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In which cases is it better to open Chaos packages? (ENG/ITA) by mchero

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In which cases is it better to open Chaos packages? (ENG/ITA)
# ENG

![Sps airdrop inglese.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/mchero/AKzFSj8c23Q2m3cQcADt8yaHo887AjPiMBWM8UQkds7yeEnNkUayc5Pxpzzo1jJ.png)

The opening of Chaos packages will take place in two days and many are wondering: is it better to open or better not to open the packages?  No one can say for sure what is best to do as everyone will have their own reasons for opening or not opening.  The question that can be answered with certainty is ...

 # In which cases is it better to open packages?

 Numbers can tell us with certainty which are the cases in which packages should be opened and which are the ones in which it is better to keep them closed.
 First of all we start from the data provided by Splinterlands on the Chaos packages;  each pack has a drop percentage for each card rarity and each card has a Power.  The following table summarizes the Drops and Power of the cards

 <table cellspacing = "0" border = "0">
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Type </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Power x card </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Drop% </font> </b> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Common </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "5" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 5 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> 75.2 </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Rare </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "20" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 20 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "20" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 20 </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Epic </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "100" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 100 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "4" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 4 </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Legendary </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "500" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 500 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> 0.8 </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 </table>


 From these data it is possible to calculate the average Power of each package, assuming to be able to open 100
 <table cellspacing = "0" border = "0">
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Type </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Power x card </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Drop% </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Power for 100 packs </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Common </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "5" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 5 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> 75.2 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "1880" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 1880 </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Rare </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "20" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 20 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "20" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 20 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "2000" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 2000 </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Epic </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "100" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 100 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "4" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 4 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "2000" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 2000 </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> Legendary </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "500" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 500 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> 0.8 </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "2000" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 2000 </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom sdval = "7880" sdnum = "1033;"> <font color = "# 000000"> 7880 </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Total </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
 <td height = "19" align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 <td align = "right" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> 78.8 </font> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <b> <font color = "# 000000"> Per pack </font> </b> </td>
 <td align = "left" valign = bottom> <font color = "# 000000"> <br> </font> </td>
 </tr>
 </table>


 78.8 is the average Power of each package.

 Now it is possible to say with certainty which are the cases in which it is better to open or not to open packages.
 1. earn as many sps as possible: the value of a closed package is worth 300 points while that of an open package is 78.8;  in this case it is more convenient to keep packages closed
 2. level up: the total Power of the packs owned must be added to the current Power to know if you will level up.  To know how to apply this formula:
**Total Power = Current Power + (Packages Owned * 78.8)**
 If the total Power will level up it is better to open the packages

 3. Use many Gold potions: if you have at least 100 Gold potions, the amount of golden cards will double, doubling the average Power of each pack if all Gold cards will be common, up to multiply it by 150 Power and SPS airdrop points in case of Gold are all legendary.  In this case, if you are feeling lucky, it is best to use all the Gold Potions you have and open the packs

# ITA

![Sps airdrop italiano.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/mchero/AKzFSj8boKdxz42PTWo1jYW5yZHuL2McHzfPvjaJix7U2W7NgHzj7Ge5iud7uNp.png)

L'apertura dei pacchetti Chaos avverrà tra due giorni e in molti si stanno chiedendo: meglio aprire o meglio non aprire i pacchetti? Nessuno può dire con certezza cosa sia meglio fare poiché ognuno avrà le proprie motivazioni per aprire o non aprire. La domanda a cui si può invece rispondere con certezza è... 

# In quali casi è meglio aprire i pacchetti?

I numeri riescono a dirci con certezza quali siano i casi in cui i pacchetti vadano aperti e quali siano quelli in cui sia meglio farli rimanere chiusi.
Occorre innanzitutto partire dai i dati forniti da Splinterlands sui pacchetti Chaos; ogni pacchetto ha una percentuale di Drop per ogni rarità di carta e ogni carta possiede un Power. La tabella seguente riassume i Drop e il Power delle carte

<table cellspacing="0" border="0">
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Type</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Power x card</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Drop %</font></b></td>
		</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Common</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="5" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">5</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">75.2</font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Rare</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="20" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">20</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="20" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">20</font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Epic</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="100" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">100</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="4" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">4</font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Legendary</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="500" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">500</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">0.8</font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
</table>


Da questi dati si può calcolare il Power medio di ogni pacchetto, ipotizzando di poterne aprire 100
<table cellspacing="0" border="0">
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Type</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Power x card</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Drop %</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Power for 100 packs</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Common</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="5" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">5</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">75.2</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="1880" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">1880</font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Rare</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="20" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">20</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="20" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">20</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="2000" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">2000</font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Epic</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="100" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">100</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="4" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">4</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="2000" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">2000</font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">Legendary</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="500" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">500</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">0.8</font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="2000" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">2000</font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom sdval="7880" sdnum="1033;"><font color="#000000">7880</font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Total</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
	<tr>
		<td height="19" align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
		<td align="right" valign=bottom><font color="#000000">78.8</font></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><b><font color="#000000">Per pack</font></b></td>
		<td align="left" valign=bottom><font color="#000000"><br></font></td>
	</tr>
</table>


78.8 è il Power medio di ogni pacchetto.

Ora è possibile dire con certezza quali siano i casi in cui è meglio aprire o non aprire i pacchetti.
1. guadagnare più sps possibili: il valore di un pacchetto chiuso vale 300 punti mentre quello di uno aperto 78.8; in questo caso è più conveniente tenere chiusi pacchetti
2. salire di livello: il Power totale dei pacchetti posseduti va aggiunto al Power attuale per conoscere se si salirà di livello. Per saperlo applicare questa formula:
**Power totale = Power attuale + ( pacchetti posseduti * 78.8)**
Se il Power totale farà salire di livello conviene aprire i pacchetti

3. Utilizzare molte pozioni Gold: se si è in possesso di almeno 100 pozioni Gold, la quantità di carte dorate raddoppierà, facendo raddoppiare il Power medio di ogni pacchetto se tutte le carte Gold saranno comuni, fino a moltiplicarlo per 150 Power e punti di airdrop SPS nel caso le Gold siano tutte leggendarie. In questo caso, se ci si sente fortunati, è meglio utilizzare tutte le pozioni Gold in proprio possesso e aprire i pacchetti
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