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Technical Analysis on STEEM: Short Term Signs of Strength...Will it Last? by workin2005

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· @workin2005 · (edited)
$6.25
Technical Analysis on STEEM: Short Term Signs of Strength...Will it Last?
![Screen Shot 2018-06-15 at 6.20.45 PM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmbr6sL1CCknNr63LcQhWD4G9CE1R6p5iKrebioH73BGUj/Screen%20Shot%202018-06-15%20at%206.20.45%20PM.png)

### STEEM has been unable to decisively break above a descending resistance line that’s been in place since late April. In the past price broke above by just a wick on the daily chart, before being quickly rejected. Price is now testing the resistance line again. If the daily candle can close above the resistance, that’d be a big win for the bulls and a sign of market strengthening. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-16 at 10.41.57 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRnhAyiUL6FS2z3TfJcZmgMeq6gifhPiujBAsT3NXgADm/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-16%20at%2010.41.57%20AM.png)
### Price is also consolidating within a wedge. As it moves closer to the apex, a breakout becomes more likely. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-16 at 10.40.44 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmZjaEM4Ugbty1ZZAmwpt2kv6t1RH832FBjMGUAAkixopt/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-16%20at%2010.40.44%20AM.png)
### Looking at the 4 hour RSI, we can see clear bullish divergence. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-16 at 9.01.00 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmfCyrw41XeokZC4Pdk1ptfUvNwdVeznCQexjcZKmuT19n/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-16%20at%209.01.00%20AM.png)
### We know STEEM is somewhat tied to bitcoin. Given that we’re seeing bitcoin show some strength, as well as the bullish divergence on the 4 hour RSI, my bias is that price will break up and out of the wedge. If that happens, I’d expect it to test the 22.9-23.9K satoshi resistance. From there, 1 or 2 things may happen. Price will either be strongly rejected (bull trap), OR it may have a small bounce, only to come back up and retest the resistance. Here’s how these 2 scenarios might play out:
![Screen Shot 2018-07-16 at 12.09.20 PM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmRQMWvLpihg9imwHrh7UoEr1JEi9yQynz4m48Zar2LoGk/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-16%20at%2012.09.20%20PM.png)
### Remember, just because my bias is towards a break up, doesn’t mean that will happen. If price does break down, it’ll likely drop to the bottom of the 20.2K-19.5K satoshi support. If that breaks, it’ll likely drop to the 18.7K support zone. 
### Looking at the 4 hour RSI, we can see it’s established an ascending support line. If this support breaks, STEEM will likely drop to the 18.7K support. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-16 at 9.01.54 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmcSKh5JDxxmpnojCqpV7NGupVuANPDqMryfPq1T8ZKobi/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-16%20at%209.01.54%20AM.png)
### Looking at the 4 hour chart, we see price has broken above the 8 and 21 day EMA. This is a bullish sign of strength. If we can get price to break above the 55 day EMA, it would indicate the bulls are starting to take control of the market...at least temporarily. 
![Screen Shot 2018-07-16 at 10.37.43 AM.png](https://cdn.steemitimages.com/DQmaGrfUHewgkMF5Zi86t4n62wN7pePBAaWiCMYwr4nwTjp/Screen%20Shot%202018-07-16%20at%2010.37.43%20AM.png)
### Watch my video analysis for MUCH more detail not found above. 
**CORRECTION: I misspoke in the video at 8 mins and 20-40 seconds. I said " 238".  Should have said the "0.382" fib. That's what you get on 3 hours sleep. Sorry guys.**
## Video Analysis:
https://youtu.be/qKB8uW0Cinc

**BIAS:**
**Short Term: Slightly Bullish**
**Longterm: Bullish**

**I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Until next time, wishing you safe and profitable trading!**
### *Workin*

## **If you found this post informative, please:**
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vote details (145)
@adit123 ·
hi good friend thanks
by. @ adit123
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@rollandthomas ·
Nice analylsis and I agree with your bias to the upside. Looks like price is basing, but I put extra emphasis on the positive divergence.
👍  
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@workin2005 ·
Thanks. Yea...as I said, between the bullish divergence and BTC rising, my bias is up.
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@transcript-junky ·
Another good one. As I am discovering, and getting involved with, various SMTs which are now paying out what are essentially "dividends" based on Steem Power (SP) and/or reputation (which is based partly on SP), I am starting to wonder about how the DYNAMIC between Bitcoin and Steem will evolve into the future. For a while now, we have known that "Steem follows BTC", but the SMTs add additional factors to this relationship. For instance the 1:1 ratio airdrop of HNT tokens from @steemhunt ( 1 HNT per 1 SP) increases the importance of powering up SP. I am just trying to figure out how to adjust my long-term BTC HODL strategy so as to MAXIMIZE the growth of my SP. one thought is that the additional upvoting power gained by increasing SP can then be used to purchase additional BTC with Steem. Any thoughts on this?

Tweet of this post : 

https://twitter.com/BitcoinsNGravy/status/1019606369127653376
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@workin2005 · (edited)
$0.07
Yea...it's interesting. I think the safest, most important crypto asset to hold is BTC. It's the only truly decentralized crypto that will likely stand the test of time. I'm not saying others won't. I think they surly will. The question is, which ones? Have the altcoins that will be around in 10 years even been invented yet?

Remember the .com boom? Everyone thought AOL was going to change the world...and it did for a time. But then it was replaced by far superior companies like google. Now it's worthless. My point is, crypto is uncharted territory. We have NO idea what will happen going forward. What seems like a gold mine today, could be replaced by far superior tech tomorrow. 
That said, we do know that bitcoin will likely ALWAYS be around. If for no other reason, it was FIRST and it's RARE. That alone will ensure it's value. If every millionaire in the world wanted to own 1 bitcoin, they couldn't to it. 

I say all this so you know where my head is. I invest in a few altcoins, but I only started accumulating them after bitcoin. Sure other coins may outperform BTC in the short term...but in the longterm, most will likely die while BTC will live on. Which altcoins will stand the test of time, and which will go the way of AOL? I have my ideas, but NO ONE knows for certain. 

I can't tell you what to do. But for me, btc makes up the majority of my portfolio. I understand what you mean about dividends...and that's important. EOS has been excellent in that department. There's a new airdrop every week it seems. Steem is great for obvious reasons as well . I would just be careful about getting too attached to any altcoin. Crypto is just too early of a market to really know how this whole "experiment" will play out. I'm not saying don't invest in altcoins. I'm simply saying make sure you've got a good amount of btc for the long haul. 
In know....that was a long winded answer to a straight forward question. haha
👍  
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@transcript-junky ·
Yeah. So I guess you are arguing for significantly for ONE of my points, which is the the evolving dividend-paying nature of Steem would be best leveraged to buy more BTC. That's something I can get behind. I just wish I was one of those Steemians who was making $100+ per post, in which case making it possible to buy more "serious" amounts of BTC per transaction. Let's face it, it is much more motiving to get 600+ Steem by selling BTC than it is .000000XXXX BTC for selling a relatively small amount of Steem. But in the end I think it may be best to use my 50% rule - that is invest 50% of ALL earnings in diversification. So whatever ADDITIONAL Steem I can earn from the "dividends" I could let 50% of that ride in the Steem ecosystem, and then use the other 50% to buy BTC. Does this sound prudent?
👍  
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@uday20 ·
Nice analysis on STEEM.
👍  
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@workin2005 ·
Thanks @uday20
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