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Weekly Update Diversification Protocol Week 21 - Multiple 0.71 - 54.5% Undervalued - Long Term Extremely Bullish - 100% In BTC - Living Off Gold by michiel

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @michiel ·
$206.56
Weekly Update Diversification Protocol Week 21 - Multiple 0.71 - 54.5% Undervalued - Long Term Extremely Bullish - 100% In BTC - Living Off Gold
Today is the 9th weekly update of the [Diversification Protocol](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@michiel/diversification-protocol-no-stress-in-a-bear-market-always-funds-for-living-money-on-the-sidelines-to-buy-cheap-update-every). This protocol is designed to allocate a weekly income or funds to be invested mostly to BTC when it is undervalued and mostly to [gold](https://www.bullionstar.com/?r=438) and optional stable coins when BTC is overvalued. It also tells you to spend gold for living when BTC is undervalued and BTC for living when it is overvalued. This will create higher returns on your investment through a full cycle and reduce stress in a bear market. [HERE](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@michiel/diversification-protocol-no-stress-in-a-bear-market-always-funds-for-living-money-on-the-sidelines-to-buy-cheap-update-every) you can read the protocol in dept.

The valuation is done by using the Mayer Multiple and compare it to historical values. The Mayer Multiple is the current BTC price divided by the 200 day moving average. We use data from mayermultiple.com. When you want to be updated on the multiple several times a day you can follow [THIS](https://twitter.com/tipmayermultple) twitter account.

Because I just started the protocol, I didn't accumulate gold and stable coins yet. In this update I will exactly follow the protocol, but since I only start saving gold and stable coins from a multiple of 1.6, I will only be able to execute it 100% according the rules after that point is broken. Funds invested in BTC today will eventually at least partly be converted to gold, since the BTC accumulates in the same wallet and a percentage of the total BTC in this wallet will be allocated to gold at higher valuations.

## The current multiple

![multiple21.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmdxaAS2ctHJ5S71DCJhmKKZGwHFrXBiSX3fXUpcqRa3VB/multiple21.png)

## Weekly allocations of funds

![allocation21.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcSbeWSsSdpz4tMCXCGfCr2fRg7wUeU4HTiHgQGiqj1Qx/allocation21.png)

*The protocol will be slightly boring till we get to a multiple of 1.6, till then we allocate 100% in BTC because it is undervalued. With the current 200 day moving average we need a BTC price of over 16,461 USD to start allocating to gold and Stable coins. This can take days or months, but it is good to be prepared already.*

## Important news of the week

### Investigation market manipulation
US regulators will start investigating the BTC and ETH market on manipulation like spoofing and wash trading. The price of Bitcoin tanked on this news, it is important to note that 2000 BTC was market sold exactly 15 minutes before the news was published. I think it is mostly FUD and an attempt from the government to create excuses for extra regulations. 

Long term Bitcoin doesn’t care about regulations. Beside that it is an global network so the USA is only a part of the market. Regulation will not stop innovation on Bitcoin, but only move it to other areas in the world. 

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-24/bitcoin-manipulation-is-said-to-be-focus-of-u-s-criminal-probe

### Bitcoin hash rate all time high
Although the price of Bitcoin is down around 60% from the recent peak and mining is less profitable the hash rate is still growing and even reached a new ATH. Hash power is the fundament of the security of the network and thus one of the most important drivers of it’s value. The fact that hash power is still rising could indicate positive future expectations. 

https://cryptona.co/bitcoins-hash-rate-is-telling-a-bullish-story/

### Segwit adoption peaks 40%
Segwit adoption reached 40% and multiple 2MB+ blocks are found already. This indicates that scaling through Segwit is working while there is still improvement ahead! Segwit is the biggest break through in the history of Bitcoin: The on chain capacity is certainly increasing and innovative tech like Lightning Network, Schnor Signatures, MAST and more can now be build. 

http://bitcoinist.com/segwit-now-comprises-almost-half-bitcoin-transactions/

### Craig Wright under negative attention
Craig Wright, the guy who claims to be Satoshi and one of the best known Bcash scammers managed to catch the attention of the crypto community twice this week and it was not that positive at all. 

First on a conference in Taiwan:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Rzcgpdj7SA

And later he told Rwanda: I have more money than your country.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcyMLLAVTLU

>This doesn’t really look like the profile we all have in mind of Satoshi LOL

### Bitcoin Gold and Verge 51% attacked
A successful 51% attack is carried out on Bitcoin Gold and Verge as well. This is a clear lesson for the crypto community that being a minority PoW chain doesn’t make sense and comes with huge risk. When you want to store your value in a crypto currency NEVER store it in a minority PoW chain. A 51% attack can be very rewarding for the attacker, they can steal from an exchange first and profit from a short position when the cryptocurrency is suffering on top of that. 

https://www.crowdfundinsider.com/2018/05/133936-verge-bitcoin-gold-and-monacoin-hacked/

### The Bitcoin price down again
The Bitcoin price went down more than 10% from 8283 to 7330 dollar this week. Except for the news about the investigation on manipulation of the Bitcoin price not much happened, I think it was mostly caused by whales dumping BTC (chart looks funny, very flat with instant strong drops). Many are speaking about rich entities manipulating the market down to accumulate as much cheap BTC as possible, and this makes a lot of sense to me. 

![Price21.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmNe9Zx8QcpFKf1iXWLFfGP3mQethgntYcgk2GtAJ9ZU36/Price21.png)

## Fundamentals and valuation
In the history of Bitcoin the multiple was lower than today only 8,5% of the time. Since the multiple today is 0.71 while the moderate is 1.56, there is 54,5% discount on BTC according to this valuation method!

Long term the prospects are still extremely bullish. Lightning Network is still growing and improving and can boost adoption for day to day payments. Wall Street, governments and central banks are on the sidelines to come in and could inject huge amounts of money. Short term sentiment is neutral, but for the long term almost everyone is bullish. 

*Disclaimer*
This is no financial advice, just my view on the market.

**Never stress in a bear market anymore: Follow my [diversification protocol](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@michiel/diversification-protocol-no-stress-in-a-bear-market-always-funds-for-living-money-on-the-sidelines-to-buy-cheap-update-every)**

*Store your Bitcoins securely*
[Ledger hardware wallet](https://www.ledgerwallet.com/r/93f1)
[Trezor hardware wallet](https://shop.trezor.io?a=bitcoinscout.nl)

*Trade Cryptocurrencies*
[Binance Exchange](https://www.binance.com/?ref=16358580)

*Buy Bitcoins anonymous with cash*
[Localbitcoins](https://localbitcoins.com/?ch=4ein)

*Protect your privacy with VPN and pay with crypto*
[Torguard](https://torguard.net/aff.php?aff=3965)

*Buy gold securely with Bitcoin and store in Singapore*
[Bullionstar](https://www.bullionstar.com/?r=438)

**Like this post? RESTEEM AND UPVOTE!**
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@aishkhan ·
Beautiful useful post
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@ajznakamoto ·
## A prepararnos para el gran alza... 
Gracias por compartir esta gran información @michiel
![giphy.gif](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmX4uvkEcgNMu3F33CeiY2iXi9do54SVVYGaVarGKQne6i/giphy.gif)
![C054CB9BE.gif](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbKLaRgipsqHSXbERanKNfdvcvYMkcp6Ysui1u3gbatVG/C054CB9BE.gif)
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@allbusiness ·
# I like the way it is broken down. #AllBusiness <h1>
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@aro.steem ·
Very interesting article!
Thank you for your time writing it!
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@babarkhan100 ·
Superb post ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,@michiel
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@bismakhan ·
Thanks for sharing .this post is informative .
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@bitcointravel ·
$0.34
thank you for the info
👍  
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@cariglee ·
This is great news, and perfect timing with the massive Google censorship occurring.
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@etherguy1 ·
Huge move incoming. Get ready to moon into the end of the year
👍  
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vote details (1)
@fajjarkhan ·
My 51 steemdoller which I send to bittrex.com on my wallet . but I lost they r not baking my SBD . plz tell men a website were I can trade secur www.bittrex.com not a good . they eat my 51 doller . I send them on @bittrex but not recev in my wallet plz tel me about another web site .t m new . thanks
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@hippi ·
Very nice post at this time
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@hiroyamagishi ·
$1.70
## I am more bullish on Steem than any other Cryptocurrency. Especially with the latest grading system made public by china and a B+ rating given by Weiss. Nothing compare to Steem now and it is only matter of time. I only now stick on the best blockchain.
![Screenshot_20180518-092343_Chrome.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfJJW1MKkTmiAHcRY7gDG4R6DMPaCjBft8Si5pHfuWUzh/Screenshot_20180518-092343_Chrome.jpg)
👍  
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vote details (1)
@jessicanicklos ·
IOTA Releases Updated Stratified Testnet Scheme
![iota-testnet.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmeS2BkZ7rRkGAGEtjNaNxiVzyPu3jUShiKUEhMxFcZpQ4/iota-testnet.jpg)
The development of the IOTA network has taken a significant step forward with the launch of several new testnets that will replace the current “Mainnet Lite” test Tangle. The suite of new IOTA testnets will allow developers to work on apps, collect statistics, and stress test transactional limit of the network, working toward the ultimate goal of pushing the Tangle to the limit.

Source: http://za.gl/eHDp2Bg
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@mdimrankhan ·
So good post
properties (22)
authormdimrankhan
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@mo-hath-said ·
This is a really interesting concept and I guess it teaches how to maximise the potential of what you may already own. Thanks for sharing it, I'm definitely going to look to incorporate some elements of the protocol into my own life/investment strategy.
properties (22)
authormo-hath-said
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@mokles ·
cryptocurriencies are the future, thank goodness we are part of this..
👍  
properties (23)
authormokles
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vote details (1)
@muksalmina03 ·
Useful information for steemian
Always success
properties (22)
authormuksalmina03
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@oldman2000 ·
Great work at this post
properties (22)
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@periods ·
Hey, @michiel This is great information for steemian.thanks for share this post.your all post is amazing.
👍  
properties (23)
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vote details (1)
@rahmanmitu ·
thanks michiel for the good information and awesome post
👍  
properties (23)
authorrahmanmitu
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vote details (1)
@realestatecoach ·
$0.14
This formula is Golden.  ;)  Seriously, love the concept as I have a trinity between cash, crypto, and precious metals.

Trying to buy more but GDAX/Coinbase is making me wait a week.  :(
👍  
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vote details (1)
@safetony ·
<blockquote>I'm going to be here in 20 or 30 years</blockquote>

Not if you get assassinated for being a massive dick or by a poor hungry Rwandan when you try telling him "sorry I ain't got any money"
properties (22)
authorsafetony
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@sajidkhan ·
Good post @michiel
properties (22)
authorsajidkhan
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@sanchitadey ·
great update bitcoin post. thanks for @michiel
properties (22)
authorsanchitadey
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@sirstacksalot ·
$0.27
We shall see if Bitcoin (and the alts) can withstand the pressure!
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@upme ·
re-michiel-weekly-update-diversification-protocol-week-21-multiple-0-71-54-5-undervalued-long-term-extremely-bullish-100-in-btc-living-off-20180527t065513590z
You got a 16.44% upvote from @upme thanks to @michiel! Send at least 3 SBD or 3 STEEM to get upvote for next round. Delegate STEEM POWER and start earning 100% daily payouts ( no commission ).
properties (22)
authorupme
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