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Bitcoin in the red and so is most altcoins by mawit07

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· @mawit07 · (edited)
$126.78
Bitcoin in the red and so is most altcoins
![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmeDBAVg3Gd1UBtDZo639asQbpkHfk6BxXJ6AcL6sfGKef/image.png)

Most crypto coins are currently down. Ones that are up are ones that I never thought to invest in and now second guessing myself. XRP, SALT, Bitconnect, and there are new ones that made it to the top 100 in market cap amidst all the carnage, Vechain, Enigma, and KuCoin shares. 

Crypto is beginning to trade more like financial stocks this past month than the usual continuous ramp up. Since I am vested in bitcoin I would like to reflect on its price as an example of what I mean. Last week massive draw down in crypto has the whole crypto investing destabilized.  The daily price chart of bitcoin:

![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmekJJWncMqxequWMVgsCetmvKfw3CZDoPLHaZSEQTapFz/image.png) 

I panicked and sold out of my bitcoin when it was going down and bought back in when the bleeding sort of stopped last Friday. The massive daily candle on Friday was my hope that bitcoin price drops would stall. I was wrong because on the 4hr chart bitcoin never held support.

Take a closer look at 4hr chart:

![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmYYCp4ymY4k1VgUjLXyWS1ok8vp9s8Pfkh5ZYsqa2PGKS/image.png)

I sold out my bitcoin with small gains yesterday once I notice it could not hold 15,000. The four hour chart showed it held on Dec. 22 but now it did not. That is not a good sign. Additionally price is now on a bigger support line of 13500 as it has been in this range from Dec. 22 to 25.

Hourly chart:

![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmW1fqmqE9waiygbvzj84jBmXDmHBv8ChQsB28MABFJqAk/image.png)

The last 8 hours is showing me that there is no entry point to bitcoin. I am not going to try and catch a falling knife. The last 8 hours we have seen lower highs and lower lows. No sign of bottoming but we are at support.

And finally on the 5 min chart:

![](https://steemitimages.com/DQmbxJGL1A3gyAp87n2FZNvGj3b6cSkwCYWYZ6uZRZ4Qsd1/image.png)

I am liking this because bitcoin may have found a bottom at 13300. Support has started to be established for the past hour at 13500 and holding. If it penetrates 13700 and holds I think we will likely have a recovery in price.

The past few days have been exhausting since I focused so much into looking at the price of bitcoin. A habit I intend to break soon, because it is earning me little value. What I did how is what is call reading stock on a multiple time frame. Very simple concept when trying to gauge when to enter and when to exit. I always look at multiple charts of a coin at different time frames before I enter and exit a trade. This is about gauging the market as much as understanding what has happened in the past and getting a better understanding what may lie ahead. Price has memory such as those people who invest in the crypto. You would always remember where you sell and buy levels are so when multiple people have the same levels it shows up in the charts. The multiple time frames will show these.

One more aspect to remember is 1 hour support or resistance level will always be stronger than 5 mins and 4 hours stronger than 1 hour. The longer the price holds at that specific level the more likely it will be a support again. This is the concept of studying prices at multiple time frames. 

Speaking of which bitcoin prices are ramping and now sit on $13,800 and continuing to rise. If the volume in trading on the 5 min is steady and or increasing while prices increases I tend to lean towards buying. If the volume is decreasing as prices increase I tend to wait.

A finally note is this in my humble opinion is a method of timing the market. This is the worse one can do during turbulent times. The up and downs will cut investors into little pieces of not careful. I have been through this and in the financial markets and fear it will happen to me again in crypto world. That is why I will also bring up something call risk versus reward ratio. In my head before I do a trade I tell myself what the risks are prior to buying. If the reward is below what I am risking I tend to hold off. In this example if $13,700 will hold the next resistance is at $14,250. However if $13,700 fails the next viable support looks to be $12,000 on the 4 hour chart. Gain $550 versus losing $1,700 is the ratio if I bought in at $13,700. 

Full Disclaimer: This is just my thought process regarding to reading prices. I am not a financial advisor and do not use this as advise and as always do not trade more that what you can afford to lose. Be safe.
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vote details (7)
@clivingston005 ·
I think that there are going to be a lot of traders that get eaten alive by trying to time the markets as well as the transaction fees that follow many of the currencies.  Like you said, these markets are starting to perform like stocks currently but my feeling is that will be term.  The hyper-speed at which the economic cycles run on these markets are going to kill people who try to day trade these assets.  Also, the impending introduction of big finance into these markets only brings more uncertainty.  In a lot of cases, individuals own a lot of these currencies and individuals trade with a different mindset from an institution.  Once big money gets in and inflation ramps up as scarcity kicks in, the some of the big individual holders could start to take profit causing massive swings in price as the market will have more available.  These are going to be tough markets to predict because of the "weird" economic pressures that they will receive in the future.  

That is my non-financial thought process.  Probably said a bunch to say nothing.
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@ddrfr33k ·
No, you're basically right. Governmental influence will cause a shift. With China out of the mining game, and more governments looking to follow suit, we're likely going to see an upheaval.
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vote details (1)
@ddrfr33k ·
Honestly, you're looking at things the wrong way.  When prices drop, that should be the time to buy.  and I'd also start looking at the other guys just as much right now.  Litecoin and Ripple stand to gain, as long as people are using it.
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vote details (1)
@mawit07 · (edited)
Yeah I am pretty new at crypto trading and have not gotten crushed by these past few crashes just yet. Knock on wood. I may just as well hang up and not invest at all in crypto. 

The price drops we see now is minor compared to a month ago because a lot of coins have over 200% gains since. I am likely waiting it out for lower prices. The $13,700 held okay for now but the longer time frames, 4 hour and daily, are showing lower highs and lower lows so pressure is on for bitcoin to continue rising. Altcoins definitely preferred to look into. I just been looking mostly at bitcoin as I am most familiar with. Thanks.
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@ddrfr33k ·
Your biggest mistake is looking at the short term.  Look longer term in your investment, you'll make more overall, and you won't be stressed out by all the sudden drops in value.
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@stealthgoat ·
@mawit07 payed 17.888 SBD to @minnowbooster to buy a stealth upvote.<br><br><a href="https://steemd.com/tx/d1ec72f8adc1a9c2e1de7f71a0e144b771550855">transaction-id d1ec72f8adc1a9c2e1de7f71a0e144b771550855</a><br><br><img src="https://steemitimages.com/DQmTXdfMSPGNzsdQRoPAUAm8Xc9gDDM47QfiBLsJAck4iA4/goat-2153622_640.jpg"><br><br>@stealthgoat
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