# Last Analysis #
Last analysis was done and posted on 9th May 2019. 
[Crypto Assets Price Prediction Using AI : Buy or Hold or Exit](https://steemit.com/artificialintelligence/@prameshtyagi/4oa6d6-crypto-assets-price-prediction-using-ai-buy-or-hold-or-exit)

In that analysis - The BTC and ETH both were evaluated to be fair valued. It was recommended to stay long.

# Current Analysis #
I have come up with a different methodology now. The details for the methodology are given below. The below results are using the latest methodology:

![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcA926WbaSmnhZuJyjewAKHWstSjxC5sxazaRNnDhbgym/image.png)

Modeled Price for BTC (10617) is higher than Actual Price for BTC (8178)
-> BTC is undervalued
-> Current Signal is Exit which came on 19th August 2019.

Modeled Price for ETH(175.39) is lower than actual price for ETH (182.64)
-> ETH is slighly overvalued
-> Current Signal is Long which came on 1st October 2019.



# Other relevant analysis by me #
Recently I did additional analysis using different approaches and same are listed below: 
[Buy Signal Continues : Prediction Working](https://steemit.com/santiment/@prameshtyagi/buy-signal-continues-prediction-working)
[We are now in Bull Market: Death cross will be overcome soon](https://steemit.com/bull/@prameshtyagi/we-are-now-in-bull-market-death-cross-will-be-overcome-soon)
[Bitcoin Price Prediction : Can Go down to 2000 by Dec'19 before moving upto 200000 by Dec'23](https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@prameshtyagi/bitcoin-price-prediction-can-go-down-to-2000-by-june-19-before-moving-upto-200000-by-jun-23)

# Other important analysis by others #
[Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity](https://medium.com/@100trillionUSD/modeling-bitcoins-value-with-scarcity-91fa0fc03e25)
# Outlook #
For long term investor - the bull has started based on all the analysis. BTC is significantly undervalued and ETH is more or less fairly valued. The tether supply is almost constant for a month. Short term there may be minor moves downwards if tether supply does not move up. However, long term market is in upward move.

# Methodology  for Analysis #
[ShilazTech](www.shilaztech.com) and [Santiment](santiment.net) did a joint research for 4 months to understand the crypto economic patterns using blockchain data.  The results of the study are published in [UNDERSTANDING CRYPTO ECONOMIC CYCLES USING BLOCKCHAIN DATA FROM SANTIMENT](https://medium.com/@prtyagi1/understanding-crypto-economic-cycles-using-blockchain-data-from-santiment-a0ce2e6bd210). The approach#5 from the study is used in current analysis.

Keep steeming.

Note - it is merely an analysis out of my interest. I take no responsibility for any loss anybody incurs as a result of following it.

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