to make them aware that they do not exist in a world of their own choosing, but instead, they are merely cogs in a wheel of a past paradigm, one that was not created to enhance their human qualities. 

Most people have been reduced to thinking of themselves in terms of productivity and machine-like functions.  "Get a job" "Don't be lazy" "Be productive". Well, humans were not built to be productive for a set 8 hours at a time, every day, like a machine. That's for machines. The human mind works more like a bubbling pot of ideas, impulses, thoughts and actions. It gets energy from sharing ideas, so working in isolation in a cubicle is not ideal for the growth of a mind. Sure, some like to work alone, but most don't. 

The idea of a corporation with a hierarchy and a limited set of actions one can do throughout a day is a simulation of a bad idea. It also goes against nature and natural laws of free movement and energy transmission. Energy within a human is just as valid as energy within an object. Movement is constant and necessary, it's just normal.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@suicidemime ·
Man falling in the trash, it's Russian meme. xD
Compiling the Matrix excellent.
Thank you! You  make my day!
![](https://img1.steemit.com/0x0/https://66.media.tumblr.com/eefc5aee4e4a67e0633c9fd8676d08cb/tumblr_ncpg70ae2h1tq9q5vo1_500.gif)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I34fTSSgdQ0
👍  
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vote details (1)
@timsaid ·
$0.70
The more technology advances the more we realize how little we do know about the universe. Maybe we don't want to know the answer to this question
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vote details (5)
@toper ·
Which do you choose ?
http://bogushtime.com/sites/default/files/styles/ck-large/public/media/blog/pills.jpg?itok=n_QSC1iN
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@usnewspress ·
I enjoyed your post!
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@vapekings14 ·
all i can say... Dude show me proof and I believe you
👍  
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@vlad ·
$3.94
http://lozhki.net/pic_mnms.jpg
👍  , , , , , , ,
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@gavvet ·
$0.03
Cool M&M's
👍  ,
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@burmik123 ·
and now imagine, that Neo is daltonian man...
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@vlad ·
)))
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@yonuts ·
Although the arguments about technology make sense from Elon Musk, there based on our knowledge right now. The  result of  technologies becoming better and faster could also be something else what we at this moment even not can imagine. Like a fish only knows his own fishbowl and not the world outside that fishbowl.
👍  ,
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root_title"Elon Musk Thinks You're In The Matrix Right Now - Pick Your Side In The Simulation Argument (featuring new author @oliverb)"
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vote details (2)