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## Navigating the Ukraine Conflict: Trump's Potential Approach

Donald Trump's approach to the Ukraine conflict is likely to be centered around his self-proclaimed skills as a "deal maker." Rather than pursuing a hardline stance or simply withdrawing support for Ukraine, Trump is expected to try to broker a negotiated settlement between the warring parties.

**Encouraging Israel's Self-Defense**

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One key aspect of Trump's potential strategy is his message to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu. Trump is believed to be conveying the idea that it would be better for Israel to take preemptive action against Iran's nuclear facilities and military bases before he takes office. The underlying logic is that such strikes would be easier to carry out under the current administration, rather than risking potential interference from a new administration.

**Facilitating Israel-Iran Deterrence**

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Trump's approach seems to recognize the delicate balance of deterrence between Israel and Iran. He appears to be signaling that the U.S. under his leadership would be supportive of Israel's efforts to protect its homeland, but would not directly interfere in Israel's decision-making process. This could embolden Israel to take decisive action against Iranian provocations, potentially leading to a significant escalation.

**Brokering a Ukraine Settlement**

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Turning to the Ukraine conflict, Trump is likely to adopt a transactional approach. He may tell the Ukrainians that they will continue to receive U.S. support, but that he expects certain concessions from them and Russia. This could involve Ukraine ceding some territory, while Russia agrees to withdraw from the Crimean Peninsula and refrains from further aggression.

**Avoiding Escalation and Bloodshed**

Trump's primary goal seems to be stopping the ongoing bloodshed and preventing further escalation, even if it means making difficult compromises. He is likely to emphasize the immense human toll of the conflict, with over 1 million casualties, and seek a resolution that, while not fully satisfying either side, at least brings an end to the fighting.

**Balancing Interests and Realities**

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Trump's approach appears to be a pragmatic attempt to navigate the complex geopolitical realities of the region. He seems to recognize the historical ties between Russia and Crimea, as well as the military realities that make it difficult for Ukraine to retake the peninsula. At the same time, he is willing to continue arming Ukraine and supporting its efforts to defend its sovereignty.

Overall, Trump's potential strategy reflects his self-proclaimed deal-making abilities and his desire to find a resolution that, while imperfect, can bring an end to the devastating conflict in Ukraine.