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Sentiment and the Dead Coin by wildtrader

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· @wildtrader ·
$412.26
Sentiment and the Dead Coin
![ETC logo.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZataoLWcKwbzyMs8iTdkKTyyxLXao4QpkzvJVaJProf9/ETC%20logo.png)

![banner logo.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmVngVC3d3dEcR2Y9DPRR4x8QKgnzRLnimnGgW9nKqRYyY/banner%20logo.png)


Back in early 2017, after Ether Classic existed only as a post-fork coin from the Ethereum chain (actually the original chain pre-fork), I told the traders on Elliott Wave Trader that I was seeing a very bullish pattern in the coin. I was paying member, not an analyst at the time. We had the classic 5up and three down we look for using Elliott Wave, that completed in January 2017 in the $2.00's, with more confirmation as price started to breakout a couple months later. 

I had taken a lot of flak for that call from a few folks. Afterall, it was a dead coin. That is, it didn't have an active project team at the time. But the market seemed to know something I didn't, and I took the trade. The projection from the setup we had was $7.47, that is the 200% extension of wave 1 in log. This is not what we saw at all. Instead we got a super extending third wave. Where the 5th was supposed to hit $7.47, we didn't see a top of the third until $23.80, and then we see a fourth that last 4+ months before the fifth came to peak in January at $46.96. 

What do we learn from this? In my view, sentiment is the only true 'sentient intelligence' in the market and it leaves a signature in price action. Sentiment doesn't care if a coin is 'dead'. It doesn't care if a project is amazing. Sentiment summates the affect of all participants in the market- the lovers, the detractors, the bulls, and the bears. Sentiment even accounts for the insiders. Afterall, they are participants and have a opinion. Sentiment knows 'no pump and dump' just euphoria run amuck.  It knows no flush, just bearish extreme. Sentiment is not subjective when you know its structural signatures through Elliott Wave, though it leaves a 'feeling' if you are listening. 

Fast forward, and Ether Classic is now in a wave ii in my primary, though it is shallow enough to consider it a higher degree fourth wave in my alt count. This correction though large in percentile terms, is very flat in log proportions to the runup last year. Soon, we expect this to bottom, likely around $7, unless another view of this correction becomes evident in our study of its structure. 

We also now know that the ETC team is very active, and while I haven't dove into all their plans, it seems IOT is a main solution set they are pursuing. I'll leave others to more expertly weigh on their project. However, sentiment and Elliott Wave is my 'wheelhouse' and for right now, I'm very bullish. 

Open chart in a new tab to see zoomed out. 

![ETCUSD.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTerYUKNmTj5wytPP9gi26GGSFLTR6Y73b5VNyGdEKhvM/ETCUSD.png)

Note that free 15 day trials are available for our trading room and community on Elliott Wave Trader, where I am a full time analyst. You'll rub nose with, professional, amateur and traders in the learning process, while getting trade calls and ongoing direction for the market. No credit card is needed for a trial.

https://www.elliottwavetrader.net/cryptocurrency
👍  , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , and 150 others
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vote details (214)
@amzar123 ·
$0.16
Thanks for the post
👍  
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vote details (1)
@arcange ·
Congratulations @wildtrader!
Your post was mentioned in the [Steemit Hit Parade](https://steemit.com/hit-parade/@arcange/daily-hit-parade-20181001) in the following category:

* Pending payout - Ranked 5 with $ 301,64
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@cryptoawesome ·
Thank me later http://b.link/cryptotab
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@denizcanguler ·
Thanks for the post, quality work...
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@dotfee ·
@wildtrader thanks for the well explanation
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@experiment ·
Hi @wildtrader  I'm a bot, and wanted you to know that I've upvoted and re-steemed your post to help you with your promotion efforts!  -exp
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@larster · (edited)
Unfortunately you've become rare on this platform. 

I've seen your recent intermediate outlook on this one. Could your primary B of iv or alt red 2 also be a failing fifth wave given that it is a double bottom?
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@pankajborah ·
I'm bullish for ETC.
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@paulomits ·
One takeaway from this: Sentiment does not care if a coin is dead or if a project is amazing.
Well done.
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@programmingvalue ·
$0.13
It's very hard, nigh impossible for ETC to catch up to ETH right now
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@richatvns · (edited)
$0.20
hey elliot,

Do me a favor, stop bidding over the curator give back on bots...
You come in with a bid larger then the bot can handle...
And turn your money spent on your bid into a lose because of curation!
And you mess up the other large bidders.

for instance I had $27.50 in bids on @appreciator, which means that the give back to me at 15% removes $42 from the $178 pool.

Meaning the remaining amount in the pool was $136.

That meant for you to get the 15% profit, $90  was to big a bid. 
$90 + 1/3rd for curation = $120 then $120 + 15% for profit = $138... 
So immediately the return you can get out of the pool is less than max 
ON TOP OF THAT with 45 min left someone else will surely jump in... 
and of course they did $25 worth.....
MAKING YOUR $90 UPVOTE AND MY $27.50 AS -1.5% ROI after curation....
![](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmarTFUpfJMmLvbyMzSvpXCeNL676yo7Pz4xPyy2jQhibf/image.png)
Thanks Rich
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@wildtrader ·
While I don't want to harm someone else, I'm not sure I follow. My post is showing a ton of profit over what I spent. I am happy to learn, I am new to bidding. (well, as of September)
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@scorer · (edited)
That guy is trying to "profit" on bidbots. I believe you are using it for promotional purposes. In that case you are ruining his business model. 😂

But I believe you are doing good for Steem community, because using bidbots for promotion is better than using them for plain profit.
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@yensesa ·
basically when you put in really big bids it makes you earn less than you could because others are attempting the same thing. its better to spread it around to a couple of bots or services.
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@silent.screamer ·
Great post!
But I think ETC is far from dead; it's still somewhat relevant and in marketshare terms, it's on the 15th rank right now on CoinMarketCap.
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@sinkfish ·
nice work, btc bull is near.
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@steem-ua ·
#### Hi @wildtrader!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your **UA** account score is currently 3.354 which ranks you at **#7074** across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has not changed in the last three days.

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 477 contributions, your post is ranked at **#296**.
##### Evaluation of your UA score:

* You're on the right track, try to gather more followers.
* The readers appreciate your great work!
* Try to work on user engagement: the more people that interact with you via the comments, the higher your UA score!


**Feel free to join our [@steem-ua Discord server](https://discord.gg/KpBNYGz)**
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@tts ·
To listen to the audio version of this article click on the play image.
[![](https://s18.postimg.org/51o0kpijd/play200x46.png)](http://ec2-52-72-169-104.compute-1.amazonaws.com/wildtrader__sentiment-and-the-dead-coin.mp3)
Brought to you by [@tts](https://steemit.com/tts/@tts/introduction). If you find it useful please consider upvoting this reply.
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