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Will Robots Replace Musicians? by heymattsokol

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· @heymattsokol ·
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Will Robots Replace Musicians?
When a computer finally writes a great work of art, will it be a triumph or a tragedy? 

http://i.imgur.com/ie2ZYgu.png?1

Imagine opening up an app, syncing it to your Spotify account, and having it create an original album tuned to your exact music taste. It’s instrumental - let’s assume the app can’t fake a human voice yet - but it sounds amazing to your ears. It’s exactly the kind of music you like.

If the app was able to create a new equally enjoyable record for you every few days - perhaps for a subscription fee - would you use it? If everybody uses it, do human musicians become obsolete?

<h3>Not a Good Outcome</h3>

This sounds terrible to me. As a musician, I hope to see a world where more people are able to make living from music, especially outside the world of pop and commercial jingles. It would be beautiful to see more artists making a living off of records without getting famous or weird about it.

I should be clear: I view songwriting and production as the two elements of music that are uniquely human. 

If robots are invented that can play physical musical instruments better than humans, that might have some weird implications, but I don’t think it would affect the music industry. You won’t pay to see a robot band play your favorite songs, you want the real human experience. 

On the other hand, if computers can generate the best music recordings in the world, that changes everything. Humans will be turned into mere cover artists, reinterpreting the work of our computer overlords. Songwriting and production are where the rubber meets the road on this philosophical issue.

<h3>The Human Element</h3>

Looking at computer-created artwork gives you a fascinating lens on what makes humans special. 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fKRdRzhMgbU

The first computer song you hear, such as this orchestral piece written by the Iamus Computer, can creep you out. The prospect of computers dominating humans in the art world feels very real for a moment. Then… you keep listening, and the fear dissipates.

Computer songs don’t have soul. They lack life. Crawl around the internet for this topic and it’s so obvious what I mean. Here's another one to listen to:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cbb08ifTzUk

Keep in mind that these are the best examples of computer songs. Humans listen to them and don’t post the terrible ones. There’s a filter, essentially a human-computer team, which is biasing the results to be better than they should be, and the results still suck.

The problem is that computers treat artwork like a math problem. Art isn’t a mathematical construct with steady rules. Ethan Hein points this out here (http://www.ethanhein.com/wp/2014/will-musicians-ever-be-replaced-by-robots/).

Ethan’s example is that art is like evolution. Computers can analyze what happened in our evolutionary chains in the past to help us understand genetics - but they can’t predict who is going to exist in the next generation. There’s too many unknown variables, butterfly effects, and random chance. 

Likewise, art is made up of memes that evolve over time. You can analyze the past rules, which will allow computers to write new songs in the exact style of past artists. However, computers lack the innate human gift of crystallizing new ideas and seeing the world more wisely. 

I would argue that the exact thing that is missing from computer songs is the human element. Humans can create new ideas in a way that other animals and computers cannot do. That’s how we have come to create civilization, art, and everything else. 

<h3>Where Computers Will Replace Artists</h3>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WiziVsuzZnA

With all that said, computers will replace some human musician jobs. 

There’s already a lot of software out there creating bland background music for people. How long will it be before major TV networks can subscribe to computer programs that create generic musical tags for sports events? Or for computers to generate music for the weather channel?

I could see computers creating facsimile music, designed to sound as similar to a hit song as possible without breaking the law. This royalty-free music would be appealing to owners of shops, restaurants, gyms, and other public establishments.

These substitutions will hurt the people who would have otherwise gotten paid to write that music. It’s not a great situation. But it’s only going to effect a small corner of the music industry.

<h3>The Worst Case Scenario</h3>

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ZXrwm6iu54

I’ll wrap things up with the worst case scenario: What if computers learn to write better songs than us, complete with human voices and lyrics? What if they can give you as much new music as you can listen to, and it’s always exactly what you want?

The normal system of humans creating music for each other would be ruined. As a composer and music producer, my craft would be destroyed.

Sure, live bands would still exist, and fringe groups of human music appreciation clubs would be out there. These would do nothing to save the music industry as we know it, which would truly collapse in a way that the crisis of the early 2000’s didn’t even come close to.

Humans would shift heavily towards the consumption of art, with few people creating professional quality music anymore. Those humans that do practice music would focus on learning the most popular computer songs. 

The world would ultimately become a more sedentary place, with humans losing much of their energy and creative spark. We would forget how to flex our creative muscles, becoming increasingly reliant on the computers. 

In time, we may forget that humans ever wrote music at all.

<h3>follow me: @heymattsokol</h3>
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@edje ·
I can understand computer generated music may not have 'soul', and may not have that 'umpf', that it may not address the true music lover who really listens. 
But I do think that computer will be able to generate music the mass will like; The Music for elevator/hotel/shop; Even Music that will get into the top x of weekly music charts. I believe for most people, music must be quite 'simple' and easy for the ears/brain. 

BTW, I've written a post on AI and Music Creation as well, including the Iamus development. The YouTube video does not really give me a fantastic impression, but hey, classical music through YouTube and phone/laptop speakers, I just cannot really hear it. The reviews were actually very enthusiastic (see my post for links to quality news channels such as BBC, Guardian etc).

https://steemit.com/music/@edje/artificial-intelligence-ai-becoming-real-humans-quality-music-compositions-getting-reality
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@heymattsokol ·
The Iamus piece was the only one to really freak me out, in turns of sounding very convincingly human. I think it helps though that it's a really estoric style of music - I don't listen to much super lush, semi-tonal orchestral music, so it's hard to judge.

this draws a big parallel to chess with me - maybe human + computer teams are better  than either humans OR computers are by themselves. thanks for reading!
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@edje ·
> this draws a big parallel to chess with me - maybe human + computer teams are better than either humans OR computers are by themselves. thanks for reading!

Maybe for now. I actually believe for games such as Chess, computers will be much better than humans. Actually I believe that for almost all tasks we can imagine, including creative/design of systems, AI will become good enough they can do this instead of humans needing to do it. But, lets see how this will play out for music, and movies and other high creative tasks.
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@steevc ·
We've heard for years that machines would replace human musicians. I expect player pianos caused a panic back then and I remember it came up with samplers. In cases where cost matters more than quality it will be happening. The thing is that computers keep improving and what they produce will evolve. Whether it has musical value is up to the listeners.
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@heymattsokol ·
Ya, good point - robot musicians is almost a Y2K-level bust at this point, since drummers aren't out of work from drum machines. Hopefully the listeners keep supporting real human musicians :-)
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@steevc ·
I think we will see more tools to provide accompaniment. There are already some out there for the solo musician. There are aspects of music that can be analysed and synthesised. They may even be able to react to gestures, e.g. let's speed up a bit. 

Musicians have been quick to adopt other technology. This could just be another tool to use. I don't expect human creativity to be replaced too soon
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