 [Hello football fans](http:www.fsdfsdf.com) 
**So last week I've made this two predictions:**
Atlético Paranaense - Fluminense - Atlético Paranaense @1,68 Result: 3-1
Chelsea -Arsenal - Chelsea @1,72 Result: 0-0
But as I ended not betting on Atlético because they had an important player injured, I ended the first week in the red.
**This week I'm having trouble finding value in any game, this happens mostly because the best bets are on away teams.
It is part of my strategy to bet only on home teams with a reasonable odd. I love to get predictions right but I'm trying to make money with this, and statistics play a major role in football betting, maybe even more than any other sport. Even thou away wins pay off really good, I've found out they eat alot of stakes aswell. Away odds offer alot of value and bait the punter, and this is the main reason why I avoid this kind of bet, because it always seems worth the risk. And you know teams look completly diferent playing outside their own stadium.**
**I also look alot into players injurys, suspensions, and possible player rotations, all key factors in predicting the outcome of a game. This week the only game I found interesting to bet on(Santos-Atlético PR), has key players out in both teams, what should I do? :(**
**Another thing I look out for is statistics, especially this three: Shots per game; Ball possession%; Pass Sucess%.
Never bet against a team combines a better performance in those three, especially if they play at home...you should be able to break even if you follow this. lol**
**I don't like to bet on odds like 1.11, 1.36 like you see most tipsters do online. At least thats what they advise...It is pointless, you'll end up with a nice win ratio and no money, combine that with betting on away teams and you have a recipe for disaster lol
Having said all that you can imagine its really hard to find games to bet on. I might go back to my old ways and bet on away teams again, waiting for a week is really boring and makes me lose interest. Maybe open up to one or two more championships which is hard to follow.
So thats it for this week..no predictions....**
....but wait..I can't just do that can I??
[If I have to go out I'll go out in flames](http:www.fsdfsdf.com)
**There is always some good odds on Brasilian sérieA on home teams, since its a very close championship, much more than Premier League, and thats saying alot.**
*So im going to bet every home team with a good odd.*
Santos - Atlético Paranaense: *Santos @1,9 -Santos is not playing as good as a few weeks before missing key player Lucas Lima, and also Renato. Atlético with 2 diferent central defenders.*
São Paulo - Corinthians: *São Paulo@ 2,05 -São Paulo fighting to get of "waterzone" they play good football, defense always messes up and they let wins escape. Last pass and finishing is not 100% eather. Corinthinans is the best team in this championship, going trough a bad fase.*
Fluminense - Palmeiras: *Fluminense@2,60 -Fluminense looking forward to point at home, Palmeiras, expensive team that had a bad start finally found their pace...away bet for sure but nooo lol*
Coritiba PR - Botafogo: *Coritiba PR @ 2,20- most boring game in the world, Both teams play a defending style, looking to catch opponents off guard.*
Atletico GO - Cruzeiro: *Atletico GO @ 2,35- Atletico Go playing to save themselves from serieB. Completly diferent team at home, causing some upsets. Cruzeiro Very good team, just cannot score the goals they need. Since they were one of the favorites to win, but they lack in that chapter.*
Chapecoense SC - Ponte Preta: *Chapecoense SC@ 1,85 -Chapecoense is very irregular, usually very strong in their own field.*
Bahia Salvador BA - Gremio: *Bahia Salvador BA@ 2,30- A good team with some good young talents against one of the favourites to win the competition, Grémio played for Libertadores cup, the manager likes to rotate players when playing away, which as costed him points before.*
Sport Recife - Vasco da Gama : *Sport Recife @1,85 -Sport Recife is a very hard team in their own field. Vasco da Gama been playing without some key players Kelvin and Luis Fabiano, not sufering goals but not scoring much eather.*
*I go with the home advantage this week, but no balls to do the same on the Premier League. :P maybe next week
This is very risky, I don't advise anyone to do the same, I'm only posting this for fun and to keep track of my bets.*
*Yours Truly*
hiveblocks