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Why Downvotes Contradict Decentralization - A Mathematical Perspective by khrom

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· @khrom · (edited)
Why Downvotes Contradict Decentralization - A Mathematical Perspective
**Recently, the topic of downvotes I brought up has led to another brilliant conclusion, this time aimed at people with a mathematical mindset. The author of this insight is the user @dotevo. To finally deal with downvotes, let us use his example based on the model below and then do some math. ;)**

### Here is the hypothesis he put forward:

> "Once, I described a hypothetical situation to illustrate the main problem, but I think it’s worth adding it here. Imagine two groups of people, for instance, Democrats and Republicans, to keep it thematic. Democrats have a voting power of 1M Hive, and Republicans have 0.9M Hive. For the sake of discussion, let's assume no one else is on the platform. A Republican writes an article, receives votes worth 0.9M Hive, but then downvotes reduce it to 0. Then we have the opposite situation, but after deductions, we end up with 0.1M voting power. It might seem fair, but Hive has fixed inflation. Therefore, the reward strictly depends on the total votes cast in the network. Since there are only two posts, the entire reward pool must be distributed proportionally. That means 100% goes to the Democrat's post and 0 to the Republican's. Even though the communities have similar voting power, the slightly stronger group takes the entire reward."

**Source:** [https://blurt.blog/@dotevo/smyich](https://blurt.blog/@dotevo/smyich)

*@dotevo's example brilliantly illustrates the problematic mechanism of escalating dominance in a system with downvotes.*

---

### I extended this example as follows:

> "Democrats gain 100% from 0.1M, so the next time there’s a confrontation, Democrats already have 0.2M more. By the third 'round,' they have 0.4M more. This value grows exponentially, dramatically tipping the balance of power toward one group. After just five confrontations, Democrats have twice the voting power of Republicans and can comfortably take over the platform."

**Source:** [https://blurt.blog/@khrom/smyklc](https://blurt.blog/@khrom/smyklc)

---

### I asked ChatGPT to share its opinion on this topic:

**You are absolutely right – the mechanism you describe leads to the "snowball effect." This is a particularly significant issue in systems like Hive, where rewards are proportional to voting power, and accumulated capital (stake) amplifies voting capabilities. Let’s break this down step by step:**

#### 1. **Accumulation of Rewards and Power Advantage**
Suppose Democrats take all the rewards in every "round," while Republicans get none. Since the rewards are reinvested as Hive Power (voting power), the Democrats’ voting power increases each round.

##### Mathematical example:
- Initial: Democrats: 1M, Republicans: 0.9M.
- After the first round: Democrats take proportional rewards, ending up with 1.1M, while Republicans stay at 0.9M.
- After the second round: Democrats earn rewards based on 1.1M, increasing to 1.2M, while Republicans remain stuck at 0.9M.
- After five rounds: Democrats surpass 2M, while Republicans still have 0.9M.

#### 2. **Exponential Growth (Compounding Voting Power)**
As Democrats accumulate more rewards, their voting power grows exponentially:
- Greater voting power → greater rewards → even greater voting power.
- Republicans, losing their share, have no way to counter this growth because their votes are effectively neutralized by the Democrats’ higher voting power.

#### 3. **Platform Takeover by One Group**
Once Democrats have more than twice the voting power, Republicans lose the ability to participate effectively in the system:
- Downvotes by Democrats **completely neutralize Republican content.**
- Republicans **cannot compete effectively for rewards.**
- Consequently, all Hive inflation funds flow solely to Democrats.

This leads to **COMPLETE dominance** by one group, enabling them to take full control of the platform, including:
- The direction of community development.
- Decisions regarding projects funded by the DAO (Decentralized Autonomous Organization).
- Influence over network decisions (e.g., protocol changes).

---

### I went further and attempted to perform more mathematical analysis on our model and compare these systems:

While it takes Democrats just 5 voting rounds to completely take over the platform in a system with downvotes, how does the situation look after 5 rounds in a system **WITHOUT downvotes**?



![obraz.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/khrom/23t7DRaKcsKdYuZK3puGQ5APtDW76fqRSB6aKct66RzDBCjvvdACiGYCZTX14Bpcqm9tA.png)


---

### I then asked how many rounds it would take to gain dominance on the platform without downvotes, given the same assumptions. Here is the simulation response I received:

> In a system without downvotes, Democrats’ dominance over Republicans (achieving twice the voting power) was not reached within:

---
## **1000 rounds.**
---

> This means the process is significantly slower than in a system with downvotes, and proportional reward distribution better balances the growth of voting power between factions.

If anyone still has doubts as to why a system without downvotes is more stable and less prone to one group taking over, the math speaks for itself.

---

### Practical Observations:
Of course, this situation is purely hypothetical, and in practice, much depends on who buys shares on the exchange. Nonetheless, even if one group gains significant dominance, the situation could still be salvaged and reversed over many years because changes in this system progress more slowly. For every major investor in one group, there could always be an investor in the opposing group.

---

### Final Remark:
The situation stabilizes almost automatically when there are more groups involved! 


![networking-concept-still-life-assortment.jpg](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/khrom/23uFu85h8yeUQ9T33DisGaYmYgnda1kX4yBGo6627ymXaSFaNoBAhjzJKGiFjB3HouRoN.jpg)


### Conclusion:
So, even if we have two dominant factions and 3–4 or more groups whose members partially support one faction and partially the other, the process of one group gaining dominance over the other may **never end in practice**.

---

**Opinion from ChatGPT:**
**Yes, you are right. In a scenario where two dominant factions exist and additional smaller groups (e.g., 3–4 or more) partially support both sides, the process of one faction gaining dominance over the other may indeed never conclude. There are several reasons for this:**

---

#### 1. **Dynamic Balancing of Power**
- Smaller groups constantly support the dominant factions, with support being diverse and variable (e.g., random or based on preferences).
- Even if one dominant faction gains an advantage in a given round, smaller groups can shift their support to the weaker faction in subsequent rounds. This creates a system of **dynamic equilibrium**, where differences in voting power between dominant factions remain relatively stable.

#### 2. **"Feedback" Mechanism in a Multi-Group System**
- When one dominant faction begins to gain an advantage, smaller groups can naturally balance the system by choosing the weaker side to increase its chances. This can be driven by:
  - **Sympathy for the underdog** (e.g., the desire to support diversity).
  - **Pragmatism** (e.g., reducing the dominance of one group to limit the risk of a monopoly).
- Such a mechanism works similarly to an automatic stabilizer in an economic system.

#### 3. **Random Factors and Unpredictability of Support**
- If the support of smaller groups is random (as in the simulation of random support flows), dominance by one group becomes even less likely. Even minimal changes in support allocation in one round can significantly influence the outcomes of subsequent rounds, causing the process of dominance to practically never reach a conclusion.

#### 4. **The Impact of Exponential Growth in Multi-Group Systems**
- Exponential growth in dominance systems occurs when one group has a consistently larger share of support. In the case of multiple groups, the flow of support is more distributed, mitigating the rate of dominance escalation for one faction over another.

---

#### Numerical Example (2 Dominant Groups and 3 Smaller Groups):
- **Group A (Dominant):** 1.0 voting power.
- **Group B (Dominant):** 0.9 voting power.
- **Groups C, D, E (Smaller):** 0.7, 0.6, 0.5 voting power.
- In each round, smaller groups randomly allocate their support between A and B. Even with slight differences in support allocation, the voting power of dominant groups can remain in a state of relative equilibrium.

---

### Mathematical Proof of Decentralization Without Downvotes:
From a mathematical standpoint, true decentralization of power is ONLY possible in a system without downvotes. Any forms of penalizing the other side radically tip the scales in favor of one group in a very short time, creating trends that are irreversible because the situation often unfolds too quickly to respond effectively.

**Regards.**
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vote details (30)
@jacobtothe ·
$0.11
Counterargument: downvotes allow decentralized moderation and allow us to counter spam, and plagiarism. Hive isn't a two-party political system.
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vote details (4)
@khrom ·
your cont argument is overthrown here:

https://peakd.com/hive/@khrom/the-downvote-economy-how-to-steal-the-value-of-someone-s-work-and-get-rich-off-their-efforts

Hive is one party oligarchic system since 3 years now. Reason is above. 

And you just repeating Whales propaganda and didn't understand what's going on there. 



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@jacobtothe ·
No, I am someone active in countering spam and plagiarism. Your refusal to see that side of the problem means nothing.
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@kgakakillerg ·
Thanks for sharing 👍🏾
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@robibasa ·
@tipu curate
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@tipu ·
<a href="https://tipu.online/hive_curator?robibasa" target="_blank">Upvoted  &#128076;</a> (Mana: 5/45) <a href="https://peakd.com/hive/@reward.app/reward-app-quick-guide-updated" target="_blank">Liquid rewards</a>.
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@valued-customer · (edited)
That's a brilliant mathematical analysis, and I deeply appreciate the professional clarity of the post.

Thanks!

Edit:  how strange that GTG flagged this brilliant post.  Nary a peep as to why.  Do you know why @khrom?  Perhaps he was just proving your point.

Because he did.
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@khrom ·
>Edit: how strange that GTG flagged this brilliant post. Nary a peep as to why. Do you know why @khrom? Perhaps he was just proving your point.

gtg is just trying to prove to others in his own way that what I'm saying is true ;) isn't it @gtg:P
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@valued-customer ·
$0.06
It's a very convincing proof.  He has demonstrated perfectly exactly what your post shows mathematically.  It's such a blessing to get that kind of support from someone as busy as GTG must be, managing a Hive empire, involved in the project in Poland, Valueplan, and so much else, it's amazing he has found the time to provide definitive proof and so well demonstrate your thesis.
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@woelfchen ·
Let's come straight to the point:

### and what is your alternative for a selfregulating mechanism?
### to stop abuse without downvotes as such decentralised selfregulating mechanism?

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@khrom · (edited)
Part of them You have on Blurt already. These are micro-fees for publishing, marking users who commit flagrant abuses, on the frontend side. Division of the network into communities where group owners and moderators decide themselves who they want to allow to publish in their communities and who not, thus excluding thieves from using their rates. 

After all, plagiarism can be checked already at the publishing stage, as YouTube does. Especially since we are building web 3 for all content to be signed with some key of some user. So if in the future they will all be signed, it will not be a problem to create databases containing this content and on this principle, e.g. require providing e.g. a memo key for verification from another platform, from the author if the content has already been written by him somewhere. or simply then, e.g. by posting a link on your profile to your profile here, the system will automatically authenticate.

And many other methods...

But apart from fighting plagiarism, you simply have to build the network in such a way that it is not worth it for anyone to cheat. The problem of post-steem chains is that content earns for a short time, which in a way forces authors to produce large amounts of content if they want to earn. The problem is that everyone has limits on what they can come up with and even the most talented author will burn out. This causes many people to lose enthusiasm for it, but since they have already built a large blog, they want to use it and therefore start to scheme and cheat here ;] The solution to this problem is to create systems that allow the best authors to earn indefinitely as long as their content arouses interest. This means that at least some users, instead of looking for a way to cheat, focus on the quality of the content. It also gives an excuse to pay for advertising, so it creates a source of income for the network.

Since such tools can operate on the basis of the number of views and votes and not the rate, it minimizes the risk of abuse because if, for example, 100 new people vote for some content daily, it is difficult for someone to create 100 accounts daily to beat that. the value of the stake may come from investors who want to allocate their money. Since the tools are unlikely to be susceptible to abuse, you can be sure that a large part of the prize pool will reward popular good authors, but in a way that readers choose, not in a way that some "wathers" has seduced.

Another thing is that you have a built-in sum, although it is poorly made because in such a way as to support abuse, but let's say it is so-so: P I mean the interest rate on HBD in the deposit. If a curator can earn 22-24% APR and a token holder can earn 20% APR on HBD, there is no point in creating a voting circle, especially if there are also micro fees for publishing and performing upvote transactions. Starting a voting circle farm requires creating 10 accounts and dividing the stake, and you still need to configure it all, have the right scripts and know how to do it - a lot of work ;] instead, such a person simply pays the amount to hbd and that's it. simple? simple ;]

Ultimately, there will always be some people who of course bypass frontends, bypass other protections .. the problem is... so what? People have their own minds too. Nobody simply votes for spam and the plagiarist will eventually get into trouble when the real author appears and takes him to court. The wonderful thing about these blockchains is that you can't erase anything and there is immediately proof that he stole in order to gain financial benefits, so such a case is practically won automatically in most civilized countries. You can also prove it after may years so cheater cannot simple use someone's work take the money and disappear. He left traces of his crime and there is always a chance that someone will track him down.

Besides, when the community realizes that someone is stealing, it is enough to show them, there is no need to punish the perpetrator. People themselves stop voting for that person. It is perfectly visible on Blurt. So it is enough for someone to tag such people and they are practically burned for the network. On Blurt it works in most cases, unless, for example, someone flags someone not because they are a plagiarist but because they do not like them and then some people see it and continue to support the given author. On the other hand, the more people on the network, the harder it is to stand out and build a new blog. You can see it on Facebook. There, to be noticed, you have to spend a lot of money on advertising. So before someone rebuilds their profile enough for someone to start upvoting them again, someone will sooner catch them again for being a fraud and a plagiarist and tag them ;]

I have only given you a few methods and I guarantee you that I could write 3 times as many ;]

Ultimately, there will always be a certain margin of fraud but... exactly but... here comes the case that there are also costs of combating abuse. People who do this devote their time and it costs money. After all, many innocent people often suffer as well, and the suffering of one innocent person is not worth saving a few bucks in the reward pool; it is better not to cause suffering and accept that a certain marginal black zone will always exist and that this is the cost of running this business.

Especially if we were to convert the cost of people's work who deal with combating fraud into dollars, it would turn out that the cost is comparable to the losses caused by fraudsters. It is the same with the real world. The state combats the black economy, pretending to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on it and creating increasingly idiotic regulations that actually hit 99% of honest citizens. And the black economy still exists. In fact, in some cases, regulations "combating" the black and gray economy essentially help it exist.

Ultimately, tools to combat abuse in any form can be used to abuse and build a black zone of cronyism, etc., among people who have access to them. The more power you give to people who combat abuse, the greater the chance that someone will use it that way. On a scale of 1 to 10, the proposals I'm talking about are tools for 3-4, i.e. a knife or a gun. Downvotes are 8, i.e. ballistic missiles. Above that, there is only unlimited deletion of accounts at will, i.e. nukes ;].

It's nice to have ballistic missiles or nukes, but you know that this involves the need to control the controllers, i.e. again, an additional cost ;] And we all know how it ends. Supervision of the supervisors who supervise the supervisors, and the terrorists will still get a nuke or a ballistic missile somewhere on the side :P

And in most cases, it is really enough to abolish regulations, reduce taxes and let people live, and 99% of society will not steal, will not cheat, will not create illegal things
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@valued-customer ·
Really makes me think.  I have raged all my life at prohibition because that actually *creates* the black market for drugs, and all the prostitution, theft, gang violence, OD's, child abuse, utterly preposterous spending on tyranny and the prison industrial complex, destruction of human rights, families destroyed, children sold into sex slavery by evil foster and adoptive parents, adulteration, disease, horrific pollution from criminal labs, blackmail, blood, gory bloated, bestial bastardy, and more besides.  DV's are like that.  They enable theft from the community by worse criminals than they're (claimed to be) intended to defund, centralize governance, deprecate content quality, egregiously demoralize creators, depress adoption and obliterate retention, censor the best thinkers and authors (as you prove by your departure and migration to Blurt), steal from innocent individuals, and, of course, more, and worse.

I have thought all this time that DV's were actually substantial foils and curbs on spam, plagiarism, and scams, but recently I had occasion to ask Marky about exactly that and to my surprise he said they have very little effect, because both spammers and scammers aren't seeking income from the posts flagged but from the scams and crappy schemes they're promoting.

I have realizations like this and think of centuries of horrific oppression and obscene profiteering by evil psychos that deliberately derange society, gaslighting billions and causing them to sacrifice reason and honor for a spook: that people aren't capable of controlling their drug use.  That in fact so many people are so incompetent that society itself would be destroyed if people could just decide themselves whether they should take a dose that makes them feel good or not (which is utterly, blatantly, provably false), and I get blackpilled, despair that whatever created the universe made things so shitty that jillions of man years of suffering were endured instead of felicity and peace, the copacetic society we should have built, if we'd only worked together in good faith.

I look at the illimitably vast cornucopia of resources across the universe just laying there awaiting enterprising men to develop them, just free for the taking, ready to build with and create any paradise we could imagine, and I wonder if the present transcendence of centralization, the development and dispersal of decentralized means of production across the continents and billions of households on Earth, can really enable such stupid people as these, that have been mentally strangled by psychopaths for millennia on Earth, repressed by such obvious - and so many - lies and deceptions, to take to the skies, to fly free of such abusive despotism and truly demonstrate the truth of the ancient prophecies of wizened seers, that this people will create and enjoy in perpetuity paradise, free and prosperous, no more to be bamboozled, bribed, or blackmailed, to bring felicity, joy, and love to one another?

My heart stumbles but a moment on such folly, and I realize that even we who aren't geniuses, who are of middling intellectual capacity, were we not misled, would not so horribly err.  Mayhap we wouldn't aspire to the boldest ventures, the quickest and cleverest wonders, but even plodding and mundane we could be surfeited with felicity.  It isn't superlative insight that makes us good.  Just ordinary integrity, affection, and plain old honor.  That, without duplicity, intentional misguidance into error purposely compounded by vile darkness and craving to hurt, to harm, to torment, would be enough to build simple, bucolic pastures where simple, saintly people could live simple, pleasant lives, sweetly loving and lingering betimes with one another, spawning an easy ecstasy the rabidly pathological, seeking only to destroy, seethingly despise, blessed generation upon beknighted generation.

And then I am grateful for you, for your careful considerations and persistent practice that has made this comment possible, has brought it to me on a silver platter to bless me with understanding I did not before conceive, perceive, or believe.

Thanks! And thanks again, for these ideas that have been pushed from my feeble understanding, handwaved away by profiteers using me to increase their hoard by deceiving this horde, this Hive of villainy and scum unlike any that has been before, that I have been unable to derive myself.  As an aside I realize I probably shouldn't stay up drinking three nights in a row, either, as it makes me giddy and excessively verbose. 

'Well said.'  Prolly coulda left it at that, eh?
👍  , ,
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