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%0A%0AI
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| permlink | -litecoin--4th-september-2017 |
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| title | "对 Litecoin 的价格预测报告; 4th September 2017" |
|---|
| body | "
<h1>对 Litecoin 的价格预测报告; 4th September 2017 </h1>
<p>欢迎来到对 Litecoin —的价格预测报告; 4th September 2017. </p>
<p>本报告调查四项流行的技术分析指标: </p>
<ul>
<li>平滑异同移动平均线 </li>
<li>相对强弱指数</li>
<li>阿隆指标</li>
<li>能量潮指标</li>
</ul>
<p> 上述指标被用于技术分析，作为通过研究过去市场数据（主要是价格和交易量）来预测价格方向的工具。<br>
<br>
它们是基于这样的观点：买入和卖出数字货币的市场效率并不高，历史价格可以被用来预测未来价格的走势，使用这些工具有利于投资者和交易者。 </p>
<h2>平滑异同移动平均线(MACD) </h2>
<p>平滑异同移动平均线（MACD）是一个跟随趋势的动量指标，它反映两个移动平均价格之间的关系。MACD是从12天移动平均值中减去26天指数移动平均值来估计的。然后将MACD的九天指数移动平均值，即“信号线”，绘制在MACD的顶部，用作买入和卖出信号的标识符。 </p>
<p>下图显示了使用最近40天的每日价格数据应用于Litecoin价格的MACD。 </p>
<p><imgsrc="https://www.dropbox.com/s/8phphsdi6go1y85/MACD20170904_1504485035.PNG?dl=1"/></p>
<p> 正如上图所示，MACD当前是高于信号线，意味着一个看涨信号，表明现在可能是买的最佳时间。 </p>
<p>根据MACD，一个看涨信号表明资产的价格可能会经历上涨的动量。 </p>
<h2>相对强弱指数(RSI)</h2>
<p> 相对强弱指数（RSI）是另一个价格动态指标，用于比较在指定时间段内近期损益的大小，以计算数字货币价格变动的速度和变化。它主要是用来识别数字货币交易中的超买或超卖情况。 </p>
<p>70或70以上的RSI值传统上被认为表示一种债卷正在超买或被高估，因此可能会被设定为价格趋势逆转或纠正性降低。 另一方面，低于30的RSI读数通常被解释为表示超卖或低估的情况，可能表明价格方向向上的变化。 </p>
<p>下图显示基于最近40天的每日价格数据应用于Steam价格的RSI。 </p>
<p><imgsrc="https://www.dropbox.com/s/aekgsa3w11mbo38/RSI20170904_1504485035.PNG?dl=1"/></p>
<p>由于RSI当前是高于70，所以这表示Litecoin是超买， 价格逆转下降被预期。 </p>
<h2>阿隆指标</h2>
<p>阿隆指标可用于识别数字货币价格趋势和趋势逆转的可能性。它由两条趋势线组成：衡量上涨幅度的“阿隆上涨线”，以及衡量下降趋势的“阿隆下降线”。该指标报告价格从一个起始点到在某一特定时间段内达到最高点和最低点所需的时间，每个时间以其占总时间百分比的形式加以报告。 </p>
<p>下图显示使用最近40天内的Litecoin价格的阿隆指标。 </p>
<p>阿隆指标在中线（50）上方和下方移动，并且被绑定在0和100之间。这三个级别可以解释如下：当阿隆上涨线高于50和阿隆下降线低于50时，牛市占上风。这表明更倾向于x天新高而不是新低。下跌趋势的情况正好相反。当阿隆上涨线低于50和阿隆下降线超过50时，熊市占上风。 </p>
<p>在下图中，阿隆上涨线高于50和阿隆下降线低于50是看涨信号。.</p>
<p><imgsrc="https://www.dropbox.com/s/qe10wjjq8wdumpx/AROON20170904_1504485035.PNG?dl=1"/></p>
<h2>能量潮指标(OBV) </h2>
<p> OBV指标可以用来衡量一种货币的交易量相对于其价格随时间的推移做正向和负向的移动。
</p>
<p>这个想法是，交易量先于价格走势，所以，如果一种货币正在经历不断增长的能量潮指标，这是一个信号，成交的交易量水平正在上涨价格移动的基础上增加。能量潮指标减少意味着债券在下跌日内的交易量水平正在不断增长。 </p>
<p>下图显示使用最近40天内的Litecoin价格的能量潮指标。 </p>
<p><imgsrc="https://www.dropbox.com/s/j8xybynianv8weh/OBV20170904_1504485035.PNG?dl=1" width="564" height="564"/></p>
<p><strong>请注意，以上指标可能会给出虚假的交易信号，使用这些工具时应谨慎对待。不了解基本原理或对所分析的货币不了解而盲目地使用技术定价指标是不可取的。</strong></p>
<p>谢谢您的阅读</p>
<p> <em>资料来源: www.coinmarketcap.com</em> </p>
<p><br></p>
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