[Robotics](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglosary-robotics-robots) is going to change the [world](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-world) in ways we never imagined. When these start to enter the [economy](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-economy) on a large scale, things will be radically different. Before diving it, we have to be clear there is no forecast this will happen immediately. While the industry is moving at fantastic speed, we are still in the infantile stages. That means we are likely looking at 5 [years](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-year) before we see mass production reached. By 2027, a guess of a few million robots makes sense, depending upon when the exponential progress point starts to slow. If it carries on, this will push the production back even further. With that out of the way, get ready for [deflation](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-deflation) (technological) like you never imagined. https://ideogram.ai/api/images/direct/J6OyAup_Se6jtYLUHzsTuw.png Image by Ideogram # Technology Is Deflationary The [interest](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-interest) in robots is the fact that is could, eventually, replace labor. With many countries facing [demographic](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-demographics) issues, there is obviously a built in need. Most people follow the idea of a robot replacing a [human](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-human), putting forth a [cost](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-cost) savings. This is pretty straight forward. Here is where people can embrace the most evident aspect. If we remove the labor rate, replacing with a robot that cost a dollar or two an hour, we could see how the cost of producing something is drastically reduced. The same is true in the services realm. What is a robot could mow and edge your lawn? How much more cost effective would this be? At this point, it is impossible to predict where all this will go. The point to grasp is that replacing humans will provide a cost savings for the product or service. Naturally, we cannot have a discussion about technology without having some exponentials. ## Localized Production The 1980s and 1990s saw what most refer to as [globalization](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-globalization). This was the outsourcing of [manufacturing](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-manufacturing) to countries with lower labor costs, primarily [China](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-china). Here we are back to discussing the above scenario. If China reduces its labor rate by replacing humans with robots, the products would cost less to produce. The question then becomes, what other cost savings are there. One of the things about [building](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-building-structure) stuff in China is that it has to be shipped. For something like [semiconductors](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-semiconductor), it isn't a big deal. When the product is an [automobile](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-automobile-car), that can get a bit costly. Robotics is going to allow for the production of [goods](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-goods-economic) on a localized basis. Why pay for shipping? It is easier to set up a plant near where the products are consumed as opposed to the other side of the world. Removing the majority of [transportation](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-transportation) costs is extremely deflationary. It is one of the benefit of localized production (most likely regionally). ## Supply Chain Our tendency, unless we [work](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-work) in manufacturing, is to look at a product as a single entity. The reality is most products are a series of smaller products. In other words, some [company](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-company-business) is selling its product to the manufacturer. Using the automobile example, someone makes the tires. Another company does the seats. Windows are yet a third. Spark plugs come from a 4th entity. You get the point. What happens when each of these products experiences something similar as to what was describe above? The net result is these companies are able to offer their product for less, further reducing the cost. Of course, this is compounded if dealing with something that is on its own S curve like battery technology. ## Department Elimination The piece that I want to cover here is auxiliary [employees](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-employee) who are no longer necessary. At a minimum, these departments could be reduced. For example, if the majority of the company is robots, do you need an extensive HR department? The answer is no. You also could likely get rid of the majority of legal, at least those who deal with worker related issues. Those who write [policy](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-policy-insurance) and are responsible for overseeing the implementation can be gone. Robots are simply programmed with whatever is needed. Consider the costs that companies incur to maintain people. Heck, even the [coffee](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-coffee) service can be eliminated. Just think in the savings from not having to [buy](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-buy) so many safety glasses since, after all, robots do not have eyes. All of this means organizations are going to be much leaner in spite of having massively higher output. Costs such as [healthcare](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-healthcare-industry), workman's comp, and other benefits are eliminated. Ultimately, all of this makes many products [commodities](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-commodity). The net result is massive downward [price](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-price) pressures. Eliminating the labor costs are just one part of the equation. As we can see, there are many others. ____ [What Is Hive](https://inleo.io/@leoglossary/leoglossary-what-is-hive) Posted Using [InLeo Alpha](https://inleo.io/@taskmaster4450le/the-deflationary-nature-of-robotics)
author | taskmaster4450le |
---|---|
permlink | the-deflationary-nature-of-robotics |
category | hive-167922 |
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created | 2024-05-08 00:19:51 |
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voter | weight | wgt% | rshares | pct | time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
rxhector | 0 | 924,854,489 | 3.5% | ||
kendewitt | 0 | 171,534,922,815 | 100% | ||
scaredycatguide | 0 | 125,151,361,662 | 100% | ||
nextgen622 | 0 | 1,248,229,661 | 100% | ||
ffcrossculture | 0 | 155,894,792,641 | 100% | ||
noborders | 0 | 4,229,868,908 | 100% | ||
humoalex | 0 | 1,911,695,079 | 100% | ||
razam | 0 | 13,239,916,108 | 100% | ||
detlev | 0 | 1,657,878,217,562 | 100% | ||
josequintana | 0 | 5,655,150,735 | 100% | ||
swelker101 | 0 | 13,870,324,437 | 50% | ||
xyzashu | 0 | 633,616,520 | 100% | ||
spectrumecons | 0 | 1,620,818,849,288 | 25% | ||
ew-and-patterns | 0 | 2,746,984,215 | 50% | ||
hhayweaver | 0 | 36,728,556,695 | 50% | ||
joeyarnoldvn | 0 | 534,868,144 | 1.66% | ||
shebe | 0 | 602,322,226 | 8% | ||
alexicp | 0 | 853,236,614 | 50% | ||
shanibeer | 0 | 70,906,866,130 | 3.5% | ||
chrisparis | 0 | 49,706,955,076 | 100% | ||
noboxes | 0 | 1,268,423,592 | 50% | ||
vlemon | 0 | 268,031,564,867 | 75% | ||
dagger212 | 0 | 1,011,260,711,699 | 100% | ||
vp-freelance | 0 | 2,088,307,566 | 33% | ||
vegoutt-travel | 0 | 24,163,570,640 | 25% | ||
zoidsoft | 0 | 80,993,850,046 | 100% | ||
sahil07 | 0 | 2,893,168,563 | 100% | ||
joetunex | 0 | 20,439,321,317 | 20% | ||
karinxxl | 0 | 72,713,729,793 | 50% | ||
red-rose | 0 | 19,397,621,026 | 100% | ||
diverse | 0 | 157,285,259,902 | 100% | ||
chekohler | 0 | 9,448,216,593 | 10% | ||
yogajill | 0 | 154,662,384,315 | 100% | ||
leninbracho50 | 0 | 615,593,424,231 | 100% | ||
mikitaly | 0 | 544,315,068 | 80% | ||
aussieninja | 0 | 517,376,397,355 | 100% | ||
daltono | 0 | 305,919,994,929 | 25% | ||
jongolson | 0 | 674,124,094,501 | 50% | ||
znnuksfe | 0 | 5,999,955,678,966 | 50% | ||
harryji | 0 | 9,461,677,218 | 60% | ||
culgin | 0 | 592,703,333 | 30% | ||
empress-eremmy | 0 | 91,294,872,697 | 100% | ||
ericburgoyne | 0 | 27,882,246,121 | 50% | ||
captainbob | 0 | 414,702,410,560 | 80% | ||
beverages | 0 | 356,052,242,783 | 100% | ||
lightflares | 0 | 5,379,304,003 | 100% | ||
beeyou | 0 | 7,380,032,694 | 100% | ||
vicesrus | 0 | 269,571,889,075 | 100% | ||
teutonium | 0 | 1,692,680,448 | 50% | ||
cryptoburner | 0 | 1,713,091,078 | 7% | ||
throwbackthurs | 0 | 17,399,670,326 | 100% | ||
dhingvimal | 0 | 4,038,596,666 | 50% | ||
andablackwidow | 0 | 61,553,446,355 | 100% | ||
uyobong | 0 | 49,848,096,896 | 50% | ||
yameen | 0 | 312,705,663,812 | 50% | ||
knowhow92 | 0 | 86,065,377,127 | 50% | ||
tsurmb | 0 | 12,192,393,013 | 100% | ||
petertag | 0 | 5,355,050,995 | 100% | ||
tronsformer | 0 | 1,089,943,951 | 30% | ||
fw206 | 0 | 233,674,549,896 | 3.5% | ||
holovision | 0 | 18,555,925,449 | 100% | ||
jk6276 | 0 | 27,078,157,998 | 40% | ||
minimining | 0 | 1,419,461,218 | 50% | ||
oakshieldholding | 0 | 910,322,517 | 7% | ||
piensocrates | 0 | 4,273,580,057 | 100% | ||
captain.future | 0 | 39,711,717,927 | 100% | ||
khan.dayyanz | 0 | 6,647,523,789 | 5% | ||
jacuzzi | 0 | 828,361,531 | 1.75% | ||
litesplasher | 0 | 167,178,395,503 | 100% | ||
victor-alexander | 0 | 12,487,277,164 | 100% | ||
mrsbozz | 0 | 4,471,560,275 | 50% | ||
binance2 | 0 | 464,465,808 | 7% | ||
peter-bot | 0 | 699,426,986 | 100% | ||
cryptological | 0 | 38,769,560,516 | 100% | ||
vault3 | 0 | 26,774,421 | 7% | ||
engrsayful | 0 | 10,544,295,311 | 100% | ||
blue.rabbit | 0 | 694,839,747,773 | 100% | ||
crazydaisy | 0 | 561,249,092 | 100% | ||
coolsurfer | 0 | 4,516,602,738 | 100% | ||
beerlover | 0 | 151,438,911,326 | 100% | ||
fractalfrank | 0 | 175,464,254,790 | 100% | ||
onealfa.leo | 0 | 521,352,094 | 7% | ||
clicktrackprofit | 0 | 13,304,021,337 | 50% | ||
lisamgentile1961 | 0 | 97,025,303,922 | 30% | ||
successchar | 0 | 2,390,467,577 | 17.5% | ||
elianaicgomes | 0 | 15,099,847,410 | 25% | ||
pouchon.tribes | 0 | 43,141,073,176 | 100% | ||
ph1102.leo | 0 | 1,074,910,218 | 100% | ||
bruleo | 0 | 695,105,746 | 100% | ||
therealyme | 0 | 168,797,978,978 | 15% | ||
bilpcoin.pay | 0 | 541,461,425 | 10% | ||
sumatranate.leo | 0 | 5,909,816,082 | 100% | ||
leomaniacsgr | 0 | 2,343,673,914 | 100% | ||
photosnap | 0 | 1,436,324,869 | 25% | ||
warmstill | 0 | 1,745,999,436 | 100% | ||
vxn666 | 0 | 39,061,581,838 | 100% | ||
hornetsnest | 0 | 23,593,231,600 | 100% | ||
jskitty | 0 | 2,926,803,184 | 100% | ||
captainhive | 0 | 603,463,866,663 | 25% | ||
f0x-society | 0 | 1,249,613,458 | 50% | ||
hodlcommunity | 0 | 1,050,184,276,108 | 100% | ||
defi.campus | 0 | 13,871,003,116 | 50% | ||
zemiatin1 | 0 | 752,244,589 | 65% | ||
plusvault | 0 | 1,037,519,842 | 49.5% | ||
ksam | 0 | 2,719,609,303 | 7% | ||
jilt | 0 | 6,708,511,299 | 17.5% | ||
uyobong.venture | 0 | 471,766,045 | 100% | ||
sevenoh-fiveoh | 0 | 38,276,044,156 | 100% | ||
rezoanulv.leo | 0 | 2,246,916,143 | 100% | ||
briight | 0 | 1,259,295,703 | 100% | ||
magnolia-maggie | 0 | 525,887,629 | 100% | ||
omarrojas | 0 | 45,356,467,769 | 50% | ||
gonklavez9 | 0 | 2,017,172,857 | 100% | ||
esecholito | 0 | 47,515,874,517 | 100% | ||
officialhisha | 0 | 22,180,237,871 | 50% | ||
schindmaehre | 0 | 6,780,268,946 | 97.41% | ||
ctptalk | 0 | 1,376,534,140 | 100% | ||
drax.leo | 0 | 35,014,621,160 | 100% | ||
netaterra.leo | 0 | 1,818,400,364 | 25% | ||
leoschein | 0 | 101,627,875,331 | 100% | ||
gualteramarelo | 0 | 2,240,410,834 | 100% | ||
lbi-token | 0 | 264,167,766,784 | 100% | ||
godfather.ftw | 0 | 3,774,086,141 | 5% | ||
completewind | 0 | 5,836,305,429 | 100% | ||
libertyleo27 | 0 | 700,793,750 | 100% | ||
resiliencia.pal | 0 | 2,101,541,016 | 100% | ||
hykss.leo | 0 | 10,680,444,561 | 1.05% | ||
belemo.leo | 0 | 480,152,061 | 100% | ||
trostparadox | 0 | 3,674,131,528,442 | 100% | ||
meowcurator | 0 | 1,154,929,805 | 75% | ||
yieldgrower | 0 | 12,215,318,081 | 100% | ||
cbridges573 | 0 | 1,369,596,180 | 7.5% | ||
bananass | 0 | 29,610,210,248 | 65% | ||
megaleoschein | 0 | 1,469,497,711 | 80% | ||
xyba | 0 | 40,259,965,053 | 100% | ||
dugsix | 0 | 1,827,908,303 | 100% | ||
finguru | 0 | 142,306,806,554 | 80% | ||
houseoftribes | 0 | 701,949,377 | 99% | ||
bhealy | 0 | 2,205,655,007 | 100% | ||
drricksanchez | 0 | 40,738,368,002 | 7.5% | ||
generatornation | 0 | 700,685,624 | 100% | ||
raythulhu | 0 | 6,773,080,957 | 100% | ||
vanidike | 0 | 488,418,678 | 100% | ||
darinapogodina | 0 | 1,489,438,122 | 100% | ||
arc-echo | 0 | 2,549,074,581 | 8.75% | ||
maurofolco | 0 | 1,451,446,083 | 100% | ||
libertyctp27 | 0 | 513,265,431 | 100% | ||
reidenling90 | 0 | 2,302,199,227 | 100% | ||
holovision.cash | 0 | 2,808,626,775 | 100% | ||
jdike | 0 | 35,887,986,919 | 100% | ||
ifarmgirl | 0 | 24,124,478,570 | 5% | ||
d35tr0 | 0 | 622,343,935 | 50% | ||
readthisplease | 0 | 12,489,725,541 | 100% | ||
shiftrox | 0 | 40,231,602,935 | 50% | ||
hankanon | 0 | 26,109,878,839 | 100% | ||
akane47 | 0 | 4,192,082,775 | 100% | ||
solominer.leo | 0 | 735,090,422 | 100% | ||
magic.leo | 0 | 0 | 100% | ||
magic.ctp | 0 | 0 | 100% | ||
jocieprosza.leo | 0 | 6,630,445,259 | 100% | ||
menzo | 0 | 1,845,072,806 | 10% | ||
intishar | 0 | 43,683,302,725 | 50% | ||
cryptoccshow | 0 | 3,271,527,186 | 25% | ||
outwars | 0 | 50,686,995,648 | 77% | ||
vrezyy | 0 | 12,259,671,197 | 50% | ||
eddie-3speak | 0 | 2,623,921,623 | 35% | ||
forsakensushi | 0 | 199,781,401,683 | 100% | ||
keeper-of-eden | 0 | 13,195,009,840 | 50% | ||
jude9 | 0 | 1,166,337,371 | 40% | ||
tydynrain | 0 | 13,389,043,863 | 10% | ||
heutorybr | 0 | 6,403,966,336 | 25% | ||
attentionneeded | 0 | 933,792,702 | 20% | ||
crazyphantombr | 0 | 1,127,652,939 | 3.5% | ||
noctury | 0 | 11,531,401,624 | 17.5% | ||
listnerds | 0 | 2,318,706,278 | 20% | ||
hoosie | 0 | 38,923,986,696 | 17.5% | ||
condigital | 0 | 0 | 11% | ||
onealfa.vyb | 0 | 0 | 7% | ||
ctp-curator | 0 | 757,753 | 100% | ||
islandboi | 0 | 648,668,450 | 100% | ||
pero82 | 0 | 8,016,233,223 | 100% | ||
onos-f | 0 | 542,491,684 | 7% | ||
magicfingerz | 0 | 2,030,993,816 | 3.5% | ||
ctptips | 0 | 85,383,370 | 15% | ||
the13anarchist | 0 | 775,903,828 | 6.25% | ||
brutus22 | 0 | 402,214,611 | 12.5% | ||
ifarmgirl-leo | 0 | 7,099,718,816 | 15% | ||
bank-of-hive | 0 | 32,589,445,477 | 100% | ||
lucky7ace | 0 | 916,891,284 | 25% | ||
rationale0440 | 0 | 801,423,248 | 50% | ||
beauty197 | 0 | 3,651,048,473 | 50% | ||
ijelady | 0 | 534,701,849 | 60% | ||
sammyhive | 0 | 1,343,608,446 | 10% | ||
gregscloud | 0 | 24,814,419,458 | 100% | ||
contapoupanca | 0 | 1,253,834,580 | 75% | ||
mhizsmiler.leo | 0 | 3,762,614,711 | 75% | ||
thorkellnft | 0 | 12,293,492,733 | 50% | ||
buffalo.leo | 0 | 0 | 100% | ||
the-lead | 0 | 2,956,057,187 | 50% | ||
timix648 | 0 | 1,484,953,376 | 20% | ||
freiheitsammler | 0 | 115,311,915,882 | 100% | ||
generp | 0 | 22,393,171,380 | 100% | ||
rokasimir | 0 | 552,854,366 | 100% | ||
eds-vote | 0 | 2,969,666,857,604 | 35% | ||
pablito.saldo | 0 | 6,170,837,764 | 25% | ||
bihutnetwork | 0 | 1,104,144,944 | 25% | ||
urrirru | 0 | 4,006,982,672 | 100% | ||
partytime.inleo | 0 | 12,811,652,283 | 25% | ||
neoxianvoter | 0 | 0 | 15% | ||
tecnotronics | 0 | 399,910,802 | 100% |
The danger that I see is that all that increased productivity and profitability goes to the 1% as prices of products and services do not decrease and fewer people have full time employment and disposable income. Should be an extremely interesting next few decades.
author | aussieninja |
---|---|
permlink | re-taskmaster4450le-sd556c |
category | hive-167922 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["hive-167922"],"app":"peakd/2024.5.1"} |
created | 2024-05-08 00:25:27 |
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cmplxty | 0 | 83,615,276,060 | 7% | ||
oakshieldholding | 0 | 1,413,705,283 | 10% | ||
binance2 | 0 | 540,624,289 | 7% | ||
vault3 | 0 | 34,080,807 | 7% | ||
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100% agree with this point. These are great talking points but if there's one thing we know, it's that the upper echelon of humanity wants to stick it to the people who are not as fortunate as they are in any and every way possible.
author | cmplxty |
---|---|
permlink | re-aussieninja-sd58ut |
category | hive-167922 |
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created | 2024-05-08 01:44:54 |
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aussieninja | 0 | 509,338,692,300 | 100% |
Yeah, we've seen it already... productivity has risen by so much over the last few decades and yet prices are either steady or rising... and the minimal wage has barely budged.
author | aussieninja |
---|---|
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When things are digitized, prices go down.
author | taskmaster4450le |
---|---|
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I can see how that works in theory... but I think what tends to happen is that costs go down when things are digitized, but those cost savings don't always get passed onto the consumer. Groceries should be cheaper since staff don't have to put stickers on every item and ring up every item into the register themselves, but my understanding is that households are paying as much or more for groceries as ever.
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All this robotics is just coming in to increase the stability and monetary value of the companies. I just hope this minimum wage work out and help on the inflation
author | etiboy56 |
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I think you listed a lot of things why big companies are excited for robots. We've seen how companies are all about savings and increasing their sales. I've seen some companies outsource their work to other countries just to cut costs. So robots that are just one big purchase, and should cost less over time compared to humans will be very exciting for them.
author | outwars |
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Moravecโs paradox is in play here. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moravec%27s_paradox As such, Iโd say we are a long way from robots doing yard and house work. Machine learning doesnโt have this limitation. As such, itโs the white collar jobs that are more likely to be automated. Even then, though, the automation will simply allow humans who know each knowledge โspaceโ to be more productive in that space.
author | trostparadox |
---|---|
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Bits are a lot easier than atoms so, yeah, AI will blow robotics away. Robots are at the point of replacing tasks, something that AI was focused upon for much of the last decade. It will take a while before they can start looking at jobs in totality.
author | taskmaster4450le |
---|---|
permlink | re-trostparadox-28nrubx5c |
category | hive-167922 |
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