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Bitcoin Hashrate dropping post Halving... by jrcornel

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @jrcornel ·
$26.36
Bitcoin Hashrate dropping post Halving...
# Bitcoin is seeing a notable dip in its total hashrate post halving...

In a move that shouldn't really be surprising to anyone, the total hashrate for bitcoin is dropping after its latest halving.

After climbing to record highs going into the halving, we are already seeing a dip on the other side of it.

Check it out:

https://i.postimg.cc/3r6YW2pW/Capture.png

(Source: https://www.blockchain.com/charts/hash-rate)

# This shouldn't really be a surprise to anyone...

It's been talked about numerous times in the past that the halving is bullish for everyone, except miners.

Especially in the short term.

In the short term they are going to see their revenue decline significantly.

Some miners will be forced out all together, which in turn will lower the difficultly level and make it easier for the remaining miners to turn a profit.

What is a surprise, so far, is that the decline in hashrate is actually LESS than what some were expecting...

Jan Capek of Slush told Decrypt that this was expected, saying:

> β€œYes, this was expected. Estimates varied between 10-25% dropping off as old-gen hardware became unprofitable, so the ~15% drop we've seen so far was actually on the lower side.”

On the lower side you say?

Denis Rusinovich, who runs a 80 MW mining operation in Kazakhstan also said he expected a bit more decline as well...

> β€œIt was generally expected by miners that overall drop will be around 30%, but clearly one major driver that no one could expect is BTC price level. That gave additional support for less efficient miners to stay afloat the last two weeks."

(Source: https://decrypt.co/28763/bitcoin-hashrate-is-tanking-nobody-panic)

Not to mention we saw huge drops in BCH, BSV, and LTC in both total hashrate and price immediately following their halving events.

# We may have to wait a bit to fully see the effects...

It may be too soon just yet to form any kind of conclusions on the total hashrate decline.

The current decline is likely not all the way factored in yet as the hashrate metric is a lagging indicator that is calculated at the end of each day based on averages...

https://i.postimg.cc/x1QvDJ6F/Capture.png

(Source: https://twitter.com/matt_odell/status/1260547941867159553)

Which means it will really take a few weeks to see the full effects of the halving on the total hashrate.

So, while some may be surprised at the smaller than expected drop, they may also just need to wait a bit more to see if that 30% number does indeed play out.

Though, if the price of bitcoin stays up where it is or continues to go higher, the drop in hashrate will likely be minimal.

Which is pretty impressive considering how the rewards per block were just sliced in half.

It really goes to show exactly how robust and resilient the total entire network is right now.

Not to mention that it settles as much money as the largest payment processors in the world, was launched with no seed funding or venture capital, has never gone public, never had a CEO, and has only existed for roughly 12 years or so...

Yea, it's impressive.

Stay informed my friends.

-Doc
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vote details (1)
@hooked2thechain · (edited)
$0.09
I heard Andreas Antonopoulus say that a drop in hash rate is no big deal as the mining difficulty will adjust to become easier which balances things out. Does that make sense? Sometimes it's hard to get my head around the nuances of these systems.
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vote details (1)
@jrcornel ·
Yes, that is exactly how it works.
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@mtl1979 ·
Difficulty will eventually adjust, but there is significant delay when it comes to Bitcoin...

Even if some miners go offline, other miners will take over instantly because every miner connected to one pool compete in who finds the best nonce faster than other miners. The best nonce from each pool then compete with each other.

What we see as hash rate is just measurement of how statistically difficult it was to find specific nonce, it doesn't actually mean the miner tried that many nonces.
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vote details (2)
@hooked2thechain ·
I noticed that "h@jrcornel" resteemed your post. I'm not sure what this means, I mean the name is almost the same as your. What is the "h" for?

Posted Using [LeoFinance](https://leofinance.io/@hooked2thechain/qab85z)
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@jrcornel ·
Good question. I posted it in the GEMS community and then resteemed it from the hive.blog website in order to get it to show up on the main blog portion of the site. Perhaps that is what you are seeing?
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@hooked2thechain ·
$0.09
Yes I suppose so, I'm just not familiar with the "h" in front of the name.
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@oldtimer.leo ·
No price dip?

Posted Using [LeoFinance](https://leofinance.io/@oldtimer.leo/qab1kk)
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@jrcornel ·
Either that drop from $10k to $8k was the dip, or it will take a little time to play out. Last halving saw a major drop roughly 3 weeks post halving.
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@mtl1979 ·
Everything is delayed by at least 2 weeks when it comes to Bitcoin... With coins that have faster difficulty adjusting, the delay is considerably shorter.

What we see now for Bitcoin is actually result of what happened approximately 2 weeks ago.
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@pouchon ·
I like the way to finish the post.
If the value of #btc grows to level around $14k (just pick a number)
I think all miners will stay and that 30% may not affect them

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