Casus belli by tosolini

View this thread on: hive.blog | peakd.com | ecency.com

hive-146620 · @tosolini · Oct 2 '22 (edited)

$7.94

Casus belli

Ci siamo, il casus belli sta per scoppiare. O almeno [i rumors](https://www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2022/10/02/nervosismo-tra-gli-investitori-in-attesa-dellapertura-delle-borse-a-rischio-una-grande-banca-internazionale/6825293/) di questo fine settimana in ambito finanziario si sono scaldati parecchio.

Una delle principali banche di investimento internazionale sarebbe fallita, o in procinto di fallire. Chi? non si sa, ma gli indiziati sono due. Una è una vecchia conoscenza, ne avevo parlato in diversi post, ovvero Deutsche Bank, già attenzionata dalla SEC con tanto di warning. Da anni cerca di coprire le forti esposizioni in crediti deteriorati a seguito di mutui simili ai sub-prime, ma elargiti nell'est europeo.

L'altra è Credit Swisse, incredibile ma vero la banca svizzera da tempo viaggia in acque agitate e lo stesso CEO ha recentemente ammesso il momento di difficoltà. In questo caso le motivazioni sono più generiche, e probabilmente dovute alla progressiva perdita di status che la svizzera aveva nel segreto bancario. Pare infatti che molti portafogli pesanti si siano diretti altrove, ma più in generale la Svizzera non è più quel porto sicuro per il danaro. Ricordiamo infatti che negli anni passati l'effetto delle norme sulla trasparenza bancaria avevano tolto il velo sui conti dei non residenti.

Nel caso Svizzero, se dovesse palesarsi il default, dovranno reggersi sulle loro gambe, cioè l'intervento della Banca Centrale dovrà metterci una pezza. Più complicato il caso tedesco, visto che le norme di Bail-in dovrebbero attivarsi senza l'impiego diretto del nodo centrale. Ma qui il condizionale è d'obbligo perché stiamo parlando della prima banca privata tedesca che, come nazione, detiene al 23% di quote della BCE.

Tradotto, la cannonata sarebbe pesantissima, e probabilmente le onde di rifrazione darebbero il via ufficiale alla crisi finanziaria che è già in atto da tutto il 2022.

![piggy-bank-2889042_1280.jpg](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tosolini/48SNEbkPBFaShb8RLkc8uin9Za8WU5CqbNgfguF84UsT19TYDzyT1APeaaweeJqJ5h.jpg)

Lunedì 3 ottobre sarà interessante vedere cosa succederà nei vari listini e nelle borse. Di certo il caos regna sovrano, dopo la distruzione del nord-stream, l'inflazione anche a causa della guerra, lo "scapottone" finanziario che potrebbe anche portarsi dietro altri istituti, sembra la tempesta perfetta.

Quello che preoccupa è la magnitudo di questi effetti, tutto fa indicare che rispetto alla crisi del 2008 siamo a qualche ordine di grandezza superiore. E noi come italiani praticamente non abbiamo finito di scontare gli effetti precedenti, figurarsi trovarsi nel mezzo di quelli nuovi. Anche perché nel 2008 l'onda da noi arrivò nel 2011-2012, in questo caso dovrebbe essere ben più diretta.

![ItalianStripe2.png](https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/tosolini/23z7NRkJUqzeoWwaiT3eAwowoVJ3WnVXZdkmfVri1QvRyoeafuCRDXrKpXgi4WG5RRsZW.png)

<br /><center><hr/>
<img src="http://blog.tosolini.info/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2021/04/hive-banner.jpg" alt="visit tosolini.info website"><br/>
<em>Posted from my blog: https://blog.tosolini.info/ </em><hr/></center>

👍 fedesox, tipu, discovery-it, claudio83, boatymcboatface, ilnegro, pab.ink, libertycrypto27, tosolini, armandosodano, mad-runner, meppij, carolineschell, stefano.massari, gianluccio, theshell, airmatti, spt-skillup, poliwalt10, kryptogames, atongis, garlet, dimascastillo90, maruskina, peterpanpan, kingscrown, lallo, ivanslait, axel-blaze, piumadoro, spiceboyz, titti, spaghettiscience, vittoriozuccala, c3r34lk1ll3r, stea90, maridmc, alequandro, sportgamer, adinapoli, riccc96, delilhavores, travelingmercies, marcolino76, nattybongo, devann, beco132, ettore-san, dinamida, discovery-blog, serialfiller, re-public, cooltivar, juanbg, dappstats, ciuoto, phage93, matteus57, waivio.curator, mirteg, stevenson7, meeplecomposer, src3, sbarandelli, and 40 others
👎 xtipu

`author`	tosolini
`permlink`	casus-belli
`category`	hive-146620
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`created`	2022-10-02 14:16:33
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`depth`	0
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`pending_payout_value`	0.000 HBD
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`body_length`	3,144
`author_reputation`	96,438,752,196,496
`root_title`	"Casus belli"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 HBD
`percent_hbd`	10,000
`post_id`	117,119,173
`net_rshares`	12,127,447,432,201
`author_curate_reward`	""

properties (23)vote details (105)

voter	rshares	pct
boatymcboatface	144,621,184,147	8%
kingscrown	17,918,107,709	8%
theshell	38,735,919,154	8%
donatello	1,170,801,382	3%
stea90	11,424,435,134	30%
airmatti	36,777,172,163	78%
travelingmercies	6,611,098,564	30%
spiceboyz	12,994,235,907	30%
tipu	2,806,455,407,546	10%
tosolini	104,737,765,969	100%
fedesox	6,444,764,034,925	50%
liverpool-fan	559,763,920	15%
gianluccio	58,795,854,248	27%
ciuoto	3,333,696,409	15%
carolineschell	65,265,234,721	30%
popurri	887,567,666	15%
marcolino76	6,232,784,867	30%
stevenson7	2,538,896,638	15%
jacopo.eth	561,489,741	25.5%
alequandro	7,652,157,520	15%
pab.ink	121,855,557,912	100%
atongis	34,196,598,166	5%
piumadoro	13,443,654,138	30%
mad-runner	74,739,607,382	21%
sbarandelli	2,097,841,067	30%
vittoriozuccala	11,776,720,240	15%
spaghettiscience	11,920,050,071	30%
bafi	1,546,928,335	30%
phage93	2,839,248,100	30%
beco132	5,392,014,036	88.86%
serialfiller	4,605,155,901	50%
cooltivar	4,370,693,276	24%
longer	807,877,437	2.5%
nattybongo	6,169,008,747	30%
armandosodano	89,384,861,791	21%
ilnegro	131,553,604,908	100%
stefano.massari	62,732,597,570	27%
middleearth	1,194,424,873	30%
adinapoli	6,888,354,721	15%
discovery-it	629,951,849,652	30%
devann	5,875,567,958	4%
juanbg	4,057,571,800	15%
lallo	17,686,391,316	30%
cooperfelix	1,659,633,848	21%
samuel.steem	1,084,586,037	27%
src3	2,117,584,979	2.5%
kryptogames	34,529,521,502	10%
claudio83	557,436,940,495	50%
titti	12,272,870,650	30%
maryincryptoland	1,088,144,513	30%
stregamorgana	1,160,017,582	30%
meeplecomposer	2,471,791,228	18%
c3r34lk1ll3r	11,427,995,097	50%
poliwalt10	34,882,489,553	77%
libertycrypto27	114,564,625,134	35%
blumela	818,557,885	3%
tinyhousecryptos	493,074,695	5%
maruskina	26,074,529,511	15%
victoriaxl	1,031,218,468	15%
omodei	937,731,182	30%
cryptogambit	1,443,706,462	7.5%
martthesquire	1,665,394,283	100%
capitanonema	1,037,183,145	30%
damaskinus	617,819,911	15%
sportgamer	7,206,906,307	100%
dinamida	4,759,571,010	100%
spt-skillup	36,499,299,827	20%
bcm	847,472,337	7.5%
dappstats	4,008,129,542	15%
axel-blaze	16,474,814,659	30%
discovery-blog	4,682,409,827	30%
riccc96	6,768,123,764	7.5%
delilhavores	6,652,125,454	30%
garlet	33,153,949,072	50%
libertypal27	619,265,609	100%
romytokic	998,764,463	15%
peterpanpan	22,291,427,587	30%
meppij	69,095,831,189	30%
matteus57	2,653,880,391	30%
ilpaso	1,168,226,659	15%
flewsplash	1,113,399,530	30%
bindalove	775,917,123	30%
libertyleo27	732,211,518	100%
yggdrasilwind	1,688,363,006	30%
repayme4568	444,296,291	15%
re-public	4,491,733,549	38.5%
krrizjos18	1,252,564,397	15%
kkartdesign	494,692,934	15%
maridmc	8,553,547,230	30%
mattbrown.art	1,276,821,433	15%
mirteg	2,606,123,990	77%
libertypob27	870,696,800	100%
farmingtales	1,854,417,153	30%
stewie.wieno	1,957,395,024	50%
dimascastillo90	27,498,880,193	30%
jrjaime	718,686,486	9%
magic.bht	136,094,407	100%
cryptogillone	637,743,475	30%
castles	581,732,684	30%
waivio.curator	2,629,726,362	4.98%
ettore-san	5,097,619,731	30%
thequizshow	632,352,740	30%
ivanslait	17,119,069,580	100%
xtipu	-75,134,022	-10%
mukadder	539,079,003	3%

@discovery-it · Oct 3 '22

<div class="pull-left">https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTAn3c753LR7bHCLPo96g9UvRMaPFwaMYn8VQZa85xczC/discovery_logo_colore%20-%20Copia.png</div><br> This post was shared and voted inside the discord by the curators team of <a href="https://discord.gg/cMMp943"> discovery-it</a> <br>Join our community! <a href = "https://hive.blog/trending/hive-193212"> hive-193212</a><br>Discovery-it is also a Witness, vote for us <a href = "https://hivesigner.com/sign/account-witness-vote?witness=discovery-it&approve=true"> here</a>  <br>Delegate to us for passive income. Check our <a href = "https://hive.blog/hive-193212/@discovery-it/delegations-program-80-fee-back"> 80% fee-back Program</a> <hr>

properties (22)

`author`	discovery-it
`permlink`	re-tosolini-n4l5s6fj12
`category`	hive-146620
`json_metadata`	"{"app": "beem/0.24.26"}"
`created`	2022-10-03 08:35:27
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`root_title`	"Casus belli"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 HBD
`percent_hbd`	10,000
`post_id`	117,147,333
`net_rshares`	0

@libertycrypto27 · Oct 3 '22

$0.11

Considero le banche italiane e da tempo enti totalmente inutili se non per spillare soldi senza dare nulla in cambio... le banche di cui hai parlato sono colossi bancari e se dovessero fallire entrambi avremo un vero e proprio tzunami finanziario... ultimamente le notizie economiche sono sempre più "rassicuranti" !LOL
!discovery 30

👍 tosolini, lallo

`author`	libertycrypto27
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`created`	2022-10-03 08:34:48
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`root_title`	"Casus belli"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
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properties (23)vote details (2)

voter	weight	wgt%	rshares	pct	time
tosolini	0 B		102,646,376,806	100%
lallo	0 B		59,548,238,869	100%

@lolzbot · Oct 3 '22

<div class='pull-right'><center><img src="https://lolztoken.com/lolz.png"><br><a href="https://lolztoken.com">lolztoken.com</a></p><br><br><br><br></center></div><p><center><strong>The first time I got a universal remote control I thought to myself<br>This changes everything.</strong><br><sub>Credit: <a href="https://peakd.com/@marshmellowman">marshmellowman</a></sub><br>@tosolini, I sent you an <a href="https://lolztoken.com">$LOLZ</a> on behalf of @libertycrypto27<br><br>Use the <strong>!LOL</strong> or <strong>!LOLZ</strong> command to share a joke and an <strong>$LOLZ</strong><br>(4/8)</center></p>

properties (22)

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@tosolini · Oct 3 '22

$0.05

beh, veramente non saprei. Tieni conto che i risparmiatori italiani non hanno eguali al mondo, per cui le nostre banche come risparmio privato sono davvero ben fornite.

👍 libertycrypto27

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properties (23)vote details (1)

voter	weight	wgt%	rshares	pct	time
libertycrypto27	0 B		70,558,655,727	20%

@libertycrypto27 · Oct 4 '22

Questo si perchè le nostre banche non rischiano mai ma strozzinano legalmente autonomi con tassi rasenti lo strozzinaggio e fanno pagare chi gli dà il risparmio ed è per questo che sono ben fornite proprio perchè sono inutili allo sviluppo ma solo a riempire le loro casse...e nonostante tutto qualcuna è fallite e altre non sono fallite solo per l'aiuto dello stato...
!LOL

properties (22)

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`beneficiaries`	`[]`
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1 reply

@robibasa · Oct 2 '22

$0.07

@tipu curate ancora mi chiedo come fa a fallire una banca.
Hai i miei soldi... come fai a fallire...

👍 tosolini

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properties (23)vote details (1)

voter	weight	wgt%	rshares	pct	time
tosolini	0 B		104,603,974,841	100%

@beerlover · Oct 2 '22

<div class='pull-right'>https://files.peakd.com/file/peakd-hive/beerlover/yiuU6bdf-beerlover20gives20BEER.gif<p><sup><a href='https://hive-engine.com/?p=market&t=BEER'>View or trade </a> <code>BEER</code>.</sup></p></div><center><br> <p>Hey @robibasa, here is a little bit of <code>BEER</code> from @tosolini for you. Enjoy it!</p> <p>Learn how to <a href='https://peakd.com/beer/@beerlover/what-is-proof-of-stake-with-beer'>earn <b>FREE BEER</b> each day </a> by staking your <code>BEER</code>.</p> </center><div></div>

properties (22)

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@tipu · Oct 2 '22

<a href="https://tipu.online/hive_curator?robibasa" target="_blank">Upvoted  &#128076;</a> (Mana: 16/46) <a href="https://peakd.com/hive/@reward.app/reward-app-quick-guide-updated" target="_blank">Liquid rewards</a>.

properties (22)

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`body_length`	216
`author_reputation`	55,196,656,513,453
`root_title`	"Casus belli"
`beneficiaries`	`[]`
`max_accepted_payout`	1,000,000.000 HBD
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@tosolini · Oct 2 '22

ehm aveva i tuoi soldi, se li presta a cani e porci e compra azioni di aziende prossime alla bancarotta, aveva i soldi....
!BEER

properties (22)

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@stefano.massari · Oct 2 '22

$0.07

Per quanto riguarda la banca tedesca sapevo qualcosa, invece per quanto riguarda la banca svizzera sono piuttosto sorpreso. Adesso sono proprio curioso di vedere cosa succederà questa settimana

👍 tosolini

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@tosolini · Oct 2 '22 (edited)

$0.03

Vediamo, al momento sono rumor e sono usciti a contrattazioni chiuse. Il che fa pensare che qualcosa effettivamente di vero ci sia. Vediamo domani, può essere che solo i giornali di settore ne parlino.

👍 stefano.massari

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@stefano.massari · Oct 2 '22

Grazie @tosolini per questi post informativi. Io non guardo più la TV ormai da anni, quindi questi post mi servono per rimanere un po’ informato. Io credo che proprio qua su Olio di Balena possiamo iniziare a fare una serie di post di informazione generale, cioè tenerci aggiornati su ciò che succede nel mondo e poi magari aprire qualche dibattito o confronto.

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2 replies

@stewie.wieno · Oct 2 '22

$0.07

Rimane da reggersi forte. E soprattutto accettare che in questo periodo dobbiamo comportarci più da formiche che da cicale!

!PGM
!LOL

👍 tosolini

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@pgm-curator · Oct 2 '22

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***

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@tosolini · Oct 3 '22

si in questo momento direi di, poi chiaramente chi si è posizionato perché lo stava aspettando invece comprerà ai super saldi. Ma è un altra storia.

👍 stewie.wieno

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