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RE: Does the Four-Year Cycle in Crypto Prevent Visions to Take Form? by gadrian

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Viewing a response to: @vimukthi/re-gadrian-2024108t03030801z

· @gadrian · (edited)
> Social media + gaming are our chance to step outside of the four year cycle of BTC halving.

It's one of them. But something that breaks the barrier between crypto and fiat and becomes a link between the two worlds through tokenization at big scale has a higher chance of breaking the cycle, imo.

> There is another 4 year cycle with the money supply I have seen some analysts talk about. It is not as deterministic as BTC halving. I still consider it as worth keeping an eye on as there is a clear correlation with asset prices and money supply (global).

I didn't know it forms a 4-year cycle, but global liquidity levels have often been correlated with risk-on assets. The question is which influences which. Does flight to safety grow the money supply while reducing the prices of risk-on assets? I think so. Does a move toward risk-on assets reduce money supply and increase the prices of risk-on assets? I think that's logical too. So, to me, the two cycles seem correlated.
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