>"...thats just my assumption and has no evidence backing it."

These are very specific statements that must have some reason behind it.  There seems to be a substantial body of knowledge regarding this team both you and Bernie seem privy to, presumably due to your being witnesses.

It is difficult to make good decisions regarding complex evolutions absent relevant information, and your position on this event indicates that information I am unaware of dramatically affects how it is understood.

What informs your very specific expectations for the direction you expect this team to go?

Thanks!