create account

Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me by technicaltrader

View this thread on: hive.blogpeakd.comecency.com
· @technicaltrader ·
$0.10
Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me
![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmc63rxM7xRK3jcyxVdJC7CRZDrMbbWvF1xPgwi5GUo8z8/image.png)

Everyone is watching the large descending triangle that has been developing in the BTC price since the February lows this year. I have written about my target prices, depending on which way the pattern breaks [here](https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@technicaltrader/bitcoin-btcusd-shorts-increasing-as-apex-approaching-squeeze-potential-but-confirmation-still-required) and have looked at the shorts that have been rising also.

But two things concern me at the moment. The first is that EVERYONE is watching this pattern and when everyone is watching, quite often patterns fail to resolve with a text book outcome, that being a break in either direction in this case. Also, price has moved a helluva long way in to the apex and has still failed to break. 

Both of these things tell me that there is an increasing probability that price could just continue to meander sideways and fail to break in either direction, providing disappointment to both bulls and bears alike!

The takeaway here is that as always, anything can happen and nobody knows exactly what that will be. Price may break up or down but we can't rule out continued sideways movement either. So we need to wait. We need to wait for price to tell us what it is going to do next before jumping in for the next big move that may not even come.
👍  , , , , ,
properties (23)
authortechnicaltrader
permlinkbitcoin-btcusd-could-the-major-pattern-fail-two-things-that-concern-me
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"tags":["cryptocurrency","bitcoin","trading","money","investing"],"image":["https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmc63rxM7xRK3jcyxVdJC7CRZDrMbbWvF1xPgwi5GUo8z8/image.png"],"links":["https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@technicaltrader/bitcoin-btcusd-shorts-increasing-as-apex-approaching-squeeze-potential-but-confirmation-still-required"],"app":"steemit/0.1","format":"markdown"}
created2018-10-14 10:44:30
last_update2018-10-14 10:44:30
depth0
children4
last_payout2018-10-21 10:44:30
cashout_time1969-12-31 23:59:59
total_payout_value0.076 HBD
curator_payout_value0.023 HBD
pending_payout_value0.000 HBD
promoted0.000 HBD
body_length1,404
author_reputation72,595,468,198
root_title"Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me"
beneficiaries[]
max_accepted_payout1,000,000.000 HBD
percent_hbd10,000
post_id73,266,773
net_rshares77,525,378,864
author_curate_reward""
vote details (6)
@crypto-investor ·
What I would suggest after reading this, is that cryptocurrency (unlike stocks) is actually, way, way more predictable.  It threw me off when I was new to crypto.

Cryptocurrency actually very often, just follows the predicted patterns it gives.  The "unpredictable" behavior is usually you'll have a brief contrary move, just before the chart pattern is followed-through and proven valid.

So we had that little dip before the wedge broke for the upside.  Crypto likes to do the last-second head fakes, but then just go for what it was going to do all along.  Look at all the BTC waves following the crash, each one was highly predictable.  So predictable, it actually causes us to second guess ourselves.

Why is crypto so predictable?  I have no idea, other than the nature of a multi-year bull market has to play out in a predictable pattern, it can only bubble, crash, and then bubble again, and all of this devolves into predictability.
properties (22)
authorcrypto-investor
permlinkre-technicaltrader-bitcoin-btcusd-could-the-major-pattern-fail-two-things-that-concern-me-20181016t144325020z
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"tags":["cryptocurrency"],"app":"steemit/0.1"}
created2018-10-16 14:43:24
last_update2018-10-16 14:43:24
depth1
children0
last_payout2018-10-23 14:43:24
cashout_time1969-12-31 23:59:59
total_payout_value0.000 HBD
curator_payout_value0.000 HBD
pending_payout_value0.000 HBD
promoted0.000 HBD
body_length942
author_reputation10,516,819,283,024
root_title"Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me"
beneficiaries[]
max_accepted_payout1,000,000.000 HBD
percent_hbd10,000
post_id73,416,882
net_rshares0
@steemitboard ·
Congratulations @technicaltrader! You have completed the following achievement on the Steem blockchain and have been rewarded with new badge(s) :

[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/voted.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@technicaltrader) Award for the number of upvotes received
[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/posts.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@technicaltrader) Award for the number of posts published
[![](https://steemitimages.com/70x80/http://steemitboard.com/notifications/comments.png)](http://steemitboard.com/@technicaltrader) Award for the number of comments

<sub>_Click on the badge to view your Board of Honor._</sub>
<sub>_If you no longer want to receive notifications, reply to this comment with the word_ `STOP`</sub>



**Do not miss the last post from @steemitboard:**
<table><tr><td><a href="https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-ranking-update-steem-power-followers-and-following-added"><img src="https://steemitimages.com/64x128/https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfRVpHQhLDhnjDtqck8GPv9NPvNKPfMsDaAFDE1D9Er2Z/header_ranking.png"></a></td><td><a href="https://steemit.com/steemitboard/@steemitboard/steemitboard-ranking-update-steem-power-followers-and-following-added">SteemitBoard Ranking update - Steem Power, Followers and Following added</a></td></tr></table>

> Support [SteemitBoard's project](https://steemit.com/@steemitboard)! **[Vote for its witness](https://v2.steemconnect.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=steemitboard&approve=1)** and **get one more award**!
properties (22)
authorsteemitboard
permlinksteemitboard-notify-technicaltrader-20181014t152938000z
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"image":["https://steemitboard.com/img/notify.png"]}
created2018-10-14 15:29:39
last_update2018-10-14 15:29:39
depth1
children0
last_payout2018-10-21 15:29:39
cashout_time1969-12-31 23:59:59
total_payout_value0.000 HBD
curator_payout_value0.000 HBD
pending_payout_value0.000 HBD
promoted0.000 HBD
body_length1,600
author_reputation38,975,615,169,260
root_title"Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me"
beneficiaries[]
max_accepted_payout1,000,000.000 HBD
percent_hbd10,000
post_id73,282,026
net_rshares0
@toofasteddie ·
Exactly, we have to wait and be patient, most likely it is going to move sideways during some time between 5700 and 6700$... but when the market will decide is enough, it will move very explosively...
The question is always personal... am I comfortable buying/selling at this level of price?
The strategy is, mainly, ladder your entries and never go all-in in this case
Steem on

Posted using [Partiko iOS](https://steemit.com/@partiko-ios)
properties (22)
authortoofasteddie
permlinktoofasteddie-re-technicaltrader-bitcoin-btcusd-could-the-major-pattern-fail-two-things-that-concern-me-20181014t133313464z
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"app":"partiko"}
created2018-10-14 13:33:15
last_update2018-10-14 13:33:15
depth1
children1
last_payout2018-10-21 13:33:15
cashout_time1969-12-31 23:59:59
total_payout_value0.000 HBD
curator_payout_value0.000 HBD
pending_payout_value0.000 HBD
promoted0.000 HBD
body_length440
author_reputation667,308,438,589,572
root_title"Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me"
beneficiaries[]
max_accepted_payout1,000,000.000 HBD
percent_hbd10,000
post_id73,274,971
net_rshares0
@technicaltrader ·
As you say, entry points depend on your process. For me, i'll wait for confirmation of any move before attempting to trade. There is an opportunity cost of sitting on an asset that isn't moving.
properties (22)
authortechnicaltrader
permlinkre-toofasteddie-toofasteddie-re-technicaltrader-bitcoin-btcusd-could-the-major-pattern-fail-two-things-that-concern-me-20181014t140018631z
categorycryptocurrency
json_metadata{"tags":["cryptocurrency"],"app":"steemit/0.1"}
created2018-10-14 14:00:21
last_update2018-10-14 14:00:21
depth2
children0
last_payout2018-10-21 14:00:21
cashout_time1969-12-31 23:59:59
total_payout_value0.000 HBD
curator_payout_value0.000 HBD
pending_payout_value0.000 HBD
promoted0.000 HBD
body_length194
author_reputation72,595,468,198
root_title"Bitcoin (BTCUSD); Could The Major Pattern Fail? Two Things That Concern Me"
beneficiaries[]
max_accepted_payout1,000,000.000 HBD
percent_hbd10,000
post_id73,276,500
net_rshares0