## <center> Good day Hiveians!</center> ### <center> Join me in analyzing the crypto markets!</center> ### I am officially calling it: The Bear Market has ended [Last year I made a post in summer in which I suggested the bear market had already ended or would end at the end of 2022](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@tobetada/crypto-analysis-or-follow-up-has-the-bear-market-just-ended). Just like every cycle before, for some reason bear markets end at the turn of the year in December or January. It seems that this cycle was no exception. The charts speak clearly on this. First let's look at monthly chart. You can see here the trend lines which have reliably predicted the end of a bear market. While there are several more months of sideways movement, the price has always recovered after reaching this "support". Furthermore, you can see the time span from the top to the bottom of a cycle which has been between 365 and 426 days: ![grafik.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tobetada/EoH5CEHmBwVTD7vkRgSWi2VKPJkqeTfGUsDL3wHmS4VaUjk8WRfCt4367vm2ZNFb1oi.png) Also, the RSI goes into bear market territory somewhere between 40-50 and stays there for several months. There is generally a "U-shaped" recovery. As you can see the RSI is now slowly climbing above this level again. Amazingly, the trend lines drawn in the first chart can be extended to give us a good estimate of where *the next cycle* will peak! You can see it here: ![grafik.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tobetada/23tSzLNw6HLHHY9AtbHFWeJiNJEe1jJ26GRPCYeEcYeGCyq5gJjZpmojAigA7XwMFdFNm.png) So far it has worked like clockwork. There were also a bit more than a 1000 days from the bottom to the top of the cycle. Everything is pointing to the end of 2025 for the peak of the next cycle. The peak is, however, a bit anti-climactic: the chart suggests a high between 130-200k. This is not very amazing in terms of potential gains for this cycle. It's only about a 10x from the lows. But a 10x is still amazing as an investment in about 3 years... It also shows that now is a good time to get involved with alts. There are far more potential gains on e.g. Hive than there is on Bitcoin. But you have to be prepared for the greater volatility as well! --- *As a general reminder: Please keep in mind that none of this is official investment advice! Crypto trading entails a great deal of risk; never spend money that you can't afford to lose!* <center>![Bottom.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaKSaCaesHvFXaRovU2pKpJX3pzguP2mgPZPLM8Ac1LQg/Bottom.jpg)</center> <center>โ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฆ๐ง๐จโ๐ฉ๐ฆโ ๐งโ๐ค๐ฅ๐ช๐ง๐จ๐ฉโ ๐ฆโ๐ค๐ฅ๐คโ ๐คโ ๐ฆโ </center> ![lovetheclouds_community_banner.jpg](https://files.steempeak.com/file/steempeak/tobetada/8JQDzWCq-lovetheclouds_community_banner.jpg) ### <center>**[Check out the Love The Clouds Community if you share the love for clouds!](https://peakd.com/c/hive-131609/created)** </center> <center>โ ๐ฆ๐ง๐ฆ๐ง๐จโ๐ฉ๐ฆโ ๐งโ๐ค๐ฅ๐ช๐ง๐จ๐ฉโ ๐ฆโ๐ค๐ฅ๐คโ ๐คโ ๐ฆโ </center> <center>![Bottom.jpg](https://steemitimages.com/DQmaKSaCaesHvFXaRovU2pKpJX3pzguP2mgPZPLM8Ac1LQg/Bottom.jpg)</center>
author | tobetada |
---|---|
permlink | crypto-analysis-or-bear-market-ends-and-macro-outlook |
category | hive-167922 |
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created | 2023-03-15 19:14:12 |
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voter | weight | wgt% | rshares | pct | time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
juanmiguelsalas | 0 | 1,360,229,953 | 10% | ||
ratel | 0 | 166,228,871,621 | 60% | ||
logic | 0 | 188,199,605,028 | 100% | ||
newhope | 0 | 3,266,691,272,029 | 27% | ||
sudutpandang | 0 | 610,209,152 | 50% | ||
deirdyweirdy | 0 | 58,419,347,801 | 23% | ||
kilianmiguel | 0 | 1,883,952,450 | 10% | ||
joeyarnoldvn | 0 | 562,455,969 | 1.68% | ||
dexpartacus | 0 | 65,081,703,833 | 100% | ||
offgridlife | 0 | 277,733,332,862 | 100% | ||
eturnerx | 0 | 108,370,770,158 | 5.6% | ||
kaminchan | 0 | 22,744,128,160 | 49% | ||
molometer | 0 | 112,348,212,212 | 50% | ||
tomiscurious | 0 | 15,301,224,955 | 2.9% | ||
bobthebuilder | 0 | 1,340,964,468 | 50% | ||
mauromar | 0 | 245,296,197,510 | 50% | ||
tobetada | 0 | 193,736,212,000 | 100% | ||
sneakyninja | 0 | 783,860,391 | 1.31% | ||
piotrgrafik | 0 | 969,187,064,214 | 100% | ||
chorock | 0 | 252,631,694,860 | 30% | ||
dynamicrypto | 0 | 40,720,349,379 | 35% | ||
philnewton | 0 | 582,911,343 | 7.5% | ||
dwayne16 | 0 | 959,481,306,804 | 70% | ||
cryptictruth | 0 | 65,965,216,120 | 17.5% | ||
olivia08 | 0 | 9,961,287,730 | 100% | ||
hardrockcrypto | 0 | 855,749,065 | 100% | ||
cryptoandcoffee | 0 | 244,484,767,515 | 10% | ||
dgi | 0 | 2,662,031,464 | 100% | ||
sbi6 | 0 | 137,220,243,460 | 34.28% | ||
thedailysneak | 0 | 1,068,110,418 | 1.31% | ||
zappos | 0 | 902,433,133 | 100% | ||
dalz | 0 | 479,445,031,692 | 50% | ||
smartvote | 0 | 52,881,989,564 | 2.4% | ||
rafaeleff15 | 0 | 14,191,911,075 | 100% | ||
mr-wallstreet | 0 | 1,730,869,024 | 100% | ||
src3 | 0 | 5,816,211,470 | 5% | ||
javiersebastian | 0 | 6,219,850,707 | 100% | ||
poliwalt10 | 0 | 22,280,220,037 | 50% | ||
maxwellmarcusart | 0 | 317,024,670,799 | 32% | ||
sbi-tokens | 0 | 960,026,351 | 2.63% | ||
monica-ene | 0 | 135,324,572,773 | 93% | ||
ninnu | 0 | 2,091,331,430 | 7.35% | ||
clifth | 0 | 664,912,402 | 50% | ||
samubit | 0 | 81,531,629,462 | 50% | ||
cryptounicorn420 | 0 | 8,859,171,707 | 100% | ||
yozen | 0 | 4,782,107,247 | 50% | ||
bobthebuilder2 | 0 | 20,535,665,067 | 50% | ||
utopis | 0 | 49,058,252,564 | 50% | ||
saltyreptile | 0 | 33,919,502,565 | 80% | ||
draygyn | 0 | 2,986,481,370 | 50% | ||
iviaxpow3r | 0 | 5,974,587,217 | 50% | ||
re-public | 0 | 2,923,860,406 | 25% | ||
danokoroafor | 0 | 6,709,223,896 | 100% | ||
mhowii | 0 | 495,570,310 | 100% | ||
trasto | 0 | 2,904,421,852 | 25% | ||
iproto | 0 | 6,161,534,355 | 50% | ||
ingi1976 | 0 | 8,757,943,479 | 25% | ||
psyberx | 0 | 3,307,790,062,950 | 100% | ||
cryptothesis | 0 | 253,058,279,603 | 100% | ||
thgaming | 0 | 833,601,535 | 5% | ||
sunshineee | 0 | 1,069,026,895 | 20% | ||
haveyaheard | 0 | 1,333,170,582 | 100% | ||
mypathtofire | 0 | 417,840,298,043 | 25% | ||
wensports | 0 | 33,015,873,834 | 100% | ||
splinner4winner | 0 | 71,780,408,275 | 100% | ||
psyber-x | 0 | 9,553,529,001 | 100% | ||
psyberx.witness | 0 | 32,084,423,927 | 100% | ||
psyberxmarket | 0 | 1,659,937,841 | 100% | ||
hive-117638 | 0 | 513,110,605 | 16% | ||
etselec23 | 0 | 5,150,923,395 | 100% | ||
usagigallardo015 | 0 | 6,322,660,058 | 100% | ||
cryptopi314 | 0 | 2,592,526,765 | 100% | ||
lvlraker | 0 | 2,071,020,447 | 50% | ||
lvlranker | 0 | 1,717,475,712 | 50% | ||
psyberxnode | 0 | 64,097,147,642 | 90% | ||
unsubscribe | 0 | 21,341,233,946 | 90% |
I'm looking for altcoin buy do you recommend any I will do my research of course but I might miss some great projects
author | aiovo |
---|---|
permlink | re-tobetada-2023316t22019520z |
category | hive-167922 |
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created | 2023-03-15 21:20:21 |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|
tobetada | 0 | 20,918,499,389 | 11% | ||
dustbunny | 0 | 24,570,035,314 | 7.26% |
Koinos has very good fundamentals and is very promising
author | tobetada |
---|---|
permlink | re-aiovo-rrkzdw |
category | hive-167922 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["hive-167922"],"app":"peakd/2023.3.2"} |
created | 2023-03-15 21:22:42 |
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Well I'll check it out thanks ๐
author | aiovo |
---|---|
permlink | re-tobetada-2023316t22554991z |
category | hive-167922 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["hive-167922"],"app":"ecency/3.0.39-mobile","format":"markdown+html"} |
created | 2023-03-15 21:25:57 |
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I believe the bear market is over and the best altcoin to have now is hive and I have been stacking Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@dwayne16/re-tobetada-6yr18g)
author | dwayne16 |
---|---|
permlink | re-tobetada-6yr18g |
category | hive-167922 |
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created | 2023-03-15 20:06:48 |
last_update | 2023-03-15 20:06:48 |
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voter | weight | wgt% | rshares | pct | time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
tobetada | 0 | 39,749,568,311 | 21% |
great work, i try to have a balance between the 2! How will the next halving fit with your market top? 400 or so days til the halving.
author | mypathtofire |
---|---|
permlink | re-tobetada-2023316t10207645z |
category | hive-167922 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["bitcoin","bear","bull","proofofbrain","trading","crypto","palnet","neoxian","sct-coin","gems"],"app":"ecency/3.0.31-vision","format":"markdown+html"} |
created | 2023-03-16 09:20:12 |
last_update | 2023-03-16 09:20:12 |
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voter | weight | wgt% | rshares | pct | time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
tobetada | 0 | 25,763,262,653 | 13% |
Probably going to play out like the last times. Top should be at around 150k+
author | tobetada |
---|---|
permlink | re-mypathtofire-2023316t103634517z |
category | hive-167922 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["bitcoin","bear","bull","proofofbrain","trading","crypto","palnet","neoxian","sct-coin","gems"],"app":"ecency/3.0.38-mobile","format":"markdown+html"} |
created | 2023-03-16 09:36:33 |
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I'm contented with having around 10X return on BTC. But altcoins (picking the right ones) are the real gems like you pointed above. Unlike bitcoin, they haven't matured yet. So there's a lot of room to grow upwards.
author | takhar |
---|---|
permlink | re-tobetada-2023315t195229432z |
category | hive-167922 |
json_metadata | {"tags":["bitcoin","bear","bull","proofofbrain","trading","crypto","palnet","neoxian","sct-coin","gems"],"app":"ecency/3.0.31-vision","format":"markdown+html"} |
created | 2023-03-15 19:52:30 |
last_update | 2023-03-15 19:52:30 |
depth | 1 |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|
tobetada | 0 | 45,601,198,775 | 24% |
yep I think so as well
author | tobetada |
---|---|
permlink | re-takhar-rrkvvk |
category | hive-167922 |
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created | 2023-03-15 20:06:54 |
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@tipu curate
author | tobetada |
---|---|
permlink | re-tobetada-2023316t103443798z |
category | hive-167922 |
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