It's estimated that 47% of jobs will be taken over by AI, robots, drones or computers in general by 2033. I personally believe it could be even much more. However, governments are doing their best to create millions of useless artificial (in a different sense) jobs already and they will keep doing this in the future as well. These jobs can be easily replaced already if not in twenty years. But will they? Probably not that fast, mainly because bureaucratic obstacles or just because it's still too much expensive until huge unemployment issue is resolved.  ## Drivers Technology is ready. It drives better, it drives safer, it doesn't sleep, it doesn't drink.  * Prototypes: today * Mainstream: 2020 ## Delivery boys Amazon is already testing delivery drones. Autonomous cars will do the rest.  * Prototypes: today * Mainstream: 2020 ## Pilots There is already technology that provides a better result than best Top Gun pilots with almost no cost. Pilot is an overpriced obsolete profession. Hardware to replace pilot costs about 200$. Pilot cost about 10,000$ monthly. Do your own math.  * Prototypes: today * Mainstream: military - today, civil - 2020 ## Doctors Computers and knowledge learning machines provide better diagnose than the best physicians. Still, physicians cannot be fully replaced yet in most areas.  * Prototypes: now * Mainstream: 2025 ## Bakers Baking robots are already here. Although they still need more intelligence.  * Prototypes: now * Mainstream: 2025 ## Bankers They were obsolete a long time ago but now (with blockchain) they are really annoying expensive dinosaurs. They will not be easily replaced as they hold significant financial and political power. * Prototype: ready * Mainstream: 2025  ## Factory workers These are the hard-workers of these days but already beaten in productivity by machines. Time to find another job. * Prototypes: 10 years ago * Mainstream: now  ## Lawyers and clerks Once laws are written transparently as an algorithm via smart contracts lawyers will be completely obsolete. Again they are holding significant political power under current pathetic law system, it will be slow and painful process to replace them.  * Prototype: now * Mainstream: 2030 (optimistic) ## Politicians They are expensive, often corrupted, often mistaken. Best candidates to be replaced. Part of them can stay as a basic decision making. It will be impossible to replace them without huge revolutions, though.  * Prototype: now * Mainstream: probably never (realistic) ## Actors Well, this is still expensive and used only when necessary (an actor is either dead or old or when some magic tricks that real actor cannot handle on a screen are needed, etc.). But in 5-10 years, definitely.  * Prototype: now * Mainstream: 2020-2025 ## Models Seems that we still prefer living models however pretty soon artificial models will be better for this purpose than living people.  * Prototype: 2020 (comparable prototypes) * Mainstream: 2025 ## Teachers Most teachers will not be necessary. Only the best will stay and each of them will be able to teach millions of people at once. Again, this will go slower because a government is involved here.  * Prototype: 2005 * Mainstream: 2020 # Concluding dilemma This progress could create quite a paradise for people but there is a big if. If politicians and global elites make this wrong (and based on experience with them they definitely will), it can end ugly like on the last picture. Therefore as always it's better to trust God than any technological progress. 
author | jimmco |
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permlink | machines-are-almost-ready-to-take-over-your-boring-job-get-ready |
category | ai |
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Just own or buy an AI and have it work for you.
author | karbonxx |
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permlink | re-jimmco-machines-are-almost-ready-to-take-over-your-boring-job-get-ready-20160824t210237496z |
category | ai |
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yeah, best way from this perspective is to have your own army of AI workers :)
author | jimmco |
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permlink | re-karbonxx-re-jimmco-machines-are-almost-ready-to-take-over-your-boring-job-get-ready-20160824t210817251z |
category | ai |
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This reminds me a bit of my recent post on the jobs that I enjoyed doing. I think that although AI and robotics are showing a potential for creating major job loss there is still a potential that we may develop a system that works without forcing people to do work in the traditional sense. How that works out is anyone's guess because we’ve build a system that works using scarcity and competition. The jobs we do in the future may not resemble anything we are seeing now as more people could support each other just because it feels right to do so rather than for any direct monetary compensation.
author | lightsplasher |
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permlink | re-jimmco-machines-are-almost-ready-to-take-over-your-boring-job-get-ready-20160824t224944952z |
category | ai |
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Yeah, it would be nice to see such a scenario. Thing is that I already heard this optimistic forecasts maybe twenty years ago. Productivity was hugely increasing during last years but surprisingly deficits are as well. Governments, global elites and all the remaining socialists will always make it somehow that regardless all the efficiency and technical progress, majority people will be always poor and taxes and mandatory insurance will be always requested. Simply said, the established system will always eat more than a productive environment can produce and it will create pressure to everyone for complete employed. Just a health service is able to consume unlimited amount of resources. But yeah, let's hope this time it will be different.
author | jimmco |
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permlink | re-lightsplasher-re-jimmco-machines-are-almost-ready-to-take-over-your-boring-job-get-ready-20160825t164945800z |
category | ai |
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