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| parent_permlink | hive-167922 |
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| author | revise.leo |
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| permlink | 2021-is-alt-season-according-to-tokenmetrics-and-here-are-some-of-their-best-return-predictions |
|---|
| title | "2021 is alt season according to Tokenmetrics, and here are some of their best-return predictions. " |
|---|
| body | "Bill Noble is chief token analyst at [tokenmetrics](https://tokenmetrics.com/), a firm which provides short and long term price analysis for over 200 crypto currencies, using 70 data points and AI/ machine learning - they basically test different AI models against each other and refine their predictions based on the most accurate previous AI predictions.
As I understand it their predictive models take into account everything from price, technical analysis, fundamentals and tech, and they run various AI programmes against each other and you eventually end up with data on which variables are the most important in predicting price across different time ranges.
Their analysts come from 'proper finance' firms like Goldman Sachs (that may or not be a good thing, but I'd trust an ex-GS trader over a Welsh teenager on YouTube), and they manage crypto-portfolios for both individual and corporate clients.
Bill Noble claims that his predictive modelling advised investors to buy Bitcoin when it was $4K -$6 K and while his models didn't predict the ETH rise earlier this year, they did predict a significant rise in many of the defi coins which followed.
I'm not about to pay the $80 a month fee to sign up for the investor package to get the technicals on 200 coins, but I'll take a bit of free advice from an interview, thank you very much!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=48XCgTvUkcw
Anyway, enough of the guff...
### Tokenmetrics predictions for 2021 are as follows:
Bitcoin will surpass $20K and then slow down and level, settling in a range of $25K to $30K.
The biggest market cap gains will come from the alts immediately below BTC, especially those which have a pure monetary function (transactions or yield), he mentions specifically:
- ETH will go over $1000, probably hitting $1200 and it could go further.
- LTC could well be a 'dark horse' because of its relatively fast transaction times.
- Other coins he thinks will do well are DASH (already being used in Venezuela). XRP (if banks adopt crypto), ZCASH and Bitcoin Cash.
As he sees it, people are going to be using BTC to buy 'boats, cars and houses' but transactions cost too much for daily purchases, so it will be LTC/ DASH for smaller day to day transactions.
Unsurprisingly he also mentions DEFI as a future up-trend and here he mentions three coins specifically:
- LINK
- REN (which I've never heard of!)
- AAVE
### REN is his 10 times tip
Of all of the above he mentions REN as a coin that could 10 times.
### mid market coins as the ones to watch
He argues that (maybe besides ETH) the coins immediately below BTC are 'only' going to double or treble in 2021, because they already have relatively large market caps, but that more significant growth will come in some of the mid market cap coins like REN.
I guess the idea is that if you want to know what other coins to buy from the top 200 you have to subscribe, although in fairness this interview doesn't run at all like an advert, but that is why people like Bill Noble give away these free snippets of advice isn't it - so you'll check out their site and hopefully sign up!
### He's basically told me I've got a pretty sound portfolio...
I like what Bill Noble says in this video - I've got mainly ETH and LTC, and some RUNE which I have no doubt is one of those DEFI coins his signals are telling people to buy, so I'll give REN a miss.
### Will Bill's predictions pan-out?
He came across as pretty convincing, and it does sound like he's got a sound meta-analysis system going on, with more data available than any other company i've heard of, AND his predictions sound very 'boring' and thus somehow plausible.
I'm just putting this on the chain as It will be interesting to come back to it towards the end of 2021 to see if he was right!
I kind of hope so as I get the feeling my own Portfolio is about 85% of what he'd recommend!
Don't know how Hive sits in there of course, I'd love to find out, it's almost worth paying $80 for a month to see, before it drifts out of the top 200 coins!
Posted Using [LeoFinance <sup>Beta</sup>](https://leofinance.io/@revise.leo/2021-is-alt-season-according-to-tokenmetrics-and-here-are-some-of-their-best-return-predictions)" |
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