Part 2/6:

What is particularly interesting is the surge in betting odds concerning the potential ousting of Iran's leader. According to reports from PolyMarket, traders now project over a 60% chance of Khamenei being removed from power this year—a stark rise from previous odds that hovered around 22%. This change in sentiment appears to correlate with recent Israel strikes on Iran, which have intensified discussions about regime change. Many analysts are watching this situation closely, as the definition of removal encompasses various scenarios, including resignation or detention, not just death.

## The Potential for Change in Iran