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Technical Analysis on Bitcoin: May See a Temporary Drop in Price by workin2005

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· @workin2005 · (edited)
$6.29
Technical Analysis on Bitcoin: May See a Temporary Drop in Price
![Screen Shot 2018-06-15 at 6.20.45 PM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbr6sL1CCknNr63LcQhWD4G9CE1R6p5iKrebioH73BGUj/Screen%20Shot%202018-06-15%20at%206.20.45%20PM.png)

Bitcoin has been continuing to consolidate for the last couple days. Price is being squeezed within a wedge. It'll more than likely break up or down by the end of the day. It looks like a temporary break down is more likely, before continuing the uptrend. 
Is this just a guppy rally? What would indicate a longer term bull run? I cover all this and more in today's video.
### Video Analysis:
https://youtu.be/s4thzMzC3aw

Please watch the above video for detailed analysis not found in the screen shots below.

### Waiting for price to breakout of the wedge. If it breaks down (which I expect it will), we have strong support between $6,380-$6,330. I'd expect a bounce between $6,400-$6,350.
![Screen Shot 2018-07-05 at 10.56.49 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmTYLMHay1Gvcm3PAy7dbT6RC2vExhfTMBfZnV1JPc1Y9i/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-05%20at%2010.56.49%20AM.png)

### My big picture count has Bitcoin in an ABCDE correction. Volume continues to decline on the larger time frames. A break above the descending resistance line would invalidate the ABCDE count. That would mean bitcoin would more than likely be in 5 waves up, with prior completion of an ABC correction. Much more detail in the video. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-05 at 10.58.33 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfEXocsMKcPV6TdhyTMnMRPXga6nzTAqFfxAA8WYbh4CW/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-05%20at%2010.58.33%20AM.png)

### Bearish divergence on the MACD suggests we will likely see a temporary drop in price in the next few hours. As stated, I believe a drop to the $6,400-$6,330 support zone is likely.
![Screen Shot 2018-07-05 at 11.00.14 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmWbDL7PmkiLgACTRNg8mFqayPCqoUKEKzRwoLcJtTJXuS/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-05%20at%2011.00.14%20AM.png)

### The 4 hour RSI has developed an ascending support line. I’d expect a strong bounce off this area if the RSI drops that far.
![Screen Shot 2018-07-05 at 11.01.06 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbLuUaPqwKq3XgMdq6HN96uWGbxo2PWEbtm7sa6a9jV4F/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-05%20at%2011.01.06%20AM.png)

### Zoomed in, we can see what appears to be a leading diagonal. If the 5th wave is complete, I’d expect an ABC correction as indicated. This will likely test the $6,350 support zone where I’d expect a bounce. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-05 at 11.01.26 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmV3txfATAocBVoczP914VucTzZ4gsaMybZkzGpBsZD29b/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-05%20at%2011.01.26%20AM.png)

Please watch the above video for MUCH more detailed analysis. 
Let’s see how the next 24 hours unfold.

**BIAS:**
Short Term: Slightly Bearish
Longterm: Very Bullish 

**I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading!**
## *Workin*

## **If you found this post informative, please:**
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@binoy2018 ·
wow thanks sir  for this information

👍  
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@workin2005 ·
My pleasure.
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@coinsquad ·
This is one of the great Bitcoin analysis. Thank you  !
I also recommend you to check and participate in my contest: https://steemit.com/ethereumclassic/@coinsquad/ethereum-classic-price-the-coinsquad-cryptoprediction-contest-round-4-or-win-all-sbd-from-this-post
👍  
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@workin2005 ·
Thanks @coinsquad. I participated in your contest.
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@cultus-forex ·
Hello perfect, look at my analysis https://steemit.com/deutsch/@cultus-forex/erobern-wir-die-wolke
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@rahul-pareek ·
Have you any idea about current movement of BITCOIN, is going up down?
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@workin2005 ·
As I stated in the title, I expect a temporary drop in price, followed by continuation of the uptrend. Please watch the video for more detail.
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@suratcorporate ·
@workin2005 yes, as the pattern making there is a chance to down a market . Bitcoin price may get down than the last some days. So day trader be careful
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@transcript-junky ·
Hey @workin2005! I spend a good hour today FINE-TUNING and EXPANDING my "marketing magic" related to integrating your content into my larger effort. Here is a quick roundown of my new (upgraded) activity :

On the Bitcoin front :

(1) Tweeted out your recent Bitcoin video analysis Steemit post :

https://twitter.com/BitcoinsNGravy/status/1015091170949586945

(2)Tweeted the YouTube video version of the video in the above Steemit post :

https://twitter.com/BitcoinsNGravy/status/1015092086079492096

(3) Included BOTH the Steemit post and the YouTube video posts (above) in the new "Trending Bitcoin News" series Steemit post (via @bitcoinsandgravy ) :

Trending Bitcoin News #26 - July 6th, 2018
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@bitcoinsandgravy/trending-bitcoin-news-26-july-6th-2018

AND THEN

(4) Tweeted the above post out :

https://twitter.com/TranscriptJunky/status/1015119456954019840

(5) ReSteemed THIS post via @bitcoinsandgravy

You can see that I have ADDED a few tasks, which will enance the results of the effort. The NEXT step is EXTEND this process to the "Trending Blockchain Social Media News" series posts, integrating your Steemit video analysis posts into those. That is ONE LESS article I need to hunt down for each of these seris posts, and so this is valuable to ME on multiple fronts as well.

Finally, I am enjoying your "mentorship", and trying to get more up-to-speed on the technical analysis stuff. Right now I am trying to simply look out for PATTERS in the charts and info you are presenting. On a more BASIC levels, as a visually-oriented person, I am enjoying "looking at the pretty pictures".  However, do you have any suggested "entry level" resources which can help me get up to speed? For me, simple videos in manageable (bite-sized) chunks is ideal, like the high-quality chart-tool tutorials by "Data Dash" ("Trading Tips" (Playlist) :

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLovfz5BWiPa34GzoacromtRO-hq1XQSnD

Any additional resource recommendations are welcomed...
👍  ,
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vote details (2)
@workin2005 · (edited)
$0.08
Thank you for your continued support @transcript-junky! You're doing a great job with these posts...a lot of great information. I've been supporting both your accounts. 
As far as resource recommendations, I don't know of many visual aides, but I also haven't really looked. I learned how to trade by reading books and practicing countless hours of paper trading. I also was fortunate enough to have a very close friend, who is a trading god, mentor me. 

It takes a LOT of time and practice to get to a point where day trading is consistently profitable. I'd suggest learning the basics and then paper trading until you're able to get consistent, profitable results. Remember, trading is not just about knowing when to enter a position, but knowing when to get out. Knowing when to take your profit or cut your losses. You'll loose...a lot. You've got to be ok with the losses and learn from them. The trick is to win more than you loose. Seems simple, but it's hard when real money is on the line. 

You've got to learn to manage risk and never let emotion enter your mind. FOMO and FUD are very real. Either something makes logical sense, or it doesn't. Some of the best decisions I've made were NOT to enter certain trades when I really, REALLY wanted to. You'd be surprised how easy it is to justify a poor decision..especially when you see others making money. 

I'd recommend you start paper trading while expanding your knowledge. When you loose a trade, ask yourself why? Think about what you could've done differently. Also, if your a reader, I'd recommend this book, "Trading Psychology : The Bible for Traders", by Anirudh Sethi. It's not about crypto specifically, but the ideas and psychology behind trading are the same across markets.
👍  
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@transcript-junky · (edited)
Thanks for the detailed response. I have taken it all into account. Just to clarify, I DO NOT have any intention of daytrading. I am more interested in just getting a "working competence" to be able to properly follow along with your videos. I am content with LONG-TERM positions in BTC BCH, Steem and a few others. It is more of an INTELLECTUAL curiosity in relation to the technical analysis. I am FUNDAMENTALLY a FUNDAMENTALS FUNDAMENTALIST ... Cha... Cha... Cha...
👍  ,
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