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Qualcomm...Left Out Of The Rally by rollandthomas

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· @rollandthomas ·
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Qualcomm...Left Out Of The Rally
<center>https://mentormarket.io/rolland/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2019/01/qualcomm.jpeg</center> <br/><p>Xilinix, Teradyne, Lam Research and Texas Instruments all beat earnings expectations in their reports on Wednesday, sending the chip sector higher by the end of the day.&nbsp; The only outlier was Qualcomm which was negative on the day.</p>
<p>Kerrisdale Capital, is shorting Qualcomm shares and released a research report stating that Qualcomm is "teetering on the brink of disaster" and that its unique business model is "living on borrowed time."</p>
<p>The FTC sued Qualcomm for violated FRAND {fair, reasonable, and non-discriminatory} rules, which states that companies that become members of the rule structure must license their products to competitors.</p>
<img src="https://mentormarket.io/rolland/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2019/01/image-208.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3346" />
<p>Apple filed a lawsuit two years ago again Qualcomm and Apple has tried to license Qualcomm tech under FRAND terms, but were unsuccessful.  Tim Cook said, companies that hold standards-essential patents (SEPs) are required to license that intellectual property on FRAND terms, but Qualcomm doesn’t do that.</p>
<p>The U.S. could rule in favor of the FTC and against Qualcomm, which would mean a huge hit to Qualcomm's revenues, and therefore earnings.  So what does this mean for Qualcomm’s stock price, lets go to the monthly charts.</p>
<p>Qualcomm had been sideways for the past four years ranging from about $40 to $80.</p>
<img src="https://mentormarket.io/rolland/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2019/01/image-210-1024x481.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3349" />
<p>But price is at a key long term support / resistance line</p>
<img src="https://mentormarket.io/rolland/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2019/01/image-211-1024x481.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3350" />
<p>And price is on the verge of testing the long term up trendline.</p>
<img src="https://mentormarket.io/rolland/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2019/01/image-212-1024x480.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3351" />
<p>In another article I read, Kerrisdale Capital thinks if Qualcomm loses the lawsuit, the stock could fall by 50%.  And you know what, they aren’t far off because if price breaks below the support line and up trendline, they the only price I see Qualcomm selling at a discount is at the monthly demand at $23.</p>
<img src="https://mentormarket.io/rolland/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2019/01/image-213-1024x480.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3352" />
<p>This post is my personal
opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn't financial advise. Do your own
research before making investment decisions.</p>
  
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<center><em>Published by <a href="https://mentormarket.io/rolland">Rolland Thomas</a>
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@adenijiadeshina ·
Interesting to read 
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@newageinv ·
I still see that the demand cycle for devices in general is peaking and that will cause both top line declines and margin pressure this year for the sector.  However, there may be value at your demand target.

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@vlemon ·
Nice post and analysis. Do you understand the current bullishness of the market concerning semiconductor companies ? 
Q4 are good but Q1-2019 and H1 Guidance are quite bearish and lower than consensus.
Take care dear TIMMian 😉

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