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Diamond Plans by tarazkp

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @tarazkp ·
$85.83
Diamond Plans
<div class="text-justify">

The obvious expectation is that we are heading for quite a severe bear market in all economies *except banking,*  but for some reason, this makes me a bit cautious - because every time the global consensus says "this is what will happen" it ends up being quite different in reality. 

Of course, the tech stock  fall is to be expected, as they have been massively inflated over the last two years due to Covid and now, those early investors are looking to dump, buy back low and benefit from the next bull market. 

>Aren't we all?  

![image.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tarazkp/242rkMm5yt17zPwNThfozrwu9uiNbjp9Jk3nq79LE7Qvt1PEKBNJyfA3uHSq1sXu7sW1a.png)

>But, when will the next bull arrive? 

The thing is, that regardless of what people say, *no one really knows* because there are so many factors in play. However, when there are millions of people taking guessing, it is also pretty obvious that a large number of them are going to be correct or close enough. Once they are, they spout themselves as knowledgeable and people listen, until they are wrong - and then they select the next guru out of the thousands who guessed the next signal correctly and the cycle repeats. 

>So, who to listen to?

TIP: *Not me.*

It isn't easy and if you are listening to anyone out there, have you acted upon what you have heard, because most do not. For example, You if you look at the majority of large holders on Hive, what you will find is that almost uniformly, they are *holders* in general, meaning that while they do likely trade, they are looking for more stability where they don't have to trade for gain, for example in DeFi yield pools, or in HIVE POWER etc. 

The fact is, trading takes a hell of a lot of time and consistency, and there is a fair amount of risk considering the reward. So, those who have a fair amount already, aren't going to spend that much of their time trading, when they can instead earn with more stability and certainty, even if the percentages are very low. However, "low percentage" doesn't mean it is actually that low with respect to other investment returns, so it is all relative.

While there are always opportunities, personally I don't have the mental, physical or emotional bandwidth to constantly trade, so instead I find ways to earn without trading, for example through curation or creating content. This way, my mind and body isn't constantly under the pressure to perform *or lose.* For example, even if the prices fall 20% right now, I haven't lost anything, because I am not selling anything and until I do, all the value is theoretical. 

But, while these little trickles here and there might be relatively insignificant in the grand scheme of my daily life, in the and scheme of crypto future, they are likely going to add up and amount to something significant. And when things change, that change in volume is going to matter.

>But when?

It doesn't matter. Well, at least not right now, but be warned that when things move, they can move upward very, very quickly and when they do, many people are going to be caught unawares, even though they have been hoping for that upward movement. All the people who say "I will stack at the bottom" tend not to, because the *bottom* is never bottom enough, because what if it goes just that little bit further down. There is a greed in there somewhere, isn't there? 

>It is the same with selling the top of course.

I am *nowhere near* where I want to be with my crypto holdings yet, but if there is a bull market today, I would be pretty comfortable for as long as it lasted at least. But, I can't just be okay in the bulls, I need to be okay in the bears too and this is something that I feel I am still not prepared enough for, especially considering that the entire economy is likely imploding and inflation is going to well outstrip my wage growth.

Still, I count myself relatively lucky that I have been able to position myself in a way that I have been able to keep increasing my token amount, even if the value of that amount keeps falling. I think that come the bull, I will be glad that I didn't panic sell, but at the same time - I should have sold more when the opportunity arose. 

>Selling is still an issue for me. 

*Selling anything really.* 

I like to own, I like to stake, I like to see holdings going up. And, since my plan is to eventually live 100% in crypto, this is the pathway I need to take, but sometimes I think I am a *little to early* to have this mindset. 

While all indications are that we are headed for a recessive bear market globally, I think that there is still some opportunity for surprise in the markets, especially since there is so much loss and volatility being blamed on the circumstances of war in Ukraine surrounding supply chain and availability. These conditions tend to change quickly and, they nearly always benefit the investors and average people wear the costs - which I don't think is a coincidence.

So, for me at least, I wouldn't be surprised if this "deep, long and drawn-out" bear market is surprisingly shallow and short, before the upward momentum swings back into the big coins and then trickles across the many alts to fire the markets up again. 

>What is shallow? 

Well, rather than think about what the bottom might be, why not think about the top? If for example you think Bitcoin is going to be worth 100K in two years, what are you willing to pay for it now? Is 30K a bargain? Too expensive? If you are waiting for 20K, will it ever come and is 3.5x in two years not good enough for you?

If you already have holdings and BTC is going to be 100K in two years - what are you willing to sell at today?

It is worth thinking about. *Bull or Bear.*

Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]


</div>

Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@tarazkp/diamond-plans)
πŸ‘  , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and 389 others
πŸ‘Ž  
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vote details (454)
@azircon ·
$0.33
I have traded more than most profressional traders in my life, and have forgotten more tricks in the books than most pro Goldman Sachs traders (with 6-7 figure salary) learn in their career (which is rather short). I can tell you trading is hard, extremely hard, especially if you are doing it for yourself and for living. Few, very very few can successfully do it. I have been successful in the begining because, I was doing it as a job and running someone elses money as I was learning. I have been successful later because I was NOT trading for a living and had a full-time job. Today, towards the tail end of my career, I rarely trade. I mostly live off passive income as you have pointed out. Also I still have a day job :) So even if those passive incomes get all busted at the same time, so be it! 

If there is a Meteor Strike, we are all dead! There is no hedge against that.
πŸ‘  ,
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@boscohage ·
RE: RE: Diamond Plans
Love the way this sounds, experience teaches all value.

Posted using [LeoFinance Mobile](https://leofinance.io)
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@tarazkp ·
I would never have the heart to trade like that - I would not be able to handle it :D

So, I have to be content chipping away a piece at a time in the hope that one of these days, there is a large enough pile of chips.

*Before the meteorite hopefully.*
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@boscohage ·
RE: Diamond Plans
Staying close to the peak holds the storm, we are to keep building regardless.
Tomorrow is always the play even when tomorrow comes tomorrow is still looked at.

It's non-stop so just keep doing the needful.

Posted using [LeoFinance Mobile](https://leofinance.io)
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@chillyanca ·
I, enter the crypto market last year with no knowledge of what am doing,boyght some coin at a price that i think i will make profit with little pump,actually it made a very good percentage, i thought it will keep on going like that, little do i know that it will even dip more then my entering level, so i lost some asset then,because of fear i sell those tokens and have a major lost,when i know that in Crypto space you don't actually loss any until you the dip,which i did but now any token i hold no matter the dip i will HODL  because one thing i observe about crypto no matter the dip it will eventually pump.
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@chillyanca ·
I, enter the crypto market last year with no knowledge of what am doing,bought some coin at a price that i think i will make profit with little pump,actually it made a very good percentage, i thought it will keep on going like that, little do i know that it will even dip more then my entering level, so i lost some asset then,because of fear i sell those tokens and have a major lost,when i know that in Crypto space you don't actually loss anything until you sell the dip,which i did but now any token i hold no matter the dip i will HODL  because one thing i observe about crypto no matter the dip it will eventually pump.
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@boscohage ·
RE: RE: Diamond Plans
That's one lasting truth, the crypto market certainly bounces back no matter how long the winter season.

Posted using [LeoFinance Mobile](https://leofinance.io)
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@hankanon ·
$0.26
Agreed. Today is lower in price then things will be in the next 3 to 5 years. What multiple is just a guess.
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@tarazkp ·
10x would be okay, 20x better :)
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@hivediver ·
I'm new to the cryptoworld. I started one year ago and I'm still learning how to do some more or less *proper* research about tokens and the projects behind them. I'm buying some token here and there if I feel convinced that they could have some potential but I never go all in but try to diversify my stakes as much as possible.

Sometimes I miss good opportunities but I need to learn to live with the fact that I can't predict the future.

Bitcoin is not for me atm because it would bind too much capital at once that I could use better in another place. Small is beautiful.

I will also stick for a while on blockchains with no or low gas fees and see what I can do there. In this respect Hive is good home base for me even if it is a small one. I have to start somewhere... πŸ˜€
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@intishar ·
$0.26
Many people think that they start investing in bull market. But I think after a certain time of bear market we should start investing in good project.  Today or tomorrow it will rise up because bear market won't stay for forever. We may face temoprary loss in bear market but it's a oppotunity to buy everything in cheap price. Besides we are getting a benifit that we all have the opportunity to earn and it's really helpful to increase our asset instead of recovering our losses.  I personally think that current time is the best time to invest . I may not be correct because nobody is 100% sure in crypto market. 
Anyway make me corrent if i am wrong somewhere.
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@tarazkp ·
Nothing last forever, even bear markets :)
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@jagged ·
$0.25
My inkling is that inflation, is the theft, that the thieves can blame on zemblanity events. 
The game of musical chairs is ending.
If they manage to increase interest rates, then markets will feel the pain.  That is, until the house of real estate cards begin collapsing, then they might free fall rates again.
Janet Yell Ann has gotten it wrong since her clandestine meetings with the war criminal Obama.  At that time, they could have reigned in some semblence of financial management.  However, they chose, mismanagement, so the silky smooth Criminal could exit with his ego intact.

The Creature from Jekyl Island is a good read to see what we might be in for (free pdf here https://archive.org/download/pdfy--Pori1NL6fKm2SnY/The%20Creature%20From%20Jekyll%20Island.pdf).  
But I think none of us thought they would go, "full retard", on the financial system.

It is an amazing time to see events move around me.  I'd love to check out and watch from the high ground.  Just like the Civil War spectators did during battles, but I have nowhere to go, and I want to keep away from the smell of gunpowder. :)
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@tarazkp ·
I don't think that Obama is to blame, because I don't think that there is any difference in what government or who sits in the chair - it is a figurehead position, except in dictatorships. I tihnk that the focus on who or left/right etc is part of the "entertain them" process to keep us busy, as if we can make a difference by caring about government. 

I reckon what we are doing here and in crypto is our opportunity to have an effect on our life direction, but in order to do so, we have to give up on the ideas that we have been conditioned to believe are "the way they have to be" like nationalism and imaginary borders.

The economy as it is today is a quagmire of shite. 
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@jagged ·
I agree, he is Ronald McDonald, being blamed for a bad cheeseburger.
But Yell-Ann & he had a crisis meeting & said there was no crisis.

Having a military dependent economy is a massive money sink.

The debt based FIAT system is destined to fail within 100 years - the USD lead one is only 77 years old.

As soon as currency is taken off from a sound money principle = eventual collapse of the current system.


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@jfang003 ·
Trying to pick tops and bottoms is a fool's game. Trading is a hard game and it's more about protecting your losses so your profits outweigh your losses. Recovering from a loss is hard and I think setting a plan and following it is the best choice. 

Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@jfang003/re-tarazkp-vlpei)
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@marvinix ·
$0.28
I don't own Bitcoin and have never bought any before. 

I started my journey here on Hive, with the swing in bull and bear this caught my attention;


> All the people who say "I will stack at the bottom" tend not to, because the bottom is never bottom enough, because what if it goes just that little bit further down. There is a greed in there somewhere, isn't there


It's a very popular notion among those who saw Hive at $3+, thinking...oh it's too expensive, it'll be nice to see it dip to $1 so I can buy. 

Sadly, it's now trading at $0.5 and the notion is still ever-changing in price, "I hope it dips further to .2. *then I'll buy*

The truth is we might never dip further and if we do I'm sure the notion will still be the same only a change in price which will be an obstacle to growth for anyone who wants to play the long term game and build up his/her portfolio. 

The real value is not in dollars anymore, but only a few can see this, we have real value in what's being built here on Hive and that will be the reason not to leave any space for laziness and keep building either during bear or bull. 

The moment we start seeing crypto in a more long-range instead of yearly pumps and dumps then we'll see how much value and potential exist here. 


Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@marvinix/re-tarazkp-4ee1mr)
πŸ‘  ,
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vote details (2)
@boscohage ·
RE: RE: Diamond Plans
One thing I know for sure, always pull the trigger at every chance you get.
I saw Hive at $3 so anything less is the perfect time.

Posted using [LeoFinance Mobile](https://leofinance.io)
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@tarazkp ·
Because the bottom is unknow, the best strategy in my opinion is decide on a price willing to pay, and then ladder in around there. If the belief is there in the future, then that is all that one can really go on. 
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@mypathtofire ·
I remember when I was younger and thought trading was the place to be, earning so much money and so quickly. It sounded so exciting and these guys are so clever. The reality is the exact opposite. Wealth isn't accumulated quickly and trading is a really boring activity sat staring at a screen all day.

I love your plan and thoughts, saving a few dollars to get the lowest entry point won't matter if you believe everything is going higher in a few years.
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@pele23 ·
$0.26
One thing I have learned a long time ago, you can never buy at the bottom and sell at the top. And for some reason I got that out of my head and that brings so much peace of mind. In it for the long run and keep on stacking is so much fun, and feels so good, I will keep on doing it for a long time!
I bought 2000 extra HP a few weeks ago, and price didn’t really matter, as I am sure it will double, triple, quadruple etc… some day. That’s what matters, not when!
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@boscohage ·
RE: RE: Diamond Plans
That's just the perfect way to keep the box filled as it is a long term goal.

Posted using [LeoFinance Mobile](https://leofinance.io)
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@tarazkp ·
People use the tops and bottoms as reference points, as if that is where they are actually able to buy and sell - it is a bit nonsensical in practice, but it is easier to illustrate with. 

I think buying anywhere around here is fine :)
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@ryivhnn ·
My daughter is attempting another hive comeback and trying to explain stuff to her in as brief as possible last night and then reading this now just reminded me of the sheer volume of nonsense there is.  I don't understand how people can cope with trading even while I'm watching JJ casually doing it XD

<sub>okay he doesn't do it casually but appears that way because he is happy enough to accept that he can't do any better than how he did with what he knows at the time so no point angstingf</sub>

> in the and scheme of crypto future, they are likely going to add up and amount to something significant.

And then you wrote an entire post about shavings :D

> I should have sold more when the opportunity arose.

If it's any consolation, you have dubious company in the hoarding department :)
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@rynow ·
$0.26
I basically also just hold, although I have shifted around a bit selling something to buy a different one.

Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@rynow/re-tarazkp-3ohmsz)
πŸ‘  
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vote details (1)
@tarazkp ·
It is good to stay in practice - at least so not to forget how to use the exchanges :)
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@santigs ·
Over the years, I have taken the strategy of cumulating whatever the market is doing.
I focus more on what I can do to generate much more than looking at the total value of my portfolio.
Crypto cycles come and go, but the trend has been clearly up over the years, considering big disasters happening every once in a while (as with Terra a few days ago). 
I've learned it is much more productive to focus on what you can bring to earn from your knowledge and expertise and forget about trading.
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@videoaddiction ·
$0.28
>I should have sold more when the opportunity arose.

I think so, too. If I were you, I would spare some HIVE to sell in case when it reached around $1 or $3 like in November, 2021. I don't think that you need much more HIVE to power up like me :)
πŸ‘  ,
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vote details (2)
@tarazkp ·
Yeah - but when it hits 5! ;D
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@videoaddiction ·
Top is never top :)
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