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| author | globalcurrencies |
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| permlink | the-stock-market-has-entered-a-bubble-s-territory-la-bolsa-ha-entrado-en-territorio-de-burbuja |
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| title | "The stock market has entered a bubble's territory / La bolsa ha entrado en territorio de burbuja" |
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| body | "<div class="text-justify">
# English
It is not something new that we have had bullish weeks in all assets, including the stock market, where the Sp500 and NASDAQ indices have been close to or have reached historical highs, which also refers to the fact that the stocks that make up these indexes have been doing so.
<center> [Source](https://pixabay.com/es/photos/pompas-de-jab%C3%B3n-burbujas-diversi%C3%B3n-83758/) </center>
But we have also been able to read from other analysts that it is incredible how we are heading for new highs when we still have a negative global situation (pandemic) that has caused the Gross Domestic Product of countries to fall to significant lows.
And it is precisely the combination of these two situations that makes us find ourselves in bubble territory according to an indicator known to investors, which is the Buffet indicator, it is calculated by dividing the total capitalization of the stock market by the country's gross domestic product, and that when it throws us a number greater than 100 we are in a bubble.
Let's make some logic to this indicator, the first thing is that stocks are supposed to reflect the way the economy moves, and the Gross Domestic Product is an indicator of the growth or contraction of the economy, so if one goes up, the other has to go up as well, but the problem occurs when both indicators are separated, in which the stock market is going up to historical highs while the GDP is going down.
<center> [Source](https://cointelegraph.com/news/global-stocks-in-bubble-territory-but-bitcoin-traders-arent-fazed) </center>
This divergence indicates that there is either an overvaluation of stocks or an undervaluation of these depending on which we are, so the stock market must tend to accompany the movement of the economy at some point, and in the case of the bubble is expected to fall to accompany the growth or in this case, economic contraction.
Personally I think that this indicator can continue to rise for a few more months, just like when we see that graphic indicators such as MACD or RSI are at highs but the price continues to rise along with them for a few days, weeks or months until it gives us a reversal pattern, and can confuse several traders who go into a loss for going against a decided trend.
We are at a time when we must put ourselves in the shoes of investors and have a broader vision, because what would happen if we went out of the stock market to enter into dollars if a savings account would give us a return of 0.5% per year, so we would already enter into loss of value due to inflation that exceeds the return on savings, along with the fact that money continues to be given to people in the form of economic stimuli.
I really do think we are in a bubble (the data is in front of us), but that doesn't mean it's going to burst soon because there are still fundamentals that tell us the bubble is going to keep going up for at least a few more months.
<center>*Happy Trading*</center>
# Español
No es algo nuevo que hemos tenido semanas alcistas en todos los activos, incluyendo a la bolsa, donde los índices Sp500 y NASDAQ han estado por lograr o logrado máximos históricos, lo que se refiere igualmente a que las acciones que componen a estos indices lo han estado haciendo.
<center> [Fuente](https://pixabay.com/es/photos/pompas-de-jab%C3%B3n-burbujas-diversi%C3%B3n-83758/) </center>
Pero también hemos podido leer de otros analistas que es increíble la forma en que nos dirigimos a nuevos máximos cuando aún tenemos una situación global negativa (pandemia) que ha logrado que el Producto Interno Bruto de los países baje a mínimos importantes.
Y es justo la combinación de estas dos situaciones la que hacen que nos encontremos en un territorio de burbuja según un indicador conocido por los inversionistas que es el indicador Buffet, el cual se calcula dividiendo la capitalización total de la bolsa entre el producto interno bruto del país, y que cuando nos arroja un número mayor a 100 estamos en una burbuja.
Hagamos un poco de lógica a este indicador, lo primero es que se supone que las acciones son reflejos de la forma en que se mueve la economía, y el Producto Interno Bruto es un indicador del crecimiento o contracción de la economía, por lo que si uno sube, el otro tiene que subir también, pero el problema ocurre cuando ambos indicadores se encuentran separados, en el que la bolsa está subiendo a máximos históricos mientras que el PIB está bajando.
<center> [Fuente](https://cointelegraph.com/news/global-stocks-in-bubble-territory-but-bitcoin-traders-arent-fazed) </center>
Esta divergencia nos indica que existe o una sobrevaloración de las acciones o una subvaloración de estas dependiendo del que en que nos encontremos, por lo que la bolsa debe tender a acompañar el movimiento de la economía en algún momento, y en el caso de la burbuja se espera que la bolsa caiga para acompañar el crecimiento o en este caso, la contracción económica.
Personalmente pienso que este indicador puede seguir subiendo por unos meses más, al igual que cuando vemos que los indicadores gráficos como MACD o RSI están en máximos pero el precio sigue subiendo junto a estos por unos días, semanas o meses hasta darnos un patrón de reversión, y pudiendo confundir a varios traders que entran en perdida por ir en contra de una tendencia decidida.
Nos encontramos en un momento en que hay que colocarnos en los zapatos de los inversionistas y tener una visión más amplia, porque que pasaría en caso de salir de bolsa para entrar en Dolares si en una cuenta de ahorro nos darían un rendimiento de 0.5% anual, por lo que ya entraríamos en pérdida de valor debido a la inflación que supera el rendimiento de los ahorros, junto a que se sigue entregando dinero a las personas en forma de estímulos económicos.
Realmente si pienso que estamos en una burbuja (los datos están frente a nosotros), pero eso no significa que va a explotar pronto porque aún hay fundamentales que nos dicen que la burbuja va a seguir subiendo por al menos unos meses más.
<center>*Feliz Trading*</center>
</div>
Posted Using [LeoFinance](https://leofinance.io/@globalcurrencies/the-stock-market-has-entered-a-bubble-s-territory-la-bolsa-ha-entrado-en-territorio-de-burbuja)" |
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| expiration | 2020-08-09 15:50:48 |
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| 1. | | required_auths | [] |
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| json | {"trx_id":"e0e773e1accfe3842acbac56e8e95ba5be684972","summoner":"C1-27-O6ARD5R05C","monsters":["C1-29-7C17QH7VLS","C3-90-9UF5FH3LWG","C3-85-KQACGETKPC","C3-102-4LYLNMGSOW","C1-32-NHNMJ9V7UO","C1-28-UBICC4F3V4"],"secret":"b764108497","app":"steemmonsters/0.7.34"} |
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| extensions | [] |
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| 1. | | required_auths | [] |
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| json | {"trx_id":"0884347b031083501f12ea4e0c352448c4e7728e","summoner":"C1-110-VK2OM625JK","monsters":["C3-106-OXCH1CUE0G","C3-227-C8B879W1OG","C1-1-FHZ6A91W8W","C1-66-O0ZEX1PPZ4","C3-87-EG6NZMA3C0","C4-161-45ATEU4RJ4"],"secret":"BXEUTaNV0x","app":"steemmonsters/0.7.34"} |
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| extensions | [] |
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| transaction_id | 11cbba99e72594ae31b19f5b54a0194ae8efda12 |
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| 20. | | ref_block_num | 22,402 |
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| ref_block_prefix | 2,988,811,808 |
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| expiration | 2020-08-09 15:59:45 |
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| operations | | 0. | | 0. | account_update2 |
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| 1. | | account | cryptographic |
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| json_metadata | "" |
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| posting_json_metadata | "{"profile":{"profile_image":"http://i.imgur.com/CafDXsc.png","name":"CryptoGraphic","about":"Teacher by profession, philosopher at heart, crypto enthusiast & community member, doing my best to help make all our lives a little better and happier..","location":"HIVE","cover_image":"https://i.imgur.com/andwdTl.jpg","version":2}}" |
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| extensions | [] |
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| block_num | 45,897,620 |
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| transaction_num | 20 |
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| 21. | | ref_block_num | 22,403 |
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| ref_block_prefix | 2,752,382,456 |
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| expiration | 2020-08-09 15:59:48 |
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| operations | | 0. | | 0. | custom_json |
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| 1. | | required_auths | [] |
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| id | sm_find_match |
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| json | {"match_type":"Ranked"} |
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| extensions | [] |
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| transaction_id | f38886409c59e63c7bf028cdb91e560e617d8457 |
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| block_num | 45,897,620 |
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| 22. | | ref_block_num | 22,419 |
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| ref_block_prefix | 3,566,371,087 |
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| expiration | 2020-08-09 15:50:50 |
|---|
| operations | | 0. | | 0. | vote |
|---|
| 1. | | voter | kitalee |
|---|
| author | myach |
|---|
| permlink | myach-top-picks-post-summary-387 |
|---|
| weight | 175 |
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|---|
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| extensions | [] |
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| transaction_id | 9e2b9b484ba28f39e6b753b4b382817763d0c06d |
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| 23. | | ref_block_num | 22,402 |
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| ref_block_prefix | 2,988,811,808 |
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| expiration | 2020-08-09 15:59:45 |
|---|
| operations | | 0. | | 0. | custom_json |
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| 1. | | required_auths | [] |
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| id | sm_start_match |
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| json | {"id":"sm_wjJ649itlbQApZHd3TMu","app":"steemmonsters/0.7.34"} |
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| extensions | [] |
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| signatures | | 0. | 2020d0b5bb869a8a43f93ba5493d3ab916ebe957be267ea401aba4c690811e74b30a26564db0174fa7fbd389492ae45b00e43c2745b1f1e974c2cf6ece933576a1 |
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| transaction_id | 17b131b99b58f59f737ac32273bdae0c773f99ec |
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| block_num | 45,897,620 |
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| transaction_num | 23 |
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| 24. | | ref_block_num | 22,419 |
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| ref_block_prefix | 3,566,371,087 |
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| expiration | 2020-08-09 15:50:19 |
|---|
| operations | | 0. | | 0. | transfer |
|---|
| 1. | | from | epicdice |
|---|
| to | blervin |
|---|
| amount | 2.119 HIVE |
|---|
| memo | "You have Won! Dice Rolled: 96. Your Prediction: Above 63. Multiplier: 2.65. Win Chance: 37%
{"diceRolled": "96", "TransactionId": "fcf033f2780fd67bf1f5cf70033f5503f140c32f", "BlockNumber": "45897618", "betAmount": "0.8", "currency": "HIVE", "player": "blervin", "serverHash": "bacbb5ff109cc1efdcf09b5c07cddb84f521cdcf90d82cba659c24f824b37055", "isValid": true}" |
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| extensions | [] |
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| transaction_id | a210c0dacc78a0648e17f853927ac3b4ea522fe5 |
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| block_num | 45,897,620 |
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| transaction_num | 24 |
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hiveblocks