Hi HODLers and Hiveans, Nowadays, you can literally bet on anything! As any gambler, I have tried my luck in sports betting. Believing I was better than the professionals or the market. **Spoiler alert: I was not.** Nevertheless, I do have better insight than your average Joe. Especially when it comes to analyze some data and have a rational thinking process. I am extremely good at predicting Political Elections (predicted both Trump wins and his loss, as well as Brexit, etc...). Measles are on the rise and it has been a luccrative way to make money on my end. Trading the news dpeending on latest reported cases, vaccination rate and so forth as been good to me. I used different websites to do so and Kalshi is one of my favorite. The only issue is that the liquidity is quite low (a few thousands $) https://img.leopedia.io/DQmQnk8QmicccLNV7NVa97wP9bitigE6fVoiBZEaNzy8U7C/image.png This is what it looks like. In my opinion, the 1,500 to 3,000 are a lock. US health department has done a GREAT job isolating cases and preventing the spread. The only county it really spread in is a Mennonite religious community in Texas. A part from that, cases were under control. Currently, US as of May, 30th has reported 1,088 cases year to date. With a slowdown in the recent weeks. Nevertheless, Canada has been overwhelmed over the past few weeks by hundreds of weekly cases. Same for Mexico (which is under reporting). Naturally, we had a rise in cases through air travel in Denver Airport recently. Also, northern US states which share the border with Canada have seen a spike in cases. North Dakota just reported 30+ cases in the last 10 days. It had 0 cases in April. That's all. I just love that I have the opportunity to be a part of these predictive market where I believe I can beat the *house*. https://img.leopedia.io/DQmeefMgApL4HkzTr11t7MA4piPAELE9zPWiQ2bbL69VWwH/image.png https://img.leopedia.io/DQmYfvBS2tAVd359HNm86waM7EVDDhYjXXMdHqNBUnxXebR/image.png ### If you think I am crazy, do not hesitate to take the other side ! ### Author's latest publications: * [Telegram just raised $1.7bn and secure its financial future!](https://peakd.com/hive-167922/@vlemon/telegram-just-raised-17bn-and-secure-its-financial-future-3mf) * [El Salvador is still accumulating Bitcoins. It just had to slow down due to the IMF pressure! ](https://inleo.io/@vlemon/el-salvador-is-still-accumulating-bitcoins-it-just-had-to-slow-down-due-to-the-imf-pressure--df4) * [How sharing Hive links to other platforms got me 2k views/month!](https://inleo.io/@vlemon/how-sharing-hive-links-to-other-platforms-got-me-2k-viewsmonth-bct) Posted Using [INLEO](https://inleo.io/@vlemon/making-money-on-predicting-us-measles-cases-weird-yes-e1q)
| author | vlemon | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| permlink | making-money-on-predicting-us-measles-cases-weird-yes-e1q | ||||||
| category | hive-167922 | ||||||
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https://www.reddit.com/r/economy/comments/1l3i86f/making_money_on_predicting_us_measles_cases_weird/ <sub> This post has been shared on Reddit by @rose98734 through the [HivePosh](https://hiveposh.com/) initiative.</sub>
| author | redditposh | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| permlink | re-vlemon-making-money-on-predicting-us-measles-cases-weird-17910 | ||||||
| category | hive-167922 | ||||||
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hiveblocks