its a great analysis about bitcoin...........always we have to   care about this,,,,,,,,may be its disappointed us........but i love to see dream,,,,,,,,

Realistic analysis ! Your S-curve analysis and  McAfee's both prediction are expecting high exponential growth ! Thank you so much for your efforts !

nice stetagy man thanks for shere this inportent thinking  @Resteemed

thanks for sharing dear friend

Thank you for wonderful explanation @knircky  Have a nice day

Great post! Do you think this will happen regardless of lightning network, or does an improvement in the technology have to happen?

I am in for a long term with BTC. If we would listen to the mainstream media then the Bitcoin would be already like 1000 times dead. Just the fees are too high in my opinion, but nevertheless noone will and can stop Bitcoin. It will be always the number 1 crypto.

I like the post - it gives a good perspective on an alternative scenario to a bubble which is worth thinking about.

What I think is missing for the user adoption S-curve is more/significant economy relying on bitcoin. This would stabilize also the prize and reduce volatility.

I think a lot of indicators pointing towards a "bubble". The question is can economy adopt so fast that the price is undermined with fundamentals before the bubble bursts. My guess is - that won't work because as long as we are in a bubble the price will be so volatile that main stream economy won't adapt.

So my guess is - first speculative bubble needs to burst before we can go into main stream adoption. But of course I could be wrong.

Ich bin auch ein Anhänger der S-Kurven Hypothese.

Leider geht momentan der Autovoter nicht. Daher kommt mein Vote mit leichter Verspätung. Bis du jetzt in Deutschland?

When any currency goes up people predict it always up. and vc. but it may go down too. waiting for some drama.

great anaylsis I think im in it for the long term when it hits a million bitcoin : ) buffett style hodl

Great analysis and charts!  I'd say Crypto Currencies in general are in a S-curve formation without any doubt looking at all the data. Resteemed!

Bitcoin still has a lot of potential even if a lot of people don’t see it that way and along with the other currencies that have rocketed out of no where . I think 2018 will bring a lot of potential for many currencies . I can’t believe ETH itself is past $1200, and LTC was just over $300 2 weeks ago, and who can forget Steem

very nice analysis...but i think that.. alt coins will overtake bitcoin in future ..

I am not so good at cryptocurrency so it is always helpful for me to read advice from a better experienced person, thank you for your post @knircky and I wish you a great day)

What if he is wrong?  I would hate to hear about someone like John MacAffee have to break his word and I kind of hope he will in this case.

A lot of smart people are talking about $100,000 bitcoin this year. With another 12% of the population looking to come onboard, it is entirely possible - your chart work shows it.

I am not all that great at cryptographic money so it is constantly useful for me to peruse guidance from a superior experienced individual, thank you for your post @knircky and I wish you an awesome day

It is an interesting possibility. I haven't looked from that side and I'm not that optimistic for Bitcoin anymore since now there are some serious altcoin alternatives but I do hope you are right. Need to study your post once more to fully understand it though! Cheers

Great post! Thanks for sharing!

thanks for the important info

Just like Bitcoin has the occasional exponential growth, what if it also occasionally grows in an S-curve? I believe S-curves occur when people invest in a more sustainable way (which is often the case after a small bubble). What I'm trying to say is that an S-curve doesn't have to be final. It could very well just mark the transition from one exponential growth to another.

Reasonable examination ! Your S-bend examination and McAfee's both forecast are expecting high exponential development ! Much obliged to you such a great amount for your endeavors !

I hope this is sooo true.. then my life would change for sure

its a good explanation about bitcoin value up and down. this price will be more high in a few year that everyone expected.

I hope that this roller-coaster that will just keep going up and up!

>All that said I think it is totally possible that we are currently in a bitcoin bubble. I would expect this one however to go towards 100k as it will simply take that much price action for the price to do a parabolic rise. The thing is this could happen within the next three months.

Eventually yes, BTC will reach 100K. But in 3 months....i'm a bit skeptical about that to be honest. But if it does happen, what will that mean for the crypto market in general!!! Exciting year 2018!! There will so much uncertainty and so much news will be floating around!! Key will be for us to make sure we take our information from reliable sources and not just buy into or sell out of panic!!

Your reasoning is not so bad. I compose a new way of using moving averages as equipotential lines on price charts. Here is a result:

![b017.png](https://steemitimages.com/DQmb7ePKDbZh4SpGdzww7Fw5LbWvFbaoHbeLJSV3ttMwgZs/b017.png)

On this logarithmic scale chart equipotential lines are in the direction of strong uptrend, so viewed from 1 week period scale this is already impressive. This strong uptrend indicated by eq. lines have still great momentum and ranging market of the last month is just an intermecco of continues upwards movement of Bitcoin price. 

In the moment only the right entry point have to be predicted for traders to entry.

My last analysis:  [#25](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@tombort/bitcoin-analysis-bitcoin-doing-just-fine-25).

p.s. It will be more analysis!  My work of past few months to be shared with All Steemians please resteem and let it be of great use TFDSRE:  [#1](https://steemit.com/analysis/@tombort/new-invention-tombort-fibonacci-dynamic-support-resistant-equipotentials-moving-averages-1), [#2](https://steemit.com/analysis/@tombort/invention-tombort-fibonacci-dynamic-support-resistant-equipotentials-fibionacci-proportions-2), [#3](https://steemit.com/analysis/@tombort/tfdsre-moving-averages-in-golden-ratio-proportions-3).
I 'm grateful for all your support to me!

Wow....excellent analysis, very nice information, thanks for sharing

Na, wie ist das Leben als Rentner :-)?

excellent analysis @knircky. Upvote and resteemed!!!