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The start of the end for fiat? by tarazkp

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @tarazkp ·
$11.03
The start of the end for fiat?
<div class="text-justify">


Over the last few days, there have been reports about a handful of companies converting some portion of their cash on hand into Bitcoin, with them citing it offering a better alternative to cash for their savings. With the dropping of interest earnings on cash held in banks over the last years to the point of many turning negative, with most negative when adjusted for inflation anyway - this might become a common trend. Especially since to deal with the Covid-19 panpanic, governments have been generating massive amounts of cash from their "thin air" reserves and injecting it into the economies globally, which will lower the buying power of fiat even more rapidly.

Now, it is of course interesting to think what might happen to the markets if all companies put a percentage of their cash on hand into Bitcoin - For example, Apple could buy 2 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin, and that would represent *only one percent* of their total cash on hand, which is over 200 billion currently. Google has 100 Billion, Microsoft another 150 billion on hand. One percent of the three companies cash (about 5 billion) being converted into Bitcoin would only represent about 3% of the total BTC current market cap, but remember that most of the Bitcoin out there *isn't for sale* at these prices.

![OI000709.jpg](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tarazkp/jDB6kPvg-OI000709.jpg)



Then there are the funds out there to consider and if the largest of them BlackRock, decided to put 1% of their investment into bitcoin, it would be around *65 billion* worth, or around 25% of the total Bitcoin market cap. That is using only one percent of their fund. How high would price climb if 70 billion in *new money* poured into Bitcoin where the majority is probably currently locked up in cold storage?

So, while the companies who make a move now are looking for storage value, they are also *potentially* front-running the larger players to come and if they do arrive, they are going to *come hard.* 

What is happening however is what needs to happen for the crypto economy to not only mainstream, but become the economic infrastructure to replace the broken system that is currently circling the bowl. This is the process of *value transfer* that for years has been going from the bottom to the top, but now is beginning *to fork* away from the traditional economy itself and onto blockchains. 

When a company moves their reserves into an asset, they of course want to keep that stockpile growing - this can be done through earning and conversion, or it can be done through *earning alone,* meaning that rather than go through the middleman processes that have effectively cut them out of earning on their cash reserves, they can start doing business directly on the chains and earn in a cryptocurrency. The more this happens - *the more it will happen.*

As value starts gets converted onto the chains and into a far more flexible and mobile asset class, it means that the traditional system is essentially going to have more of the inflation released into the economy, speeding up the process of demise and collapse. Not only this, with companies generating cryptocurrency value rather than going through the middleman centralized currencies, they will be constantly reducing the volume on fiat and it will get increasingly more volatile, driving *even more* companies and people to look for financial safe havens - and with gold in limited *real supply* and people not trusting the "on paper" ownership of it, they will look for something they can *own* and *trust.*

This creates a very big problem for governments as their currencies start to fall slowly into disuse and what is getting used is a global digital currency (or large set of interoperable currencies) that are not owned or controlled by any single authority. This effectively hamstrings a great deal of their current activities and rather than being able to automatically extract the value they want, they are going to have to ask very nicely for it. Governments have so much control because it is they who have a stranglehold on the flow of value - but the cows they milk are starting to move to greener pastures. 

While I don't think that this is going to be an overnight tidal wave move, the groundswell is building momentum in the far depths and things *are starting* to move. When a market collapses, investors want to get out as fast as possible to maintain the most value they can and move it into an asset that will store that value - but, because of the rush, that storage vehicle will get pressured upward to *add value* to those who moved first. 

This means there is double the first mover advantage and incentive - get out of fiat early, get into Bitcoin early. If this happens, there would be a crash in fiat value and the markets of unprecedented proportions because unlike earlier crashes, the investors won't return, they will *abandon* the vehicle altogether - and leave it a burning wreck on the side of the chain. 

People are quite mistaken about the rich and the corporations only caring about money - because they don't care *at all* about money. What they care about is what money buys- not happiness - power and security. But the *buying power* of any currency is the demand on that currency and with demand slowly shifting away from fiat and onto blockchains, the rich will drop usage as fast as they can, as it no longer satisfies their need for power and security. They don't care if they have dollars, rubles, gold, bitcoin or chicken feathers in their holdings - as long as it has purchasing power. 

What we are watching slowly happening is the decommissioning of a currency, which isn't an uncommon event when the inflation becomes ridiculous or for other reasons - except normally it is the same authority that replaces the old with the new. This way, they hold onto the reins. If companies start moving into Bitcoin, the reins have been broken - fiat currencies become obsolete in a way they have never become so before. 

I predict the pushback is going to be more than firm on this as no government wants to lose control over the one thing with which they can control their people through a centralized economy of reward and punishment - where they are judge and jury.

Taraz
[ Gen1: Hive ]


</div>

Posted Using [LeoFinance](https://leofinance.io/@tarazkp/the-start-of-the-end-for-fiat)
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@belema ·
$0.06
Oh my. I definitely agree that this will not occur overnight. Clearly there is still much that needs to happen even in developed countries before we can have the freedom we seek. How much more less developed countries like Nigeria that corruption has in its grasp?
πŸ‘  
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@tarazkp ·
I think less developed countries will be first movers as crypto can circumvent a lot of the government level corruption - I think this is why Nigeria and Venezuela are using it commonly already.
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@belema ·
$0.09
But it is only a few of us that are lucky to have this knowledge.  I mean even the educated ones are not willing to take the risk so i am left wondering how and when it will happen.
πŸ‘  
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@bhoa ·
$0.06
The only painful thing about this is that a lot of people are ignorant about the way money works. Some people don't even believe in cryptocurrency yet.
Well, i have always had the conviction that crypto is the future
πŸ‘  
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@tarazkp ·
It really wasn't that long ago that people didn't believe in the internet, computers, planes, cars, engines.... most people in the world do not see the value in most new things, until early adopters prove it.
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@bhoa · (edited)
So true.. i am just happy i am learning even if it is not so fast
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@cranium ·
Words of wisdom. But as you say, it will be very difficult ...
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@ctrpch ·
$0.05
Wouldn’t it be great to have a crystal ball and see the future 
πŸ‘  
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@tarazkp ·
Would take all the value out of speculative assets ;D

But yeah, I can't imagine me living long enough to see the main event of the upside, but hopefully long enough to see things improve after the rough ride.
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@markkujantunen · (edited)
$0.05
Fiat isn't going anywhere. However, stable fiat currencies will be backed by Bitcoin and/or precious metals in the future once the collapse takes place and once that mess gets sorted out. Centralized payment channels will not be replaced with blockchains simply because of the gargantuan throughput required. Also, there will never be thousands or tens of thousands of currencies around. Utility coins such as HIVE, yes, but not pure value transfer coins. Bitcoin will be the measure of all value, the new reserve currency controlled by no government or central bank.
πŸ‘  
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@tarazkp ·
Not so sure about that. They removed the gold standard as it was a limitation on their ability to do what they have done. To back it again would be to wipe out an enormous amount of air.
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@markkujantunen ·
$0.05
>Not so sure about that. They removed the gold standard as it was a limitation on their ability to do what they have done.

Yep. The gold standard was removed in the 1970's by the Nixon administration because it had become too obvious that the dollar was no longer backed by gold because too many had been printed. The gold standard stands in the way of credit expansion. Now, credit expansion can be a useful thing, which is why it is done. But the result is often what we are seeing now.

> To back it again would be to wipe out an enormous amount of air.

Of course it won't be done voluntarily. I trust central banks to keep up their ultra-light monetary policies to the bitter end. What I'm saying is that that particular music will probably end in a catastrophe at some point in the future. The debt levels will be so high that a great reset becomes inevitable because the purchasing power of the currency will be debased. Debt grows exponentially.

When the crash happens, all savers will naturally gravitate towards assets that actually work as stores of value: gold and Bitcoin.
πŸ‘  
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@rmsadkri ·
$0.05
πŸ˜‡ Can we have a timeline please? So that, I can start buying BTC and and secure it in my cold wallet. I wish someone asks you to write a screenplay of a movie titled 'the start of the end'.πŸ˜€ 
πŸ‘  
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@tarazkp ·
The timeline is - if you are interested, start laddering in :)
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@ryivhnn ·
$0.05
It’s probably better if stuff like this didn’t happen in a tidal wave, it’s already going to be chaotic and confusing happening at this glacial pace (which is still probably too fast for some) πŸ˜…
πŸ‘  
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@tarazkp ·
yeah - I don't think the "rip it off fast" approach is likely the best way for this particular wound :D
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@tarazkp ·
#PoSh

https://twitter.com/tarazkp1/status/1298734838065790978
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