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The Macro Moment: Watching Commodities by taskmaster4450le

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· @taskmaster4450le · (edited)
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The Macro Moment: Watching Commodities
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It is very important to watch the commodity market.  This is an area that tells us a great deal of what is taking place.  To start, commodity markets are global, hence a reflection of what is taking place on an international scale.  Also, it is the what that goes into most products.

In this video I discuss how the macro trends of something like the GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index) can reveal what is taking place on a macro scale.  It is best for investors to monitor this to be able to separate the noice.

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@ai-summaries ·
**Summary:**
In this Macro Moment video, the speaker discusses the significance of commodities and why it's essential to pay attention to them. He highlights that most investors solely focus on the stock market, often neglecting commodities. The speaker explains that commodity prices affect input costs for companies, potentially impacting consumer prices. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the relationship between the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in determining profit margins. The speaker further discusses how global factors influence commodity prices, using oil as a prime example. He mentions technological advancements affecting commodity markets and advises on the importance of monitoring the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GCSI) over an extended period to grasp long-term trends.

**Detailed Article:**
The speaker delves into the world of commodities in this insightful Macro Moment video, shedding light on their often overlooked importance in the realm of investing and economics. He points out that a significant portion of investors tend to focus solely on the stock market, disregarding commodities and even the bond market. This oversight leads to a lack of understanding regarding the impact of commodity prices on production costs for companies, which can subsequently affect consumer prices. 

Drawing attention to the relationship between the Producer Price Index (PPI) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the speaker explains how fluctuations in commodity prices can result in shrinking profit margins for manufacturers. He caution that blindly passing on increased costs to consumers may not always be feasible, especially in cases where it could lead to reduced demand due to inflated prices.

The speaker uses the example of a lumber price spike to illustrate how consumers may postpone purchases when faced with exorbitant prices, showcasing the intricacies of pricing dynamics in response to commodity fluctuations. He emphasizes the need for investors to not just focus on short-term trends post-recession but to analyze long-term trends, ideally over a 10-year period, using indices like the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GCSI) for a more comprehensive understanding of global economic shifts.

Furthermore, the speaker explores the global nature of commodities, stressing how they reflect worldwide economic conditions, rather than being confined to specific regions. Using oil as a key example, he discusses how technological advancements, such as fracking, have significantly altered the global oil supply landscape. He notes the implications of these changes on market dynamics, predicting a potential downward trend in oil prices in the coming years based on historical patterns.

In conclusion, the speaker underscores the vital role commodities play in the broader economic landscape and encourages investors to pay closer attention to these often underestimated market indicators. By critically analyzing long-term trends and global factors influencing commodity prices, investors can gain valuable insights into the future trajectory of various industries and the overall economy.
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@pixresteemer ·
<center>![pixresteemer_incognito_angel_mini.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/pixresteemer/8h7BBw1w-pixresteemer_incognito_angel_mini.png)</center><center>Bang, I did it again... I just rehived your post!</center><center>Week 75 of my [contest](/hive-179017/@pixresteemer/the-re-hive-contest-results-week-74-and-start-week-75) just started...you can now check the winners of the previous week!</center><center><sub>10</sub></center>
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