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Could democracy succeed if it was given a chance? by spectrumecons

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· @spectrumecons · (edited)
$3.12
Could democracy succeed if it was given a chance?
Hi Everyone,

![ThumbDEM2.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmbc7CK9idoEdCbgxdV4TBf1Uc3gyiKv8CHQtxsC8Y9ZfA/ThumbDEM2.jpg)

This post continues from my post <a href="https://steemit.com/democracy/@spectrumecons/raise-your-hand-if-you-live-in-a-democracy" rel="nofollow noopener">’Raise your hand if you live in a Democracy’</a>. In that post, I presented evidence that there are no true democracies (i.e. no direct democracies, not even Switzerland) at a national level. In this post, I want to consider if democracies existed could they actually be successful. As I have discussed in the previous <a href="https://steemit.com/democracy/@spectrumecons/raise-your-hand-if-you-live-in-a-democracy" rel="nofollow noopener">post</a>, the word ‘Democracy’ or ‘Demokratia’ is derived from the two Greek words ‘Demo’ and ‘kratos’ which means ‘the people power’. The people determine how a country, city, or community operates. This is the opposite of a dictatorship where just one person or a small group of people solely make decisions for the population.

## Small vs large

![smallISgreat.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmbxZXFbxrwoYXKvKpiPGqSxErzJVf7mhWdybFuGEvcMQ5/smallISgreat.jpg)

In 2018, the world population reached over 7.6 Billion people <a href="http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/" rel="nofollow noopener"> (www.worldometers.info 2018)</a>. Only 20 countries experienced a decline in population between 2010 and 2015; this is demonstrated in the figure below.

![MAP.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmdYrN4a4yXBE2NWfjBXD2Yxyfqtu6tW7M9e7y6NM2fjhs/MAP.jpg)
Source: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_population_growth_rate" rel="nofollow noopener">(Wikipedia 2018)</a>

In addition to the increase in population, for most countries, the total number of migrants also increased significantly. Many of these migrants have very different cultures, religions, values and backgrounds. 

![Migrants.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmWSWSNYKLAd15Ey55FhqirTrCizBDmnxwVtZZFtwPiwNw/Migrants.jpg)
Source: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_migration" rel="nofollow noopener">(Wikipedia 2018)</a>

Effectively representing a very large and diverse group of people can be expected to be very difficult. As countries grow and become more diverse, this will become even more difficult. 

Even if the population is quite small. The geographical location of all citizens could present further problems. People living in towns have different concerns from those in the country and they have different concerns to those living in the mountains. An overarching democracy for all these groups would not be able to represent all the needs, wants, desires, and concerns for these groups.

## Referendums

-------

I am going to be discussing democracy (direct) in this post mostly in the context of decision making through referendums. Democracy need not necessarily be demonstrated purely with referendums. Neither should every single decision require a referendum. However, referendums are one of the very few methods that the entire public can exercise their power over decision-making. I will discuss alternative methods of how democracy can be implemented or partially implemented in another post.    

![Referendum.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmYWvdXPXyUURevWynmmYc63kbkhKXC6ej5cNJnohgvgYZ/Referendum.jpg)

Referendums enable the people to vote on important decisions that affect society. Referendums should occur when there is strong public desire for change in areas such as policy, legislation, regulation, procedures, development, etc. Public interest can be demonstrated through polls, surveys, debates, feedback from grassroots leaders. In most ‘proclaimed’ democracies, referendums are rare. They are often not triggered from feedback or public pressure but from decisions made by Government. 

### Advantages

![Pooga.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmSXTHVCH4ZerN6tSYmVWZJWys7qiDRfxsEf8jB4fHq7z9/Pooga.jpg)

If referendums are triggered based on public demand, they have several advantages. 

-	Changes can be made based on public opinion of the majority rather than direct Government control.
-	Encourages broader debate of most pressing issues.
-	Responsibility for decisions fall on the people rather than Government.

### Changes can be made based on public opinion of the majority rather than direct Government control
-----
Referendums put the decision directly in the hands of the public instead of the Government. Decisions represent the many instead of the few (i.e. Government). It is Important to have decisions driven by many people as this creates a dilution of control and greater freedom.

### Encourages broader debate of most pressing issues
-------
Referendums enable more open debate and discussions around issues that are most important to the people. These discussions and debates provide a great method of understanding the major concerns, strengths, and weaknesses of each possible position from the result of the referendum. Transparency around decision-making should also be improved as more information is presented to the people regarding how changes could be implemented as well as the likely outcomes.

### Responsibility for decisions falls on the people rather than Government
----
Greater responsibility should lead to greater consideration and knowledge around issues that most affect people. Many people fall into the habit of leaving decisions in the hands of other people. In most case, these other people are the Government. If society required people to actively make decisions, there is more incentive for people to become informed regrading those decisions. In smaller communities, the incentive is much stronger as voting has more value when there are fewer voters. In large communities, the incentive will be quite small as one vote makes very little visible difference. The average person’s sphere of influence would also be insignificant.

### Disadvantages

![DISAD.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmRmFuuFBiUYZVMxRHfcRRQw9Rzy8ztknwD3mRfTMFjrYE/DISAD.jpg)

Referendums also have many disadvantages as well. Even if all those participating have the best intentions. Such disadvantages are as follows:

-	People can be manipulated
-	Not everything affects everyone to the same magnitude
-	Costly and time consuming
-	Uniformed people have equal say as informed people

## People can be manipulated
---
Sometimes choice can be an illusion. People make decisions based on their own perceptions. Many factors such as religion, culture, upbringing, education, media, personal experience and observation influence a person’s perception. These factors filter what and how we perceive the world around us. Institutions that wish us to perceive the world in a particular way also control most of these factors. People are exposed to religion, culture, upbringing, and education when they are very young. Young people are also generally not taught to challenge what they learn. These early teachings have a great influence on how a person perceives the world as they mature. 

Media and entertainment often enforces particular beliefs and perceptions with a particular portrayal of reality. Anything that does not align with the general narrative receives very little exposure. Over and under-reporting of particular events in the world can easily distort perceptions of reality. For the example, the extent of media attention on terrorism compared to car crashes creates the illusion to some people that terrorism is a bigger social problem than road safety.   

People are less likely to be manipulated if they experience the problems first hand and are able to clearly identify the source of a problem. This is considerably more likely for smaller communities. 

## Not everything affects everyone to the same magnitude
----
Very few areas heavily affect everyone. National policy, legislation and regulation have the potential to affect everyone but not in the same way or magnitude. In 2018, Australia had a poll (This poll was a type of bastardised referendum where the Government made no pledge to respect the outcome) in regards to legalising gay marriage. Gay people were greatly affected by such proposed changes but most of the population were close to indifferent in regards to gay marriage laws. Those that were indifferent could have as much influence in the poll as those greatly affected.

## Uniformed people have equal say as informed people
----
Votes in referendums have equal weight. A referendum could be about a particular change in law that has implications that are not clearly understood by a large proportion of the voting population. Those that do not have a good understanding have equal weighted votes to those that have a good understanding. People that do not understand are more likely to be misinformed or partially informed by those that understand the implications. Those that understand the implications can manipulate others to vote in a way that suits their own interests. Brexit was an example of where both the pro and anti-Brexit campaigners manipulated information to portray an unrealistic future. 

Large-scale referendums are more likely to have more uniformed people than small-scale referendums. Small-scale referendums are more likely to be about matters that are more relatable to those voting as these matters are on most people’s doorsteps and not hundreds of kilometres away. 

## Costly and time consuming
----
Referendums conducted on a large scale can be both time consuming and expensive. Many referendums have a build-up period where people from various sides explain why a particular position or choice is beneficial. 

There are also the monetary costs of conducting referendums. The Brexit referendum cost £142.4m <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36446483" rel="nofollow noopener">(BBC.com)</a> and the Scottish referendum cost £15.8m <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-34157264" rel="nofollow noopener">(BBC.com)</a>.

The larger the scale of the referendum, the higher the costs. Small community referendums would be considerably less costly. If the community is sufficiently small, on the spot voting at community gatherings could take place. 

## The problems of small democracies

![Bully.jpg](https://images.hive.blog/DQmc1Df7vzZwedZK4vEsQynFHYv5FCeZR7kRKvnXu6yw9g6/Bully.jpg)

So far, almost all aspects of democracy that I have discussed indicates that a democracy can operate significantly better with a smaller population located in close proximity to each other. These types of small communities (countries, towns, villages, etc) have several weaknesses as well. 

-	Very small communities are rarely self-sufficient.  
-	Small communities are vulnerable to large communities.
-	Small community monetary systems are vulnerable.

### Very small communities are rarely self-sufficient
----
Small communities, in order to thrive or even survive, need to be able to trade with other communities. Depending on what the community produces and does not produce, determines the strength of the communities ability to trade. Large communities generally have an advantage because they have more resources. 
 
### Small communities are vulnerable to large communities
----
Large communities generally have more resources than small communities. If a small community does not have the support of other communities, the larger communities could exploit the smaller community. It is important for a small community to build up strong relationships and ties with other communities to protect them from larger more aggressive communities. 

### Small community monetary systems are vulnerable 
----
For a community (country) to be independent, it needs to have a monetary system that is not controlled or manipulated from outside the community; this, in a conventional sense, is very difficult. If a community uses another country’s currency or even pegs their currency to another country’s currency, the other country will control the monetary system. 

Even if the community has its own currency, it can still be manipulated by other countries because the supply of the currency is small. Large wealthy institutions can buy and sell large quantities of money, thus destabilising the currency.

Decentralised cryptocurrency could offer a great solution. If many countries, communities and businesses adopt the cryptocurrency. The market capitalisation (price × supply) of the cryptocurrency will become too large to be easily manipulated by large companies or institutions. The decentralised nature of cryptocurrency prevents anyone controlling or manipulating the supply.  

## Conclusion

![YODA.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmXY7PnLvxnFMG7Nj3Y4B9P9JjCgtw1Qmhahg9tSVbb7Tk/YODA.jpg)

We live in a world where many Governments claim to represent democracy. Instead, they offer us with ‘representative democracy’, which in many cases is a two party/candidate system. This system in the best-case scenario contains elements of democracy but far more closely resembles a dictatorship.  

If democracy existed, would it be likely to succeed. On a large scale, this appears impossible as the needs, wants and opinions of a very diverse group of people cannot be adequately addressed. The costs (money and time) involved with collecting the opinions of the public and then reaching decisions representative of the people would be excessive. Democracy could be plausible for a smaller population located in close proximity to each other. 

Smaller communities face many challenges as well as have a high dependency on other communities or countries in order to thrive. In a world with many small communities, cooperation between communities is likely to be successful. In a world with very few small communities, cooperation will be significantly difficult. The larger potential trading partners are likely to dictate the conditions for trade.

If democracy is not a viable system, what system should we be striving for? Does something better exist? I will discuss possible alternatives to democracy as well as possible systems with elements of democracy in a future post.  

Thank you for taking the time to read this post. I recommend that you also read the first post in this series <a href="https://steemit.com/democracy/@spectrumecons/raise-your-hand-if-you-live-in-a-democracy" rel="nofollow noopener">’Raise your hand if you live in a Democracy’</a> as well as my other posts focusing on democracy. Theses posts can be accessed using the links below.

<a href="https://steemit.com/politics/@spectrumecons/democracy-and-economics-does-democracy-really-exist" rel="nofollow noopener">Democracy and Economics - Does Democracy Really Exist?</a>

<a href="https://steemit.com/economics/@spectrumecons/economics-and-democracy-does-democracy-exist-part-1" rel="nofollow noopener">Economics and Democracy – Does Democracy Exist? (Part 1)</a>

<a href="https://steemit.com/economics/@spectrumecons/democracy-and-economics-part-2-major-debates" rel="nofollow noopener">Democracy and Economics (Part 2) - Major Debates</a>

<a href="https://steemit.com/economics/@spectrumecons/democracy-and-economics-part-3-areas-rarely-discussed-or-debated" rel="nofollow noopener">Democracy and Economics (Part 3) - Areas Rarely Discussed or Debated</a>

<a href="https://steemit.com/economics/@spectrumecons/democracy-and-economics-part-4-solutions-and-alternative-structure" rel="nofollow noopener">Democracy and Economics (Part 4) - Solutions and Alternative Structure</a>

<a href="https://steemit.com/politics/@spectrumecons/first-past-the-post-vs-preferential-voting-systems" rel="nofollow noopener">First-Past-The-Post Vs Preferential Voting Systems</a>

<a href="https://steemit.com/politics/@spectrumecons/the-two-party-political-system-the-dictatorship-we-didn-t-know-we-had" rel="nofollow noopener">The Two-Party Political System – The dictatorship we didn’t know we had</a>

## More posts

To access more of my posts you can click on the links below. These links will lead you to posts containing my collection of works. These posts will be updated frequently.

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<a href="https://steemit.com/archive/@spectrumecons/collection-of-works-part-3" rel="nofollow noopener">![Collection_3.jpg](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVP5PfaDtwBS2V5JUsg2pVDxG8YrUoGKvp4imQ1P1QXRQ/Collection_3.jpg)</a>

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vote details (150)
@freedomno1 · (edited)
$0.09
Autonomy and near anarchy is the ideal, democracy is a secondary input with various designs MMP, First past the post etc. Communism can have mixed elements direct control and long term strategic planning. 

Somewhere between is a mixed mmp system of democracy and central command is also a viable alternative, otherwise you end up with situations where the economic development of a country is stymied due to needed to address every minority groups need over the priority of the nation. 

That said I do like a classic saying, democracies don't war with other democracies. 
Instead we proxy war and drain resources from other places, classic democratic peace theory and global south.
👍  
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@gungho ·
$0.03
I like your writing. I live in Korea. Korea practices socialism, claims to be democratic, and is heading toward communisim. And I have to live it every single day of my life.
👍  
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@spectrumecons ·
Lots of countries claim to be democracies. I think most of them have a few elements of democracy but follow far more closely to dictatorship. Leaders can change with elections but the general direction of the Government rarely shifts by that much. Freedom is more often reduced than increased.
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@gungho ·
That's why cryptocurrency must proceed.
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@ligayagardener ·
$0.09
Our government (Australia) is very adeot at manipulating referendums 

Posted using [Partiko Android](https://steemit.com/@partiko-android)
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@ninjatuner · (edited)
$0.04
Same here my friend . East Europe (Bulgaria) , They are verry good in manipulating everithing . There is no place where , democraci or whatever regime rules , and all people to be good. Look at China Now .. they can scan the all population of China in 1 sec with this system they have . I belive only republic state (that mean the public control everything) is answer . Have you heard of Iceland have been on the news last years _ Because people take over the controll off the country and trew away politics and bankers in the garbage ... Politics have to work free for the peole , but they are the ones that get most money of all . Ride in limos and fly 1st class . They use our tax money to live good and to make us poor and sick ... But what do i know about politics and ruling over people .... Take care and be safe ! God Bless yu all !
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vote details (1)
@spectrumecons ·
Referendums can only be effective if the people really know what they are voting for. There is often so much misinformation spread before a referendum that the results of the referendum are very unlikely to be a true gauge of what the people actually want.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@mattclarke ·
$0.12
https://steempeak.com/politics/@mattclarke/referundrums-the-civil-tool-for-civic-decision-making.
My thoughts here. I'd prefer complete self governance; but if we have to do the collectivist dance, this is the best tune.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@spectrumecons ·
$0.18
I remember this post. A very interesting perspective on referendums. I loved the supernatural gifs. 

The trade offs could work better than the standard 'Yes' vs 'No' referendums we have. There is at least a possibility of a win-win rather than a win-lose outcome. It might even be possible to model a few hypothetical examples to determine a hypothetical net effort to different groups.
👍  
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vote details (1)
@mattclarke ·
It'd never happen. Those with power don't see any reason to give it up. 
Fun to think about though, right?
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@steem-ua ·
#### Hi @spectrumecons!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your **UA** account score is currently 4.541 which ranks you at **#1871** across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has not changed in the last three days.

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 275 contributions, your post is ranked at **#79**.
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* Some people are already following you, keep going!
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* Good user engagement!


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@trufflepig ·
**Congratulations!** Your post has been selected as a daily Steemit truffle! It is listed on **rank 9** of all contributions awarded today. You can find the [TOP DAILY TRUFFLE PICKS HERE.](https://steemit.com/@trufflepig/daily-truffle-picks-2018-12-06) 
    
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![trufflepig](https://raw.githubusercontent.com/SmokinCaterpillar/TrufflePig/master/img/trufflepig17_small.png)
*`TrufflePig`*
    
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