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Consumption is not the problem. by jaredhowe

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· @jaredhowe ·
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Consumption is not the problem.
<center><img src="http://cdn-2-service.phanfare.com/images/external/10369803_6246459_266113936_Full_3/0_0_daa528146be907227cb6d2228539da22_1v"></center>

It's not uncommon to hear someone lamenting the woes of consumption and consumerism when looking for something on which to blame the world's problems. However, consumption isn't bad in and of itself. In fact, you'll literally die if you stop consuming. 

If nothing else, everyone needs to eat.

Nonetheless, many people express that they feel like they're being encouraged to consume more than they otherwise would. They aren't wrong for feeling this way. <strong>They ARE being encouraged to consume more than they otherwise would.</strong> And there's a reason for that. Contrary to popular opinion, that reason is not "greedy business owners"; it's the distortion of incentives created by fractional reserve central banking and artificial interest rate manipulation.

<h2>The Federal Reserve</h2>

<center><img src="http://blogs-images.forbes.com/jeffreydorfman/files/2014/03/6272654993_e4f58a3c65_b.jpg"></center>

The Federal Reserve is the largest pyramid scheme of all time. It's also the most successful socialist experiment of all time. In accordance with the socialist doctrines of central banking and centralized control of credit expansion, price controls were imposed by the Federal Reserve on interest rates. Interest rates have an extremely important market function: they are the price one pays for borrowing money.

<h2>The market function of interest rates.</h2>

Why should borrowing have a price? Because people have <a href="https://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Time_preference">time preference</a>, and because resources are finite. Time is a scarce, rivalrous means that must always be taken into consideration. All uses of time come with <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opportunity_cost">opportunity costs</a>. <strong>It is impossible to remain indifferent with regard to the passing of time</strong>. People use money because they expect to be able to exchange it for scarce resources, thereby bidding those resources away from others. In order for someone to lend money, they have to forego consumption in the present in order to be able to consume more later. When someone borrows money, they have to forego consumption in the future in order to be able to consume more in the present. All other things being equal, interest rates are the point at which a lender's willingness to forego present consumption intersects with a borrower's time preference for consumption in the present.

Again, all other things being equal, the higher the lender's time preference for future consumption, the higher the asking interest rate. Likewise, the higher the borrower's time preference for consumption, the higher the interest rate he'll be willing to pay. The imposition of an artificially high universal <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_floor">price floor</a> on interest rates would therefore result in less consumption than would occur otherwise. Likewise, the imposition of an artificially low universal <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Price_ceiling">price ceiling</a> on interest rates would result in more consumption than would occur otherwise.

<h2>The distortion of market incentives.</h2>

<center><img src="https://si.wsj.net/public/resources/images/BA-BF020_trusts_G_20140502155111.jpg"></center>

When the price of borrowing money is kept artificially low by the Federal Reserve (as prescribed by leftists and Keynesians of all flavors) instead of being determined by the choices of individual lenders and borrowers, it forces lenders to make loans which wouldn't have occurred otherwise and which don't reflect their actual time preference, which results in an inflationary expansion of credit, which results in increased consumption. The individuals closest to the nodes where this new credit enters the market are the ones who benefit the most from it. The individuals closest to this first set of individuals are who benefit second most from this expansion of credit. And so on, and so forth. As you can imagine, having access to so much purchasing power at such low cost can be <em>extremely addictive</em>. 

As this new credit makes its way through the market, it causes decentralized, localized price inflation that ripples through the entire economy in a slow motion phenomenon called the <a href="https://azizonomics.com/2012/08/07/the-cantillon-effect/">Cantillon effect</a>. The Cantillon effect creates disparities in exchange rates between different goods and commodities in different geographical areas, thereby creating opportunities for <a href="https://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Arbitrage">arbitrage</a>, which allows speculators and traders to profit without actually producing anything. This can become as addictive as having access to low or no interest fiat currency. Such an addiction en masse leads to what leftists call "reckless speculative investing".

<h2>"Unforeseen" consequences.</h2>

<center><img src="http://www.solletica.it/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/karma_domino.jpg"></center>

Artificial inflation and interest rate manipulation has several unintended and unforeseen consequences. Unforeseen by leftists and Keynesians, anyway. One problem is that the creation of credit is also the creation of debt. When a portion of the debt is repaid, it's like matter meeting anti-matter. The corresponding credit is obliterated, and the currency supply deflates. 

However, the interest owed on the debt is never created or circulated. This means that <em>there is never enough credit in circulation to repay existing debts</em>.

As a result, the easy credit enjoyed by those at market nodes closest to the central bank only lends itself to a short, euphoric high which gives way to panic and desperation when it is realized that some borrowers will have to default. This is essentially why the "trickle down effect" lambasted  by many left-leaning politicians ultimately fails. There will always be more debt and therefore more demand for fiat currency than there is currency in supply to repay the debt. Any attempts to create even more fiat currency with which to repay the debt simultaneously creates more debt, which means the debt only goes up and never down. Leftists blame both this failure and the failure of speculative investing on the greed of market actors when, in reality, <strong>these failures are caused by the very interest rate manipulation that leftists prescribe</strong>. 

<h2>Inflation punishes people who save money.</h2>

<center><img src="https://cdn.gobankingrates.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/why_banks_wont_increase_savings_account_rates.jpg"></center>

The other problem is that resources are scarce and rivalrous. When credit is created from nothing and circulated as currency, it can be used to bid away real resources from other people. As supply of an available resource goes down relative to demand, price increases. This means that people who save their currency are able to buy more with it in the present than they will be able to buy in the future. This defeats the point of saving, thereby incentivizing spending. 

<h2>Conclusion</h2>

The debasement of the currency supply through the artificial manipulation of interest rates and the resulting expansion of credit destroys all incentive to forego present consumption in favor of future consumption. This is not a failure of markets or of economics; <strong>it is a failure of econometrics and socialist, market intervention</strong>. The existing mixed market economy exists as a spread over a monopolized currency supply, artificial interest rates, and myriad regulations and micro-interventions, each of which was introduced to address problems created by the last. 

To blame the market for the failures of market intervention is to throw the baby out with the bathwater. People aren't being encouraged to consume because of the market; they're being encouraged to consume because of the ways in which the people calling themselves "government" intervene with the market through the initiation of force.

The bad news is that you wasted your money if your degree in economics is from a school that doesn't teach Mises or Rothbard. 

The good news is that <a href="https://mises.org/library/human-action-0/html/pp/868">Laissez-faire</a> is all that is required to fix these problems. 

<h2>About the Author</h2>

<em>I'm <a href="http://www.facebook.com/therealjaredhowe">Jared Howe</a>! I'm a <a href="http://www.facebook.com/j3443one">Voluntaryist hip hop artist</a> and professional technical editor/writer with a passion for Austrian economics and universal ethics. You can catch my podcast every Friday on the <a href="http://www.theseedsofliberty.com/">Seeds of Liberty Podcast Network</a>.</em>

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@freebornangel ·
You can't solve the problems of crapitalism with more crapitalism.
Chattel slavery has had it's edges taken off by better quarters and more leisure, now we call it wage slavery, and those that falsely think themselves free are in the majority.
This is an answer from the other side, you call yourself a voluntaryist, but you reference the rhetoric of your oppressor,....
http://theanarchistlibrary.org/library/anarcho-anarchist-economics

We have to have workers, we don't have to have dollars.
Keep working, stop paying.
FBA
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@jaredhowe ·
$0.04
How do you propose to solve the economic calculation without prices?

The word "capitalism" isn't mentioned once in my article. Is it your position that socialist price controls are a feature of capitalism?

You seem a bit confused, friend.
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@freebornangel ·
Lol, I'm sure I do sound confused, but only from the perspective provided you by your data.
Your cognitive dissonance must be making that klaxon sound.
Mine did, for many years.
However the fact remains, we have to have workers, the work is not going to do it's self.

You didn't have to mention crapitalism, your entire perspective is controlled by  it.
'Socialist price controls', 'economic calculation', 'prices', indeed.
This is getting tl;dr, and I hope that my concise doesn't come off as terse. One world, 'yo!
Did you read the essay?
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@freebornangel ·
You haven't expressed a question I can answer.
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@pjkj77 ·
Hey, good read. I get the gist of all this but I have a more practical question. Suppose you have someone who was wise enough to save his money, say to the tune of a years salary and lots of equity in his house. Now, you're right that savers are basically being punished with artificially low interest rates. Now if this person was a tradesmens and wanted to start his own business, is it wiser to go for it and invest in capital goods such as tablesaws, cnc router, etc, considering they will not only make money but perhaps be more valuable than holding, said fiat currency in a bank? Serious question, I am new to Austrian economics and wanted some advice on moving forward. My thinking is if/eventually the shit hits the fan and our money is deemed less valuable or worthless, wouldn't tools and guns, something to show for it, be more practical. I am not talking about completely clearing out an account but perhaps taking a shot at a business now, as opposed to later?
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@jaredhowe ·
> Now if this person was a tradesmens and wanted to start his own business, is it wiser to go for it and invest in capital goods such as tablesaws, cnc router, etc, considering they will not only make money but perhaps be more valuable than holding, said fiat currency in a bank? Serious question, I am new to Austrian economics and wanted some advice on moving forward.

That depends on the business model of that tradesman and their ability to execute. It very well could be. It's also possible that they might lose more resources than they would through simply saving. That's the risk of being an entrepreneur. 

>  My thinking is if/eventually the shit hits the fan and our money is deemed less valuable or worthless, wouldn't tools and guns, something to show for it, be more practical.

Than fiat currency? More than likely. "Our money" presumes that FRN's are money though. They aren't. For something to be money, it has to follow the regression theorem, like gold and silver. Gold and silver would be a better long term investment than FRN's, even though you can't eat it. People will still need mediums of exchange when the federal reserve collapses in the footprint of its own debts. 

> I am not talking about completely clearing out an account but perhaps taking a shot at a business now, as opposed to later?

That's a decision that can only be made by the individual in the position to do so. I certainly wouldn't feel comfortable making that call on someone else's behalf without specific data with which to conduct a cost benefit analysis.
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vote details (1)
@pjkj77 ·
No one is going to put all their eggs in one basket nor should they. I was thinking more along the lines of buying power now as opposed to later, something becoming more scarce and then more expensive. I completely get what your saying about the FRNs, but since I am just starting to scratch the surface of these concepts, I mistakenly used it interchangeably as "money". Anyway thanks for responding, I will do my due diligence and learn more about these things!
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@profitgenerator ·
Well fractional reserve banking is clearly a scam, everyone who puts their money in the bank, thinks they will act as custodians of that money, but that is not true. The money is lend to the bank, and you are an investor. The contract doesn't specify this, so they are legally scamming their clients, as the laws are on their favour. And if the bail-in comes, it's your risk not theirs.
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