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A thought to share by srezz

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cryptocurrency · @srezz · (edited)
$0.46
A thought to share
If one looks at Bitcoin on the 4h chart <a href="http://thepatternsite.com/risewedge.html">there's a clear rising wedge</a> which combined with <a href="http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:price_oscillators_ppo">the PPO indicator</a> displays a pronounced divergence between the price action and its momentum. 
https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8603052/btcusd-h4-simplefx-ltd
https://charts.mql5.com/18/120/btcusd-h4-simplefx-ltd.png

What it simply means that we have a pull back on the cards for those who missed the train. 

If expressed in EW terms we have either completed (or soon be completing) wave D in <a href="http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:market_analysis:identifying_elliott_wave_patterns">ABCDE pattern</a> that the entire correction has morphed into and will have a final truncated push down in wave E 
https://ibb.co/mApJ1x
https://image.ibb.co/eMsGoc/BTCUSD.png

Or this rising wedge is the 5th wave of the 1st wave of wave III of (III) and we will be pulling back in wave 2 of III of (III)
https://ibb.co/iybTZH
https://image.ibb.co/fW0Boc/BTCUSD240_csv.png

In any case I expect at least 50% retracement of the current swing up and for those who missed it, the Orient Express will soon make its final stop.

https://ibb.co/drojrx
https://image.ibb.co/izRFyc/MOTOE_randolph_engine_shot_1280px.jpg



ADDON

The vedge has broke to the upsite, - a rare but possible outcome with 30% of chances. The divergence has also flattened, but it's still there.

https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8606656/btcusd-h4-simplefx-ltd
https://charts.mql5.com/18/127/btcusd-h4-simplefx-ltd.png
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@asalcu · 
I guess we can see the same divergence in the MACD, even in the 1h timeframe.
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@srezz · 
It's less pronounced tough.
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@bsbeers ·
$0.02
Crypto. Never boring. Thx for the addon
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@srezz · 
![hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif)
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@cogitoergosum1 · 
Thank you for sharing. I'm hopeful our destination is Shangri-La...
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@srezz · 
![hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif)
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@hongvhvc · 
Thanks Srezz for the update.
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@srezz · 
![hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif)
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@ilnomis ·
$0.16
Hi,

I've been reading your posts for some time, as well as some other TAs. But over time I've filtered to only a few left as some are not as good as I initially thought. Mainly because some are just too arrogant, for example there was a guy who dismissed the possibility of going lower than $10k back when BTC was briefly over $10k and then came crashing down to the recent $6k level. I do like how you offer both views and I recall one of your post saying that even if BTC hits the $16/17k area it could still fall down to quite low.

Now I do have two questions for you:

1: I've read analysis on the comparison of this 2018 correction to the 2014 correction and I've also done a post on it. There does appear to be a lot of similarities and if history does repeat itself then we may see a lower low, i.e. below the $5.9k set back in Feb. Now you recently called an end to the bear market...but do you think theres still that chance?

2: Regardless of whether another lower low happens or not...do you think BTC will see an ATH this year?

Thanks
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@srezz · (edited)
$0.18
1. Nothing is certain in the markets and  if you ask  me whether it's possible to repeat what happened in 2014, my answer is - yes. Is it likely though? At this point in time, and I repeat, - at this point in time, I think it's unlikely. Why? 1). Because the market is still heavily oversold and needs to go up to correct its technicals and as it goes up more and more new money that currently sits on the sidelines will be joining in.  And I'm talking about institutional money. 2) The Awareness of CC market and available tools (Futures, - remember?) today is very different to what it was back in 2014.

2. My guesses are as good as yours. Technicals though at this point in  time do not permit the previous ATH even if we recover above the weekly bull trigger line @ $11232

https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8604432/btcusd-w1-simplefx-ltd
https://charts.mql5.com/18/123/btcusd-w1-simplefx-ltd.png

Yes, I admit,  my call for the end of correction may well be a bit premature. But it doesn't automatically mean that we will go below 6K. Neither it automatically means ATH. We may be in a wide range for quite some time.
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@bsbeers ·
$0.02
Srezz as always thank you. 
Quality questions and comments above. Nice follow up
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@ilnomis · 
Re your last comment. No don't worry, I agree....even if BTC is out of correction it doesn't mean it'll set ATH...I think the least it means is no lower low. To me thats quite important. Lets see what happens.
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@jmcoins · 
thanks!! but sir, what about the market cycles
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@srezz · 
what about them? The market reacted to 34 weeks WMA (yellow)

https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8614718/btcusd-w1-simplefx-ltd
https://charts.mql5.com/18/143/btcusd-w1-simplefx-ltd.png
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@eyupium · 
I've been searching through your older posts, but couldn't find the information on this. Besides the yellow line being the 34 weeks WMA, what are the other two (blue and red lines in this case)?
They seem to work quite well as dynamic support/resistance levels, so I'd be grateful if you could share that vital piece of information.

And thank you for all these updates, they are very much appreciated.
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@lifecrawler · 
@srezz, you're the man. Many thanks!
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@srezz · 
![hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif)
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@shahparan · 
crytocurrency market is up and down continiously.thanks for share...@srezz
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vote details (1)
@srezz · (edited)
![hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif)
👍  
properties (23)
authorsrezz
permlinkre-shahparan-re-srezz-a-couple-of-thoughts-to-share-20180424t184655761z
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"tags":["cryptocurrency"],"image":["https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif"],"app":"steemit/0.1"}
created2018-04-24 18:47:45
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vote details (1)
@uludom · 
A great call again. Thanks srezz!
👍  
properties (23)
authoruludom
permlinkre-srezz-a-couple-of-thoughts-to-share-20180425t143952071z
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"tags":["cryptocurrency"],"app":"steemit/0.1"}
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vote details (1)
@srezz · 
![hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif](https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif)
properties (22)
authorsrezz
permlinkre-uludom-re-srezz-a-couple-of-thoughts-to-share-20180426t173932982z
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json_metadata{"tags":["cryptocurrency"],"image":["https://steemitimages.com/DQmRMnpW5T9JFeB5sM7q5AgjjePpB3JfbdHXS47Pwmi3VPW/hat-tip-smiley-emoticon.gif"],"app":"steemit/0.1"}
created2018-04-26 17:40:24
last_update2018-04-26 17:40:24
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